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Biden Heads to Oregon to Try to Quench Voter Revolt

Posted on Friday, October 14, 2022
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by Daniel Berman
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93 Comments
Oregon

AMAC Exclusive – By Daniel Berman

This weekend, Joe Biden is off to campaign in, of all states, Oregon. Oregon is not a swing state – Biden won it by 16% in 2020. Instead, Biden’s visit, intended to prop up the flagging campaign of the Democratic nominee for Governor, House Speaker Tina Kotek, is a sign that for all the talk about how abortion and “extremist” GOP candidates have somehow led to an alleged Democratic resurgence, Democrats have been unable to paper-over failures in governance when it comes to crime and inflation.

Oregon, which has not elected a GOP governor since 1982, and where Democrats have held 80% of the congressional delegation for the past two decades, is ground zero for this backlash. Every poll released over the last month has shown Republican gubernatorial nominee Christine Drazan leading Kotek, and Democrats at risk of losing up to three of their U.S. House seats.

A few months ago, I profiled how Oregon’s drift from light-blue to “left coast” bulwark had been driven by the increasing dominance of Portland and its metropolitan area over the rest of the state. Whereas George W. Bush came within a whisker of winning the state in 2000, and Republicans held one of the state’s U.S. Senate seats until 2009, the raw margins Democratic candidates gained out of Portland meant that presidential races began to become blowouts for Democrats.

This led many, including the state’s Democratic leadership, to conclude that a Republican could not win election in Oregon. But pride commeth before the fall, and that old nemesis seems to have come for Oregon’s Democrats.

The Democratic Party has maintained a stranglehold on state politics in Salem since long before Oregon became a “blue” state on the federal level. This was done through a shrewd recognition that while the growth of Portland provided them with a substantial advantage, they needed to maintain a minimal level of support outside of the city and its environs in order to win. Until recently, Democrats generally chose representatives of their contingent of candidates from outside Portland to run for statewide office. This approach was abandoned with the accidental elevation of Secretary of State Kate Brown to the governorship in 2015 following the resignation of Governor John Kitzhaber. Brown, the first LGBT individual to serve as governor of any state, had only represented safely Democratic Portland districts in the legislature before becoming Secretary of State. Her underperformances when she ran for election (50.5% in 2016, 50% in the landslide year of 2018) should have caused Democrats to worry.

Instead, they chose a clone of Brown this time around. Kotek, their nominee, was the first LGBT speaker of the Oregon House, represented a safely Democratic Portland seat, and was best known for her hardball tactics during redistricting, in which she intimidated GOP lawmakers who had tried to flee the state into passing a congressional map which divided up Portland in an effort to create five Democratic districts and only one Republican one. One victim of her hardball redistricting tactics was State Senator Betsy Johnson, a conservative Democrat who was drawn out of her seat and is now running for governor as an Independent, mounting a strong challenge. Johnson was endorsed by yet another redistricting victim, longtime Democratic congressman Kurt Schrader who lost his primary to an AOC-backed challenger, along with former Democratic governor Ted Kulongoski (2003-2011), and the co-founder of Nike, the state’s largest corporation.

Faced with polls showing Kotek in a close race with Drazan, the Republican nominee, as well as with Johnson, Democrats, rather than trying to make a positive case for Kotek, decided to go hard negative on Johnson, painting the life-long Democrat as a “machine-gun toting nut” in the hope that if they discredited her, Johnson’s support would flow to Kotek. Central to this strategy was a delusional belief that Oregon voters could not possibly actually support a Republican becoming governor, and therefore the only explanation for why they were trailing was that Johnson was splitting what Democrats regarded as their vote.

Only too late have Democrats realized the horrifying truth. Voters quite simply did not want to vote for Kotek, and if anything, Johnson was helping the Democrats. Recent polls have shown Drazan leading a two-way race by larger margins than a three-way race. In the third week of September, Clout Research found Republican Drazan leading a three-way race by a margin of 39%-35%-16% over Kotek and Johnson, similar to the 35%-33%-21% split DHM Research found the same week, and the 36%-34%-19% split Emerson College found a week later. However, in a two-way race, Drazan led Kotek by a margin of 53%-47%.

The explanation for these trends lies not just in voter opinions of the candidates, as is evident in the DHM polling. They hold toxic views of Kotek, and incumbent governor Kate Brown to be sure, but neither is hated in the same way as the city from which they both hail. No less than 72% of Oregon voters have an unfavorable view of Portland, and half have a very unfavorable view. By contrast, less than a fourth rate it positively.

Far from being outliers, these numbers are reflected across pollsters. Clout Research found Drazan at 42%/41% favorable/unfavorable, while Kotek languished at 37%/56%. Emerson found Drazan at 41%/40% and Kotek at 38%/50%, respectively. It is hardly surprising that in this climate, Democrats are desperate enough to beg Joe Biden for help, as his own underwater numbers, at 44%/47% in the state according to Emerson, make him a beloved figure when compared to Kotek.

The result of the Democrats’ strategy was that their attacks on Johnson, rather than bringing Johnson’s voters to Kotek, have only increased support for Drazan. It is not only voters who have been alienated. Phil Knight, the Nike co-founder who was Johnson’s largest financial supporter, has switched to backing Drazan in recent weeks as polls show her best placed to beat Kotek. Rather than uniting the anti-Republican vote, Democrats have inadvertently united the anti-Portland vote, with dire implications not just for Kotek, but for every Portland-linked candidate on the ticket.

Kotek is not the only Democrat in trouble in Oregon. In the 5th House District, where incumbent Kurt Schrader lost his primary to far-left challenger Jamie McLeod-Skinner, Clout Research found Republican Lori Chavez-Remier leading 44%-34% in August, while Democratic-leaning PPP found Chavez-Remier leading 42%-41% in June. McLeod-Skinner’s own internal pollster only managed to find her up, 41%-38% in September, and as those were internal numbers we can assume that was the best she did on any given day over the course of the month.

Meanwhile, in the 6th District, which Kotek used such hardball tactics to draw as a safe Democratic seat, Democrat Andrea Salinas is struggling against Republican Mike Erickson. Clout found Erickson leading 43%-34% in August, while Cygnal found him leading 44%-39%, in September. Salinas’ own pollster was only able to produce numbers with her up 45%-44% in October.

Even the 4th Congressional district, where Republican Alek Skarlatos, who with three fellow Army soldiers helped stop a gunman on a Brussels-bound train, is seeking a rematch after his 6% loss in 2020, is far from safe for Democrats. Polls have the race within 5%.

In effect, not only do Democrats stand to lose the Oregon governorship for the first time in 36 years, but potentially more than half of their House seats in the state. They could well go from a 4-1 majority to a 4-2 minority in the delegation.

There is a touch of irony that the problems afflicting Democrats come back to the same place, the much-maligned city of Portland, whose descent into anarchy since 2020 helped fuel that 23%/73% favorability. Kotek is a product of Portland, and it was her efforts during redistricting to maximize Portland’s power by drawing it into as many districts as possible which triggered the revolt. It forced Betsy Johnson out of the Democratic Party, and ousted Schrader in his primary. Now, both are campaigning against her, and the race has become a referendum on whether the entire state of Oregon is to become Portland, just as the Oregon Democratic Party has under Kotek become the Portland Democratic committee.

Oregon Democrats may pray that Joe Biden will be able to turn their fortunes around with talk of the dangers of “insurrection,” but the problem they face is that the “insurrection” Oregon voters seem most concerned with is the one that has been occurring in Portland for the last three years. The greatest threat to democracy is Portland’s efforts to subjugate the state the way it has the Democratic Party. Without providing answers to those fears, Biden can only remind Oregon voters of what he has failed to do. And they have a preview of what their state, and the entire country, may look like if those failures continue.

Daniel Berman is a frequent commentator and lecturer on foreign policy and political affairs, both nationally and internationally. He holds a Ph.D. in International Relations from the London School of Economics. He also writes as Daniel Roman.  

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Hal
Hal
1 year ago

My thoughts about sending Biden to boost DemocRat support in Oregon is just another example of how out of touch with decent sanity Biden and the DemocRats are. When Rome was burning, Nero was fiddling. When governance isd decaying, Biden is visiting Oregon !!!!

Stephen Russell
Stephen Russell
1 year ago

No to Lose votes overall

TPS
TPS
1 year ago

Why is joe out campaigning on the taxpayer dime instead of solving the problems he created? Also, how does all this jetting around help the climate he says he’s protecting? Actions speak louder than words.

James Thompson
James Thompson
1 year ago

I’m hoping Biden’s screws it all up again. Seams to me that’s what he does best.

Splish_Splash
Splish_Splash
1 year ago

I wouldn’t ever votr for her, but his coming to the state to support her – would seem to be a total farce!He is quite obviously in deep dementia – what a great supporter, probably has no idea who she is and if for a few moments he does – he won’t remember a thing tomorrow!

Bill on the Hill
Bill on the Hill
1 year ago

Biden visiting Oregon is clearly as non-sensical as his occasional get out of the basement campaign efforts in the 2020 election cycle, only to have the news people & cameramen stand in their respective 360° circles, on National TV no less!
Joseph Robinette Biden Junior has a natural knack for getting everything ” wrong ” in his 47 years in politics as a Delaware senator…Now as the installed ” wannabe potus ” suffering through dementia, his self inflicted gaffs are all the more obvious for one & all to see & hear. Reaching out to shake the hands of nobody there, walking like he’s ready to keel over at any moment, falling flat on his face climbing the planes stairs, ( 3 times )… Need I say more?
In summary, Joe Biden is an IDIOT…Even if Sleepy Joe still possessed all of his marbles, which clearly he does not, one thing would always be glaringly true about Joe Biden, he is an IDIOT…
Bill… :~)

spenser maldrum
spenser maldrum
1 year ago

“The Democratic Party has maintained a stranglehold on state politics in Olympia since long before Oregon became a “blue” state…”
Although true in any case, i believe that Olympia is the capital of WA

jocko
jocko
1 year ago

FOR WHAT THIS POS HAS DONE TO DESTROY OUR NATION, HOPE his PLANE CRASHES

mark
mark
1 year ago

Hey people glad to see you waking up .. your state is going down the tubes , get out there and do what you can to start changing that ,,it will take years to correct but you can do it one election at a time ,,,

PaulE
PaulE
1 year ago

Biden is out campaigning as a way to try and change the focus of the public away from the dismal record of failures and man-made crisis that have been the hallmark of Democrat rule nation-wide. The name of the game is deflection and try to get the public to focus on something else. Deflection is also why the January 6th commitee keyed up another TV event. It’s all being done to try and change the national narrative ahead of the upcoming midterms. Democrat politcians have to find a way to energize their voter base to focus on anything but the long string of failures their leadership has produced. So Biden will give another tone deaf speech, where he mangles his words and gets lost on stage, to a lackluster crowd and a fawning MSM that will devote days of news coverage to each event.

Smili'in Jack
Smili'in Jack
1 year ago

We can’t wait to hear what gems of wisdom the idiot Biden will spout. Being sent to Oregon to pull rabbits out of his hat will be fun to watch. What could this bumbler have to say to inspire even the dumbest of the dumb? Better put a leash on him before he stumbles into the Columbia River by accident.

Veteran
Veteran
1 year ago

If Biden’s presence in Oregon does one thing it will ensure that none of the voters the Democrats are bound to lose will have a last minute change of heart and vote Democrat again instead of freedom and common sense. They should send Biden on a whirlwind tour of all 50 states to make sure our Red Tsunami will devastate their party for the next century. Let’s go Brandon!

CoNMTX
CoNMTX
1 year ago

I hope he does a lot of public speaking. The more he speaks, the more confused his addled brain gets. Also, having to think a lot and perhaps answer question, tires him and he begins to lose it. That’s when it gets good and entertaining.

Lee M
Lee M
1 year ago

I used to love Portland. It was a beautiful city, and the Rose Festival was so awesome. Now it’s the Somalia of the US, ruined by brain-dead liberal children who were damaged by forceps at birth-can there be any other reason? I cry for that city, and so many others in the US just like it. They better stay out of my part of the world, or there will be hell to pay.

Linda
Linda
1 year ago

Sorry for Oregon. Biden’s presence will leave a stench.

Myrna Wade
Myrna Wade
1 year ago

I am glad there is an “alleged ” democrat resurgence. If Oregon does not respond to the horrible spread of anarchy in Portland and surrounding communities, Oregon will cease to be livable.

Martin Plecki
Martin Plecki
1 year ago

Nice article, I hope it all comes true

Joearcher
Joearcher
1 year ago

Imagine asking Biden to prop up lagging Democrat candidates, when his approval rating is also in the toilet. I guess only in Portland would that ploy work!

legally present
legally present
1 year ago

Oregon, the first State to go to mail in ballots, first tried in 1981, and expanded to ALL voters in 1987. It’s SO BAD that more than 2/3 of the State wants to secede and join with Idaho. Ron Wyden needs to be sent to the wood shed also. He’s been in the House and Senate way too long. IF you don’t want to end up like Portland, you need to vote out EVERY DEMOCRAT. They are bad for our Republic.

Bob L.
Bob L.
1 year ago

If the political status quo in Oregon continues after the upcoming election, Idaho may indeed gain some more counties since some of Oregon’s Eastern counties are on the verge of seceding and requesting to become part of Idaho. .

Gary
Gary
1 year ago

I think Biden’s presence in Oregon will be a remineder of just how far Leftwoard the DEMOCRAT party has gone , And Joe’s presence will also remind Oregonans of how long they have been under DEMOCRAT control . I think the riots in 2020 where DEMOCRATs were rampaging throughout Portland , was the straw that broke the camel’s hump . Could it be that Oregonan DEMOCRAT voters have had enough of DEMOCRAT leadership” ?
.
In a one party State , the ONLY chance citizens have for choice in leadership is to rebel .

Marie Langley
Marie Langley
1 year ago

RED=REMOVE EVERY DEMOCRAT

Patriot Will
Patriot Will
1 year ago

Biden is so poor at communicating clearly that he is going to harm instead of help Kotek. More and more Democrats are going to distance themselves from Biden, even those who are almost 100% in agreement with the Marxist Democrat agenda. Biden does almost everything in a dysfunctional way.
He offers nothing positive, and more and more Americans are wondering why is he still president?

dennis
dennis
1 year ago

Watch Biden & DNC bus 1000`s of illegals to Oregon, to prop up their sagging votes there. They DNC have treacherously sold US & its citizens to illegal invaders from south of the border.

Irv C
Irv C
1 year ago

I’m only 69 years old and sadly for the 2nd time I want to move to another Country. Spain, Portugal, even Belize. obama was the first total idiot and now we have the pee wee Herman of obama. If a democrat makes office again the F America, the idiots who live here did it. I’m sorry but I served 1971-1974 so I consider myself a Patriot but when I see biteme biden throwing Americans down the drain well I’m done!

Philip Hammersley
Philip Hammersley
1 year ago

If OR and WA are both tossup states this year, that should tell you something about the DIMM’s disasters! Go Drazan and Smiley!

Skip
Skip
1 year ago

Oregon is strange State with a strange history and with a majority population who seem to have skewed values. The city of Portland is a true mystery. Why did the people stand back and do nothing when the rioters ransacked the city? 25years ago militant Muslims were allowed to establish a military training camp in Klamath Falls with rifle and grenade ranges. At the time, the FBI did nothing to stop it. In fact the FBI and someone in our government give some these murderous traitors money, a lot of money. Google it. What is wrong with Americans?!?

Yes, American democrats are true enemies of the state, as they do not support the US Constitution. So, what is the country to do?

Sean Richman
Sean Richman
1 year ago

Joey mumbles is going to Oregon to help the democRATS.I would like to see them boot him in the butt and send him packing.Maybe about fifty miles west in a rubber boat.

Skip
Skip
1 year ago

Am very suspicious of the voting process across the country. The democrats show incredible audacity with their lies and deception. It appears that the democrats are grooming Americans for a fascist government, using the FBI to strong arm the population into submission. This is exactly how the Germans cajoled and influenced the German people to accept Nazism. Read Eric Metaxas newly published book, “Letter to the American church”.

Oregon is strange State with a strange history and with a majority population who seem to have skewed values. The city of Portland is a true mystery. Why did the people stand back and do nothing when the rioters ransacked the city? 25years ago militant Muslims were allowed to establish a military training camp in Klamath Falls with rifle and grenade ranges. At the time, the FBI did nothing to stop it. In fact the FBI and someone in our government give some these murderous traitors money, a lot of money. Google it. What is wrong with Americans?!?

Yes, American democrats are true enemies of the state, as they do not support the US Constitution. So, what is the country to do?

Jeb
Jeb
1 year ago

I sense the mood across America is changing. Even in deep blue areas people are hungry, cold and can’t afford gas to get to the job…

William C Smith
William C Smith
1 year ago

His appearance should convince Oregon voters to continue the revolt.

zoe frost
zoe frost
1 year ago

The kiss-of-death culmination of the evil, demented, earpiece-wearing fraud puppet’s 3-Commie-run states tour. It will be interesting to see how sanctuary city Portland greets the pedo Commie fraud puppet…they are a centimeter less Commiefied-run than their evil, insane neighbors in lefty, proggy, anti-Republic Commiefornia.

Prediction: Even though Portland is chock full of “woke” stinkin Socialist/Marxist expletive traitors and their clueless indoctrinated useful idiot followers, it will be the usual handfull of traitors and/or useful idiots, and hundreds of pro-Republic, flag waving patriots shouting ‘Lets Go Brandon’ and giving him the proverbial middle finger. Everyone with a functioning brain who have refused to drink the koolaid and actually research the massive destructive and horrific changes going on. despise Chicom/Globalist owned puppet biden for being the figurehead of the cabal intentionally destroying our Republic… it’s not accidental, nor is it due to stupidity (although they are some of the dumbest, most desperate traitors on the planet).

anna hubert
anna hubert
1 year ago

Voter revolt hm would it be something like peasant revolts against feudal lords? Are our lords worried about the serfs lifting their heads ?

Nick
Nick
1 year ago

You don’t “quench” a revolt. You quell it or quash it.

Kind of embarrassing for a site that often complains about other people not being able to speak English.

Richard Eha
Richard Eha
1 year ago

Vote the democrats OUT!!!

P2burner
P2burner
1 year ago

Man…if your campaign was hanging by a thread, would you REALLY want Mumblin’ Joe to come to your “rescue “??

nate
nate
1 year ago

Voters in Oregon are too stupid to see the writing on the wall. Promise them a phone and a social security increase and they are all yours, country be damned.

GTPATRIOT
GTPATRIOT
1 year ago

How could any Dim lose in la..la….land Oregon ? Its not possible.
San Francisco, home of creeps, indigents, and libs can only hope to
be Oregon. When Communists grow up they move to Oregon.
After George Floyd, the Left Assault Team tore up Portland. And no one cared.
So does that mean that Portland isn’t worth caring about ? Maybe it isn’t.
If the city of Portland dosen’t care, why should any of us ?

GTPATRIOT
GTPATRIOT
1 year ago

To Skip: your comment: “The dems are using the FBI to strong arm the population.” I agree. Why
would the FBI submit to any party ? Is the FBI not capable of carrying out its role of
law enforcement while resisting political pressure ? If not then why are the republicans
not blistering the FBI through the media ( Fox ?). Is the FBI a tool of one party only ?
As we learn more about the Russia Collusion Scandal which the FBI organized effort to dump Trump, it seems that the FBI is just a political tool. How did the Dem party take over the FBI ? If the repubs can’t stop this corruption or can’t see it coming the nation needs another option.
We repubs love to point the finger and then say there’s nothing we can do about it.
Why would any of us support or throw money at a pack of quitters like that. The Dems are super
stupid but they are NEVER quitters.

Moses
Moses
1 year ago

This is not hard to figure out people. The federal workers are all democrats because they are all unionized. The teachers unions are all democrats, that means all kids in education are brought under the umbrella of democrats. The whole work force of the country, federal, state, city workers are all unionized democrats. The country was really lost to democratic control of all factions of government years and years ago. When you think of the creep of socialism into a country, that actually is communism. Socialism is the first step towards communism. There is no new information here, it is in all the dusty history books laying up on the book shelves in the schools. Nobody can read them now because the left doesn’t want anyone to. The one thing two years of Joe Biden has taught us is that we don’t want to be a communist country, but can we dig out of this hole. Are there enough republicans left, domestic terrorist in Joe Biden’s words, to take this country back? So did I answer your question about how the FBI can be a weapon of one political party?

dkp2015
dkp2015
1 year ago

Who wants this idiot stumping for them? NO ONE!!! Very, very simple – are you better off than you were 18 months ago?? How are those 401K’s IRA’s going there? How about your Community, Country, State, Country and World???

If these idiots win this election, it will be our last election!!!!

Bruce P
Bruce P
1 year ago

It looks to me like Oregon might need some of the Democrat election stealing expertise very soon. It’s probably already in the works.

Steven Tapper
Steven Tapper
1 year ago

So anyone who promotes common sense is labeled an “extremist” by the Democrats? Reality is now going to kick them in the butt big time! The Democrats are great at labeling people that they disagree with but they are the real Extremists and now they are going to find out that they are out of step with the voters of all demographics.

PITTS
PITTS
1 year ago

WE THE AMERICAN PEOPLE can only hope Joey puts his foot in it as usual. He is such a self-important ass and so full of himself that he will find it hard to do any good except with the most hard- line blue Demorats. Lets hope he does his usual good job and alienates a few more good people with enough brain power to think for themselves.

Miranda
Miranda
1 year ago

If Oregonians still believed in JB. Well, they deserve what they would get on Nov. 8th.

Dale
Dale
1 year ago

Please note: they stopped a ” man with a gun” not “a gun forcing a man” there is a difference!!!

Carl S.
Carl S.
1 year ago

Joe seems to think that his title as POTUS gives him credibility when his performance has shown him to be a disgrace to that office. Patriots will not pay any attention to the untruthful old geriatric reprobate.

Smili'in Jack
Smili'in Jack
1 year ago

Portland is a lost cause anyway. If there were no changes made politically after the death and destruction caused by the democrats in 2020, then there will never be. No new business will move into that city, no commercial projects and no small businesses. Too bad, it’s always been a beautiful city and Oregon is a beautiful state only filed with too many worthless and stupid liberals.

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