Revolutions can be good. Like the one that erupted in 1776 and gave us America.
Others, not so much.
The Russia Revolution of 1917 brought us the Soviet Union, the Warsaw Pact, gulags, the Holomodor, and the Cold War, which although it may have been “cold,” still resulted in the deaths of 100 million innocent people.
As a result, last weekend’s “news” about thousands of mercenaries heading to Moscow to take over the government from Vladimir Putin was disturbing, to say the least.
But not everything was as it may, at first blush, seem.
Ostensibly, the crisis started prior to last weekend, when units of the Private Military Contractor, the Wagner Group, became mired in a minefield in Ukraine, a minefield laid by Russian Federal forces. And when Wagner asked for help to extricate their fighters, allegedly the regular Russian forces shelled and fired rockets at Yevgeny Prigozhin, the Wagner CEO’s units. Thus were sown the seeds of a broader conflict between the mercenary firm and the government in Moscow for which they were fighting.
All this came after months of accusations flung back and forth that the Russian Ministry of Defense wasn’t supporting and resupplying Prigozhin’s mercenaries, especially during the brutal battle to take and hold the Ukrainian city of Bakhmut, and the minefield incident was apparently the last straw.
As a result, the former restauranteur ordered his men to pull out of the warzone that is Ukraine and head for the Russian capital.
But was it really to replace the regime?
As Winston Churchill warned us, Russia is “a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma.” Add to that, Viscount Slim’s wise rule that tells us all initial reports from the battlefield are wrong, and we should dig deeper for the Truth.
Why it just doesn’t add up:
Firstly, there’s the numbers thing.
Yes the current state of the Russia Federation’s military capabilities is depleted – especially after more than a year of Ukraine’s valiant efforts to wrest back their sovereignty from Moscow’s invaders – yet the fact remains that the nation still counts more than a million men in uniform. Not to mention the more than 2 million reservists, plus the newly created National Guard, established by Putin and directly subordinated to him for use in exactly such an eventuality as a real coup.
The Wagner Group, on the other hand, can count on an absolute maximum of 25,000 blood-thirsty fighters, many of them ex-cons released to become front-line berserkers who could execute deniable missions for the Kremlin.
Yes, they’re evil, vicious, and loyal to their chef-turned commander, but 25,000 against over a million, or 3 million if all Federal forces are mobilized? Are we positing that Prigozhin – and all his men – are suicidal?
Secondly, the language of the putative coup was, let’s just say “strange.”
If you’re moving militarily on the capital, then it’s clear you are trying to effect a regime change, the decapitation of the existing old guard. But Prigozhin’s militant statements failed to include one name: Putin. The official pronouncements flung invective at the Minster of Defense and the Chief of the General Staff, Valery Gerasimov. Did Prigozhin really believe he could take on the might of the Russian Military and Putin would be fine with that? That he would just watch? Or was there another reason the President wasn’t targeted by name?
Secondly, why did Wagner suddenly stand down?
If the mercenary forces had truly been so successful that they had captured a regional command center and made their way across the administrative line of Moscow Oblast in just 2 days – as the corporate media so breathlessly re-reported – why the sudden volte face, and the decision to withdraw?
If you’re winning, you’re winning, right? And if you’re winning and the “enemy” had made zero concessions, you really shouldn’t just turn around and run away.
Then there’s Putin’s response to the “coup” and the location of Wagner units today.
Despite the world being told that this was “banditry” and “a crime against the state,” with the blockades still smoldering, Putin declared that the members of the units which made a move against Moscow would not be prosecuted. More than strange. Why would the man who thinks nothing of having journalists murdered and disloyal intelligence officers poisoned with polonium suddenly say coup-plotters go scot-free? It makes no sense. None.
Then we come to the whereabouts of Pregozhin’s mutinous mercenaries.
Apparently the Wagner Group’s failed revolutionaries are all now in Belarussia, being protected by the none other than Alexander Lukashenko.
Now most people will have no idea where Belarussia is (if they know it’s even a real place), let alone anything about its President. But if you want to judge whether or not what we have been hearing out of Eastern Europe about this supposed coup is credible, it is essential to know at least this: Alexander Lukashenko is an even worse human being than the former KGB colonel Putin.
An unreconstructed dictator, he rules the former Soviet Republic with an iron fist and has wholly subordinated that nation to the needs and desire of his “Big Brother” in the Kremlin. Ask yourself one question: why would Vladimir Putin’s most loyal lackey harbor and protect those who tried to violently remove him?
What really happened last weekend? That’s impossible to divine right now.
However, if you’re a paranoid President who feels threatened by those around you but are unsure who’s loyal and who’s a potential traitor, what better way to smoke out your hidden enemies than to ask a loyal subordinate to stage a fake coup and see who decides to join in, or simply to do nothing?
In the meantime, just remember Churchill’s words about Russia.
Sebastian Gorka Ph.D. is host of SALEM Radio’s AMERICA First and The Gorka Reality Check on NEWSMAX TV. A former Strategist to President Donald Trump, he is a member of the National Security Education Board of the Pentagon. His latest book is The War for America’s Soul. Follow him on his SubStack page and website. another
Thank you, Dennis Math; you have obviously been paying attention to the people who know what’s really going on over there. Some of you need to find some alternative news sites.
After years of the US and Ukraine (arguably two of the most corrupt countries in the world) breaking treaties and reneging on promises, Putin got fed up. He’s not the aggressor; he’s defending his country against NATO’s continuing encroachment (NATO, by the way, claims to be a defensive organization).
The Western media does not seem to know how to report the truth on just about anything. They are all deep-state puppets.
Well I hope the KGB assassins don’t hunt me down for my opinion because that’s how I understand Russian leaders mentality. Gorbachev types are gone obviously. Why is all this been done? Good question and I think it’s a well thought out plan with an evil ending in store. Putin keeps threatening Nukes. Why? I don’t doubt this psycho would enjoy a nuclear holocaust on a global scale. I miss the old America where the CIA and our leaders had gonads because Putin, Lukashenko, and others would have been taken out. Todays pseudo Pres biden wouldn’t know where to begin considering he’s so intelligent he calls Xi a dictator then figures an apology makes it better. Xi is no one to play with and biden thinks his whole position is a game. I’m ranting! Trump 2024 God Bless America
You are spot on Sebastian, great observation & reasoning!
This coup was no coup it was set up between Prigozhin and Putin.
They wanted to see how the Wagner soldiers would react. Nobody was ever in danger of a coup.
Just like on Jan 6 nobody was in danger in the Capitol.
except maybe the capitol police who were not informed of the dems plans.
I respectfully dissent. The otherwise brilliant author [brilliant not because I agree with 99% of his conclusions] fails to reference any of the following facts.
1) The Russian Government destroyed many kilometers of The M-4 Highway south of The Oka River, near The Village of Kashira, in The Moscow Oblast. Not One word about the blocking of The M-4 with buses, dump trucks, and heavy equipment
Not One word about the defensive line established at The Oka River in The Moscow Oblast.
Not One word about the Six helicopters (Three Mi-8MTPR-1 electronic warfare helicopters, One Mi-35 Hind, One Ka-52 Alligator, One Mi-8 transport), and One fixed wing Il-22M airborne command-center plane shot down by The Wagner Group.
Not One word about the resistance met while successfully passing through Rostov Na-Danu, Voronezh, and Novomoskovsk.
All of the above is Open-source intelligence.
The plot was discovered, and therefore launched before Shoigu and Gerasimov arrived [as previously planned] near The Wagner Group in Rostov. The goal of Pregozhin’s rebellion was to arrest the aforementioned Shoigu and Gerasimov.
If America is guided to the belief that this was not a rebellion, the resulting danger is that Americans will be misled into believing that Russia is as strong as ever with the full support of The Wagner Group. Russia is greatly weakened by the rebellion, and more vulnerable to loss, than any prior time during the war.
Voters and candidates should not believe that this is a “forever war” that will NEVER end.
Misled voters will therefore vote for candidates that will NOT support supplying even the minimum arms necessary to prevent Putin’s takeover of Ukraine.
The seizure of Ukraine will be followed by the invasion of Moldova, a non-member of NATO, with a Russian garrison and huge ammo warehouse in the unrecognized “nation” of Transnistra, located between Ukraine and the Moldovan controlled remainder of Moldova.
The Afghanistan debacle emboldened Putin and Xi. A failure to stop Putin now will endanger Taiwan, Moldova, and yet again Georgia.
Candidates that claim to have the ability to “end the conflict in 24 hours” need to understand that a satellite photo of a Taliban leader’s home, has no comparable threat to the thug controlling The World’s Largest Nuclear Arsenal.
Moreover, the compromised ‘Leader of the free world’ has [by his failures] pushed Russia and The CCP into a posture of “Friendship without limits”. The only 24 hour end to this Biden created disaster is appeasement of Putin.
If the foregoing speculation occurs, Biden will surpass Obama as the ‘achiever’ of the greatest destabilization of the world since Hitler and his appeasers.
I pray that I’m wrong.
Sheesh…….I once hoped that maybe through AMAC I could avoid the propaganda that permeates the mainstream media. In this article all one finds is essentially NYT/Fed Government talking points jumbled a bit so as to avoid plagarism.
The friendly fire incident regarding the Wagner Units in the former Bakhmut has long been proven to have never happened..that is if one can believe several different videotaped sources.
As for the Wagner Unit being made up of “evil, vicious blood thirsty fighters”, well in war is that not preferable to the soy infused, woke, ESG promoting, barrel bottom scraped recruits the United States may possibly be unable to even put into a combat situation?
The “mutiny” by Prigozhyn was caused by one simple reason. The Russian Constitution forbids private military contractors to engage in warfare on Russian soil. When the former Bakhmut was overrun it, like the rest of occupied former eastern Ukraine became, again by Russian law………..Russian soil. Wagner began the process of blending in with the Russian military which was a threat to Prigozhyns financial situation as he made his billions as the owner of a huge catering concern whose major contracts revolved around supplying Wagner forces. Now Russia didn’t shut down Wagner as a separate entity, the groups has ongoing contracts across the globe but like a lot of wealthy people, Prigozhn was a bit of a war profiteer so with Wagner being rolled into the Russian Military the Oligarch was staring at a financial downturn.
Like with the Biden Crime Family, it seems that greed can lead to illegal and desperate actions. Unlike the Biden Crime Family it seems that Russia punishes those that act against the interests of the citizenry and the state. Prigozhyn gets temporarily sent to Belarus under the watchful eye of their military and a huge number of Russian soldiers stationed there, his Russian holdings are currently being investigated and soon Prigozhyn will most likely be leaving for Africa where he owns huge real estate holdings and where the bulk of Wagner current contracts still exist.
Oh, and as for the erroneous reports of Putin poisoning journalists much like an exterminator goes after vermin, has anyone noticed how all these reported poisoning victims seem to…..recover? I wonder if a Mr. Steele wrote up the narratives of these supposed poisonings?
Get real AMAC. The truth is a lot easier to report than is the fictional narrative spun by the Military Industrial Complex in collusion with the most corrupt national leader on planet Earth and its lapdog slaves in NATO.
Wasn’t this the ploy in the book 1984 by George Orwell? Putin stages a phony revolution to bolster patriotic fervor and loyalty among his people. Those of us who might have read a book or actually studied in school instead of focusing on pronouns and gender equality and racism might remember this. Orwell is as good a predictor as Nostradamus.
Nations need to be strategic. That means they need to lie to and deceive others into believing they are doing one thing while actually doing something completely different. There is no way Putin ran away from an alleged coup in progress as the world was led to believe.
By what stretch of the imagination can the American ‘revolution’ be described ad a good thing?
Political theater of the absurd. Much like J6.
Diversion, for power
Sebastian you are at the best analyst, in a sea of clowns.
WTF AMAC! Please tell me what I wrote that would even remotely qualify for a “awaiting for approval” response.
Either you are just f@#king with people at random or you truly have gone woke…tell me I’m wrong!
Couldn’t agree more with you Sebastian. I thought things were a little too fishy, and your analogy seems to me to fit perfectly.