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History Disfavors Harris

Posted on Wednesday, July 31, 2024
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by AMAC, Robert B. Charles
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44 Comments
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If history is any judge, the slope between Harris and the presidency is steep – and would be even if Harris were not Harris. Assuming she does not become an incumbent as a result of Biden’s constitutional removal, resignation, or death, her road is tough. Why?

First, in our country’s history, only 15 of 49 vice presidents have ascended to the presidency, despite an epidemic of ambition. Of those, eight followed a president’s death, and one more – Gerald Ford – came after a first-ever resignation, by Richard Nixon.

Without the jumpstart of ascension by assassination, only six vice presidents won office by election; even with that jumpstart, only ten vice presidents got to the office by election. So, even with tailwinds, positive support from a grieving public, and good records, only one in five made it.

Two won in the “founding era,” John Adams – Washington’s vice president – and Thomas Jefferson, who was a reluctant candidate, and won on the 36th ballot, when the House was required to break a deadlock in the electoral college.

Van Buren, former Secretary of State during Andrew Jackson’s first term, was highly regarded as a diplomat domestically and internationally, problem solver, and peacemaker, which propelled him to the vice presidency in Jackson’s second term, and the presidency the next cycle.

So, that is three who ran on their own, with no ascension by assassination and won – in the nation’s “early era,” when fewer knew and saw vice presidents, and office-holding carried more weight than just about anything else. 

More recently Calvin Coolidge, Harry Truman, Theodore Roosevelt (TR), and Lyndon Johnson became president when the presidents they served under were assassinated or died in office, but then ran and won on their own, Coolidge and Truman narrowly.

TR was wildly popular, an independent-minded, anti-corruption, trust-busting, gun-slinging, horse-riding, populist figure, who easily won his own election, and later ran as a third-party candidate in 1912, beating the Republican.

Johnson, a former Senate Majority Leader and astute politician, won the election after JFK’s death, largely from a nation in shock, but did not try as an elected incumbent, dropping early in 1968.

The eighth was Richard Nixon, who had been popular Dwight Eisenhower’s vice president and secured the highest office only after an eight-year drought, finally beating the Democrat nominee for president who replaced Johnson, namely Hubert Humphrey.

The ninth was George H.W. Bush, for eight years Ronald Reagan’s vice president, who ran bathed in the glow of Reagan’s extraordinary leadership record, and as a former war hero, congressman, ambassador, CIA director, and popular moderate himself.

The tenth was Joe Biden, who seems to have skirted major scrutiny as a side benefit of COVID shutdowns, running largely from a basement, and only got a closer look – including mental fitness and strong indications of public corruption tied to China and Ukraine, after the inauguration.

His record has been, shall we say, less than luminous.  It has in fact arguably been the worst in American history, rescuing Millard Filmore, Andrew Johnson, and Jimmy Carter from last place.

Biden’s foreign policy, national security, border, crime, drugs, and economic policies, not to mention prosecuting his opponent in a political charade, presiding over record overspending and debt, nearly record inflation, interest, and cultural deconstruction have been breathtaking.

Now comes Biden’s vice president, Kamilla Harris, a listless, inarticulate, seemingly unapologetic leftist, bankrupt of personal and professional integrity, no positive record, not popular in her own party, an anticipated nominee after a de facto coup within the Democrat Party, removing Biden.

Pull back the curtain and what do you see?  The pretense of power by a poster child for failure.  Harris is Toto outing the Wizard of Oz, yanking the curtain back on Biden’s unfitness, then declaring he, Toto, was running for Wizard himself – only Toto did not defend the fake Wizard, and was likable.

In short, history makes clear even good vice presidents seldom win. Add the deadweight of a failed record by Biden and the first female vice president, and what have you? Not much. Do we live in a world of mirrors and monstrous lies? Of course. But is Harris likely to win? History … disfavors her.

Robert Charles is a former Assistant Secretary of State under Colin Powell, former Reagan and Bush 41 White House staffer, attorney, and naval intelligence officer (USNR). He wrote “Narcotics and Terrorism” (2003), “Eagles and Evergreens” (2018), and is National Spokesman for AMAC.

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Ken
Ken
4 months ago

You left out one name in the list of Presidents that were histories worst- Obama. His stated goal to fundamentally change America was the beginning of the destruction of this country, that Biden has continued. As far as I am concerned, he was the WORST EVER until Brandon got in and took over as the worst

WJS
WJS
4 months ago

Gee RBC I pray that you are right in that history disfavors her. What a sad state our country will be in if she is elected in continuing the democratic policies that have been already put in place.

Ray Doyle LFP, WA
Ray Doyle LFP, WA
4 months ago

cackles the clown, heels up harris, failed border czar, word salad sally, slaver owner family member. no matter how you look at harris she is a garbage person with a garbage background.

the reason she loves to say: “unburdened by what has been” is because she can not defend or even talk about what has been her history.

She is not black either.

VikkiC
VikkiC
4 months ago

Common sense disfavors Harris, but common sense is sadly lacking in a lot of voters!! A friend of mine was born in Portugal, and that woman had more common sense about things than anyone I’ve ever met born in the US…

Myrna
Myrna
4 months ago

The current campaign plan is to call out any plan other than keeping the present powers in power is called “not normal.” If the voters let the democrats tell them what is normal, we are doomed.

Sean Rickman
Sean Rickman
4 months ago

History disfavors kammy,really,the present doesn’t do much for her either !!!!

Morbious
Morbious
4 months ago

Even if he is loath to do so, Trump had better run like hes behind. Conservatives find it difficult to take harris seriously, but they need to. Half the country would vote for an ostomy bag over Trump. There was a moment burned in my memory from 1992. HW Bush , who flew missions off an aircraft carrier in ww2 at 19 yrs, couldn’t believe Clinton the draft dodger was a serious candidate. In oct 92 he refered to Clinton as a “bozo” and went on to lose. The media at this moment is recreating harris as a lifelong moderate pragmatist. Many low information moderates are going to buy the sales pitch.

Peter
Peter
4 months ago

Not even.
11 vice presidents have secured their parties nomination and of those 7 of them won. History favors her, sorry.

James Greenbaum
James Greenbaum
4 months ago

Trump must beat the drum of Biden / Harris political, economic, border, crime and foreign policy failure, and stay out of the race baiting gender crap which doesn’t put food on the table or open up USA energy. Krazy Kammela will turn off voters with her insincerity, idiotic laughter, and unintelligible cringey comments more so than Hillary

Paul Trampe
Paul Trampe
4 months ago

Check the 1924 election results again. Coolidge’s victory was a landslide by any definition.

Marilyn
Marilyn
4 months ago

My thoughts exactly.

JPop
JPop
4 months ago

She is so obviously FAKE (to the third degree) like Hillary was.

Leslie
Leslie
4 months ago

I’m reading “The Radical Mind” by David Horowitz right now…wow. Just wow. I knew that Obama was trying to remake America, and I knew that the educational system was already long gone liberal, but I had NO idea how bad and how calculated this has been. Every citizen of this country should read this book. Doubt I can even force any dem/liberal neighbors to read it, but I’m sure gonna try!

elephant4life
elephant4life
4 months ago

Harris and the fawning media, the WH, the entire DNC, are trying to present her as something new and shining, to lift the nation out of its Bidenesque malaise.
Note to all:
She is NOT tabula rasa.

mitch melan
mitch melan
4 months ago

The problem is she is running against an opponent who cant stay on point and is undisciplined. He talks about too many non issues and is so unpopular. He most likely will give the election away. Like the Biden victory it will be an anti trump vote in many swing states.

vaz
vaz
4 months ago

This article leaves out an important fact. History is thrown out the wilndow as none of these past candidates ran against a convicted felon.

Kyle Buy you some guns,and learn how to shoot
Kyle Buy you some guns,and learn how to shoot
4 months ago

IF she by chance get’s in there,WUE is us. Kyle L.

John Shipway
John Shipway
4 months ago

Mr. Charles, before you “Willie Brown” Teddy Roosevelt again please recall that it was that blow-hard whose vanity ba sed Bull Moose Party third party campaign led not just to the defeat of one of Americas finest Presidents in Taft but also gifted America with the nation ending reign of Woodrow WIlson.

Frankie Richey
Frankie Richey
4 months ago

If people looked at her background and saw her accomplishments or lack thereof and actually vetted her they would run

Jackie
Jackie
4 months ago

Hopefully the American people, especially Democrat Party Comrades are waking up to the fact that electing Presidents should never be about color or gender.If Obama taught us anything it should be that based on color is really ignorant and is truly racists.The thing you need to ask yourself is which party / candidate would you want to manage your 401k or pension plan.After all the United States of America is basically a hugh corporation and corporations usually seceded when they have a good business leader.Apple’s Steve jobs would be a good example.

Sentient
Sentient
4 months ago

I have a standing policy of never voting for any candidate named Shapiro.

Brad Wilder
Brad Wilder
4 months ago

George W Bush was the worst by far!

Randall L. Beatty
Randall L. Beatty
4 months ago

What is sad you would think that this country would want better the Harris she cannot run this country but someone will if she is elected just like someone has been running this country and it was not Biden so who well I would think Obama and other are in on this and it will happen if Harris is in office.

Tom Gilbertson
Tom Gilbertson
4 months ago

Your point? Do I detect a little scrambling around for reassurance? In another year Trump will be the first ex-president to be detained, wearing orange coveralls matching his “tan” in hue. Your MAGA boy is going down.

Charlie2022
Charlie2022
4 months ago

It is my believe that Vice President Harris will prevail. I am looking forward to learning who our next vice president will be in the next 2 days.

Rick
Rick
4 months ago

Your going to win by a lanslide Karmela! There all sexest llamaphobes and there fat, to! There poles are rasest!
PERSIST & RESIST!

Daniel Penny
biden and harris speaking in black and white
A row of supercomputers running simulations of quantum cryptography algorithms to test their efficiency and effectiveness
President Joe Biden, son Hunter Biden and sister Valerie Biden walk across the South Lawn of The White House on July 28, 2024 in Washington, DC. President Biden is returning from a weekend trip to Camp David. (Photo by Michael A. McCoy/Getty Images)

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