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Michigan Seniors Could Decide the 2024 Election

Posted on Thursday, June 6, 2024
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by Rebecca Weber
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40 Comments
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With more than five months to go until Election Day, there are undoubtedly still a number of surprises in store. But one thing that does seem clear is that the race will be decided in a few key swing states, with Michigan emerging as one of the most important.

Michigan was one of the closest races in each of the two previous presidential cycles, with Mr. Trump carrying the state by just over 11,000 votes in 2016 and Biden winning by just over 150,000 votes in 2020 amid controversy over changes to election laws. The latest 2024 general election polling has Michigan as a virtual dead heat.

In a race this tight, every vote is critical. But Michigan seniors in particular could prove decisive in who carries the state – and perhaps the entire election.

In addition to making up a majority of all voters, senior citizens are by far the most likely to vote. According to voter data from the Kaiser Family Foundation, in 2022 the turnout rate among Michigan voters aged 65 or older was 77 percent. That figure was 67 percent for voters in the 45-64 age range, 58 percent for voters aged 35-44, 51 percent for ages 25-34, and 47 percent for ages 18-24.

As a result, Michigan voters aged 65 or older made up 28.7 percent of actual voters in 2022, despite only accounting for 23 percent of the total population of eligible voters. In total, Michiganders over the age of 45 made up 64.6 percent of actual voters in 2022, while only accounting for 57.1 percent of eligible voters.

While these discrepancies may seem small, they could be the determining factor in another close race.

Several issues this year are shaping up to be of particular importance to seniors – and may pose a serious problem for President Biden’s re-election effort.

The most glaring is Biden’s second round of cuts to Medicare Advantage, an important part of the Medicare program, which saves enrollees about $2,400 per year compared to traditional Medicare. More than 31 million Americans receive their benefits through Medicare Advantage plans – including 1.3 million Michigan seniors.

Official notices of Biden’s benefit cuts will arrive this fall, just a few weeks before Election Day.

Older Americans, many of whom are on fixed incomes, have also been particularly hard hit by the persistent inflation seen under President Biden. According to a Wall Street Journal analysis of a recent Boston College study, “nearly a quarter of retirees and near-retirees changed their withdrawal rates between 2021 and 2023, boosting distributions by an average of $1,810 in each of those years.” 70 percent of retirees now say they are worried about running out of savings.

Moreover, those nearing retirement age have seen their lifelong aspirations pushed out of reach by the increased cost of living. 42 percent of Americans say they have dipped into their retirement savings because of inflation, while 40 percent of older Americans have said they will be forced to delay their retirement.

These dismal statistics give Mr. Trump a strong argument to make about why his return to the White House would reverse the negative trends seen under Biden. During Mr. Trump’s presidency, the average Americans’ 401k hit a record high, and inflation averaged just 1.9 percent.

In Michigan specifically, Mr. Trump’s record of re-shoring manufacturing jobs and support for the American auto industry could be attractive for voters of all ages, but in particular those in the later stages of their careers looking to save for retirement. President Biden’s aggressive electric vehicle push has proven disastrous for U.S. automakers, with Ford and General Motors – two of the most important employers in the state – cutting nearly 3,000 jobs in Michigan last year alone.

Mr. Biden clearly recognizes the negative implications these green policies could have on his re-election prospects and has repeatedly traveled to the state to speak to United Auto Workers union members, promising more jobs and investment. Michigan has also been one of Mr. Biden’s top campaign stops, where the president has made a special effort to appeal to seniors.

Mr. Trump, meanwhile, will have a chance to make his case directly to Michigan seniors at “The People’s Convention,” a major gathering of conservatives hosted by Turning Point Action being held in Detroit from June 14-16. This event is a prime opportunity for Mr. Trump to address the concerns of seniors while also rallying thousands of young people. He would be wise to reaffirm his commitment to protecting Medicare Advantage and Social Security while also providing specifics on how he plans to restore economic growth and reduce the cost of living.

Tens of millions of Americans will cast ballots in this year’s election. But when the dust settles, the winner may well come down to which candidate can best appeal to seniors in the Great Lakes State.

Rebecca Weber is the CEO of the Association of Mature American Citizens and is the host of the Better for America podcast.

This op-ed originally appeared here in the Detroit News.

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uncleferd
uncleferd
1 month ago

Michigan was one of the states where “The Big Filthy” (i.e., Democrat Party) staged one of their biggest election fraud schemes.
With all of the urban counties having submitted their returns showing Republicans with a slight advantage, the returns from the rural counties showed more “democrat” votes… even though the demographics showed more Republicans than Democrats. Clearly, with the incoherent, non-campaigning candidate Biden not attracting republican votes, this could ONLY have happened with the processing of counterfeit ballotting, a-la Atlanta.
Needless to say, “The Big Filthy” Democrat Party needs to be watched VERY carefully in this coming election.

p
p
1 month ago

Mr. Charles
Will you please write on topic- how the positioning of illegal immigrants re: population ( also by allowing illegal – non citizens to vote) – but considering just population placement by Dems might effect outcome of election.
Thank you.

At a place where truth rules
At a place where truth rules
1 month ago

I doubt one state has that edge, as more people will vote, more people will switch from the disability we call government today, get more sensible people in the office, and a new President who (despite the lies being told and remarked on by the same old tired to see dweebs) did make a profound and positive change.
We will not endure more than the figurehead, the hiding and bone-headed shadow dwellers who rule and are afraid to show themselves.
People need to shuck the selfishness of what is in it for me (yes, I know it is difficult), but the takeover would shove you all off the false platform now being promised, and you have nothing! Vote for humanity, people, what is right, strong, fight the s*^%heads, and drive them away from any say.
Strong America is from strong Americans – the rest only seek self-gain and control — too is out!

Thinking
Thinking
1 month ago

We have to ELIMINATE dementia in this country VOTE TRUMP.

Sue
Sue
1 month ago

Until the corrupt election officials in Michigan pay for their crimes, nothing will change. Michigan elections will not be able to be legally certified. That doesn’t bother those in power though, they have been certifying elections ILLEGALLY for decades.

snert
snert
1 month ago

someone please explain, how a group of michigan seniors can sway the election, when all we keep hearing how many more blacks, minorities and women are supporting trump, and not one positive increase for sleepy joe…i won’t hold my breath waiting

Veteran
Veteran
1 month ago

Michigan was one of the main targets of the Dis-Organized Crime Syndicate, formerly known as the Democrat Party in the 2020 Election, and one with the brazenest tactics on display. What we witnessed happening in Michigan then were not mere statistics “discrepancies”, but as Joe Biden himself so proudly stated in a video clip that has all but disappeared in recent history, “…the largest, and most comprehensive [Democrat created] voter fraud organization in the history of the United States.” Known crimes like the theft of the leadership office of our nation get stolen in broad daylight with the numbers to back up the evidence and our justice system did nothing because no one “had standing”, presumably because they were all drunk on Biden Kool Aid! The Soviet style New York kangaroo court displays are further evidence that the Marxist American Bar Association is now the dominant force in our courts and functions exclusively as Marxist Kool Aid Bartender for those who are ready to indulge in public drunkenness on power, and “the ends justify the means!” Let’s hope enough seniors will abstain from imbibing the Democrat Kool Aid this year and prove whether they ever gave a flip for this nation, their kids, their grandkids, American values, and those who paid the ultimate price for our freedom by dying for it. If we don’t all vote this election our country is done for, and sold by the Biden/Obama crime syndicate to communist China. If we all vote it won’t even be close and exponentially harder for them to pull off the Big Cheat Easy this time. Vote, and also make sure you make your so called representatives keenly aware that you want an Article V Convention of States to reign in this runaway, free spending, and weaponized against the citizen, federal government. A government that no longer cares about those it was created to serve, but serves only its own interest, and the interest of the big corporations that bribe it. Government of the people, by the people, for the people, ,,,these days? Meh, …not so much!!

Robert Zuccaro
Robert Zuccaro
1 month ago

They re-elected Whitmer so I’m not counting any chickens…

Avoter
Avoter
1 month ago

It ain’t over until the democrats cheat. Then every so called conservative judge in the nation will look the other way because it is too politically charged to try and make it right.
Democrats – Lying, thieving communists.
Republicans – Spineless, gutless, useless sacks of dogggy-doo. The republican motto- Let’s start an investigation that makes it look like we’re doing something then prosecute no one. That will get us reelected. I have come to the point where I have no illusion that either party gives a rat’s behind about doing anything besides lining their own pockets with taxpayer dollars.

stella
stella
1 month ago

Inflation , The price of everything , seniors pay 22 % taxes now too . We have to pay for our MEDICARE & THE ADVANTAGE PLAN , and every year the prices go up , but now we have to pay MORE .. I guess those ILLEGALS will take precedent over the AMERICAN’S THAT WORKED THEIR WHOLE LIFE PAYING INTO THE SYSTEM . DONALD J. TRUMP , we need you … BIDEN YOUR FIRED !

John
John
1 month ago

Hopefully Michigan voter’s can finally break the cycle of electing Totalitarian Communist Democrat Party Comrade’s and save what use to be a great state to live and work in.
We left there 20 years ago because the Tyrannical Tyranny of elected officials had become so obvious even than.
The community we lived in put a senior citizen center bond issue of the ballot 3 times and it was defeated each time by the voters.
But than officials just went ahead and issued bonds and secured it with our future property taxes, pitting the taxpayers on the hook for the bond payouts.
The Totalitarian Communist Democrat Party comrade’s are doing this all over the country now.

anna hubert
anna hubert
1 month ago

I dare say that election was decided already and not only in Michigan It is not the only state completely rotten

Stephen Russell
Stephen Russell
1 month ago

Rerun 2020???

Lisa Skinner
Lisa Skinner
1 month ago

Make it “too big to rig”
FJB
Trump 2024

Neal M Christensen
Neal M Christensen
1 month ago

The election is already fixed.

Granny
Granny
1 month ago

This is interesting.

Joanne4justice
Joanne4justice
1 month ago

My oh my ! Approx 5 months til Election, day. We are frequently exposed to lies, propaganda and fake promises to vote for the many pseudo politicians in the Democrat party. ! They try to make us believe that they truly CARE ABOUT integrity and They pretend to have honest motives, and aspirations TO PROMOTE AMERICA until they get elected! How quickly that changes !!!! THEN MANY INDIVIDUALS SHED THEIR FACADES ,TO REVEAL their DISHONESTY AND POWER AND TOTAL CONTROL AGENDAS AMERICANS MUST BECOME “,,WOKE !!;: AND ,,,,BE CHOOSY. MAKE the RIGHT CHOICE!; VOTE FOR TRUMP VOTE FOR MAGA VOTE FOR REFORMED GOVERNMENT THIS IS MY PLAN ON ELECTION DAY!

Bunch of fools
Bunch of fools
1 month ago

They can’t even move fast enough to fight the war they keep promising us. Lol

Time to pull up
Time to pull up
1 month ago

70 percent of retirees now say they are worried about running out of savings”
looks like they will have to cancel that Netflix account and cut back on the advacado toast lol

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