AMAC Exclusive – by Shane Harris
As it stands now, Republicans look to be in prime position to retake both chambers of Congress in next year’s midterm elections. With vulnerable Democrat incumbents like Raphael Warnock in Georgia, Maggie Hassan in New Hampshire, and Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada up for reelection, the GOP has high hopes of breaking past the 50/50 tie in the Senate. The situation is even better in the House, with Democrats holding a razor-slim 3-seat majority after losing 13 seats in 2020. However, as COVID-19, BLM riots, and Biden corruption scandals showed last year, events have a way of shaking up political races in dramatic and often unpredictable ways. It’s often said that a few months is a long time in politics, and we have more than a year to go before November 2022.
Here are seven potential game-changers that could transform the midterm elections.
The Durham Probe Could Blow the Lid Off the Biggest Scandal in American History
Many Republicans had all but given up hope that they would ever see accountability for the FBI and Democrats’ long establishment malfeasance in the “Russia Hoax.” Yet finally, after years of silence, Special Counsel John Durham’s investigation seems to have come back out of nowhere. In August 2020, former FBI attorney Kevin Clinesmith plead guilty to altering an email in order to improperly obtain a surveillance warrant against former Trump campaign adviser Carter Page. Then, in an even more shocking development just last month, Durham secured an indictment against Washington attorney Michael Sussmann for lying to the FBI. According to the indictment, Sussmann presented allegations about the connection between the Trump campaign and Russia to the FBI without disclosing that he was acting on behalf of the Clinton campaign, in effect “[misleading] the FBI about the political nature of his work.” The indictment also made clear that Sussmann and his colleagues may have been fully aware that the information they were sharing was false.
Now, pressure is mounting on Attorney General Merrick Garland to release the full Durham report once it is complete. If the revelations thus far are any indication, the political fallout for Democrats could be significant. In the wake of the Sussmann indictment, left-wing comedian Russell Brand posted a video complaining about the Democrat deception—and if the millions of views the video has racked up are any indication, Brand may speak for the disaffection many liberals will feel when they finally realize they were lied to. Should the Durham report further expose a conspiracy between the Clinton campaign, the Obama administration, and the intelligence community to spy on and levy false accusations against President Trump, it would vindicate Trump’s assertions throughout his time in office of a Deep State effort to sabotage his presidency. Such a development would undoubtedly energize the Republican base and discredit Congressional Democrats in the eyes of the American people.
The Supreme Court Could Revise Roe v. Wade
In December, the Supreme Court is set to hear arguments in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, the most significant challenge to Roe v. Wade in nearly three decades. If the uproar over the Supreme Court’s decision to allow a Texas law banning most abortions to go into effect is any indication, the political ramifications of the Dobbs decision could be monumental. While changing Roe would be an undeniable victory for conservatives in a decades-long battle, the immediate political effect for Republicans may be more of a mixed bag. On the one hand, a victory for the pro-life movement could help galvanize Republicans behind this important issue. However, it could also energize the Democratic base, providing an issue to rally around as the Biden administration and Democrat leaders in Congress botch one crisis after another.
Justice Stephen Breyer Could Give in to the Woke Mob and Retire
It didn’t take long after President Biden took office for progressives to start clamoring for the retirement of Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer. Despite having one of the most liberal voting records of anyone on the Court, progressives have made clear that they want an even more radical, younger judge to take his place.
While Breyer has so far resisted calls for his retirement, he is nonetheless the oldest person on the Court at 82, and he has stated that he does not intend to remain on the bench until his death.
If Breyer announces his retirement at the end of the current Supreme Court term or shortly before the midterms, it would dramatically raise the stakes of the contest for control of the Senate. After watching President Trump and Senate Republicans put three justices on the Court, and knowing that there is no guarantee they win the White House again in 2024, liberals are desperate to preserve the seats they have left. If Republicans win back the Senate, they could potentially block any Biden nominee, much like they did with Merrick Garland in 2016. In effect, a Breyer retirement would make the midterm elections an election for a Supreme Court Justice as well.
Biden Could Be Forced to Step Down
Concerns about Joe Biden’s health and faculties have been well-documented throughout the 2020 campaign and the early months of his presidency, and compared to other recent presidents, he is rarely seen in public. While the White House has repeatedly dismissed concerns about Biden’s cognitive decline, aides have privately admitted that they can’t even watch Biden’s public appearances for fear that he will take questions from the media. According to one recent poll, 56% of Americans think that Biden is not mentally sharp. Most Americans also report that they do not believe he is the one really running the country.
It is simply a reality that an individual of Biden’s age could face an unforeseen health issue that would leave him incapable of performing the very demanding job he holds. Should that happen, the Democrat Party would suddenly find itself in a leadership crisis ahead of the midterms as Kamala Harris, a historically unpopular vice president, took Biden’s place. In this scenario, a succession fight over who would be on the Democratic ticket in 2024 would suddenly take center stage, further hampering Democrats’ efforts to project a unified front and distracting from Congressional battles throughout the country.
A similar situation faced Republicans following the resignation of President Nixon in 1974. After Vice President Ford assumed the presidency, a leadership battle ensued, and Ford was nearly defeated by Ronald Reagan in the 1976 Republican primary. That internal struggle likely contributed to Ford’s loss to Jimmy Carter that fall, a precedent that would not bode well for Harris and Congressional Democrats in the event of a Biden exit.
Pelosi Could Actually Be Forced Out As Speaker
Joe Biden isn’t the only major Democratic leader who could be in peril between now and next November. Following disastrous results for Democrats in last year’s House elections, Pelosi has struggled to keep her conference together as she faces simultaneous revolts from both the progressive and moderate wings of her party. Currently, the two factions are locked in a stand-off over Biden’s $3.5 trillion spending bill. If Pelosi can’t get that and the $1.2 trillion infrastructure bill passed, it would be a major blow to Biden’s domestic agenda and could undermine the confidence of the Democratic caucus in Pelosi’s leadership.
Pelosi already faced calls to step down when Democrats took back the House in 2018, and some progressives were vocally unhappy when she stayed on as speaker after 2020. Pelosi previously pitched herself as a “transitional” leader for the party, and some aides have privately speculated that this could be her last term in the House.
If Pelosi were to be forced out, resign, or announce her retirement, it would amount to a seismic shift in the political landscape in Washington. Pelosi has led House Democrats for 18 years, and her absence would almost certainly touch off an internal battle amongst progressive and moderate Democrats to determine the future direction of the party.
The Economy Could Tank
After President Trump led a historic economic resurgence following the downturn caused by the coronavirus pandemic, that progress slowed, halted, and then began to reverse under President Biden. Inflation continues to be a persistent problem, energy prices are on the rise, the costs of everyday goods are soaring, and the country can’t seem to solve its supply chain issues.
Moreover, Biden and Congressional Democrats are pushing $4.5 trillion in spending, coupled with historic tax hikes—potentially amounting to an economic double-whammy that would fuel inflation while crushing Americans’ disposable at the same time.
The country could also face further economic hardship if Biden is unable to deliver on his promise to “shut down” COVID-19. Since Democrats have unified control of the federal government, they will likely have a difficult time convincing many Americans that Republicans are responsible for the economic direction of the country. In what was already going to be a tough year for Democrats, further economic woes would only make hurt their chances even more.
China Could Invade Taiwan—or some other unforeseen crisis
On the heels of a disastrous evacuation from Afghanistan and a highly visible public spat with France, Biden and Congressional Democrats are already on their heels when it comes to foreign policy.
Throughout the 2020 campaign, President Trump warned that Biden was “soft on China,” pointing to Biden’s previous statements calling for closer ties. Since Biden took office, those accusations appear to have been spot on, as China has only grown more aggressive around the world.
Tensions are especially high over Taiwan, which the Chinese Communist Party has long sought to bring back under its dominion. Taiwan is a key American trading partner and a vital supplier of semiconductors used in countless consumer goods, as well as military equipment. If China gains control of the island nation, it would be a historic defeat not only for Taiwan, but for the United States and free people everywhere.
In short, heading into next year, the only sure thing is that in politics, nothing is a sure thing.
While Republicans appear to be in a good position at the moment, history suggests that coasting into an election cycle and is not a wise move. Instead, the GOP should remain on the lookout for developments that they can use to their advantage—and also be cautious of how their political fortunes can turn on a dime.
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The eight hundred pound gorilla in the room is that everyone in knows this regime is illegitimate. They may even have surprised themselves. Clearly America voted for Donald Trump. There is zero enthusiasm for Biden-Harris and no one can find any of the 81 million beyond the media, Big Tech and Hollywood. Their radical agenda is so to the left, even their own members can’t support it. Most concerning is the world is watching the vacuous marionette stumbling around, apparently exiled from the White House. Adventurism by our adversaries is increasing and we have no clue who will have their finger on the button while Joe snoozes.
Americans are still waiting for the first action by this pathetic, illegitimate regime that actually helps America. Democrats have seized power through hook and crook and have no idea what to do with it. Beyond spending money and blaming others for their failures.
What happened when they asked Ginsburg to step down? Or did they? She can get old and that is just fine. But he can’t get old. We can’t have that, now. What a farce.
Nothing will change if the voting system isn’t somehow fixed, and you can be sure blue states will do NOTHING to change what is now the norm (mail in ballots, no ID required to vote, anyone can vote – anytime and anywhere). Just look at the 2020 Presidential election. Fake and invalid through and through. Yet, here we have a senile old man in the White House who somehow got elected through no effort on his part.
Unless we can have an honest and lawful ballot count, we will not take back either the House or the Senate.
Absolutely true. The communist elites who control our country stole the 2020 election and there is no evidence that they will not try for an encore in 2022.
BINGO! WE HAVE A WINNAH! Dumbocrats just stole a NATIONAL election with ZERO consequences! The fix is in for ALL subsequent elections. Fugitttaboudt voting changing anything in the USA. ‘Soap box, ballot box, cartridge box’ – Abraham Lincoln. WAKE UP!
Where Democrats count the votes they DO NOT get removed from office. I think anyone discussing a big Republican sweep in 2022 is kidding themselves and their readers. The fix is ALWAYS in where Dems count the votes. What is being changed in the voting process from 2020?
NADA! ZIP! GOOSE EGG! Looking for relief from the ballot box is like seeking drinking water straight out of your toilet.
I hate that big red circle requesting comments that covers over the article I am trying to read! People can leave comments at the end without that big red circle!! Please do away with it or at least make it so it can be minimized!!!
Or the aliens could land, or the poles could shift, or China might invade Taiwan, or on and on ad infinitum.
I believe Polish folks are quite satisfied with their present national location.
And pigs could fly.
If Breyer retires at the end of this term (likely), Biden will appoint and the Senate will confirm his replacement.
The Durham report, at best, will be viewed as a partisan hit-job that will not change a single mind, on either side.
Pelosi will not be forced out. If anything, she’ll stay longer than her announced intent to step down before the next Congress in 2023.
Maybe Roe will be revised on the current case from Mississippi, but more likely, Roberts knows that it would be disastrous for the GOP in the 2022 midterms, so they’ll duck the issue.
The economy is not going to crash unless the GOP blocks raising the debt limit. In that case, they will be blamed, quite properly.
As for something totally unforeseen, it won’t be China invading Taiwan. The deal to sell nuclear subs to Australia has already shown China that Biden will be tough on them.
So basically, this article is fairly stupid.
“Biden will be tough on them”.
Is this sarcasm? Biden is so clueless, he had no idea we were selling Australia nuclear subs. The man is a coward. He invited the Taliban to surround our forces and abandoned American citizens.
Buddy, the economy IS crashing, NOW. Where have YOU been? Talk about stupid…
All of these things might happen, but the media will tell you otherwise.
Conservatives want to take away Social Security and healthcare from you!
Why do you let yourselves get FOOLED?
What is that, Dem Standard Play #7? Don’t see that one trotted out much anymore. It was old, and a lie, back when they tried to use it against Reagan.
George, I’ve heard that lie for over 30 years and-surprise- Social Security is still with us!
Yes and the Republicans and conservatives want to put minority folks back in chains. Excuse me while I reshape my tinfoil hat into a dunce cap to align with these opinions.
Got stupid? Yeah, it shows.
Great! Let’s start now!
Are you all in the throes of Alzheimer’s?
Conservatives want to take away your benefits! Why do you fall for that?
“Alzheimer’s”? You must be referring to the big guy.
George, liars go to Hell, and you’re going to bust the place wide open!
You were not born with benefits from the government, buddy.
Democrats nee “liberals” nee “progressives” are actually Marxians bowing the false religion of intellectual arrogance Marxianity…and collectively all who support their agenda have a major problem far bigger than any of those listed; the “God” of Jefferson’s “Laws of Nature and of Nature’s God” has chosen to empirically evidence existence.
He is the God of Sinai, Yeshua and 1776….yes, 1776 per the Convergence Matrix.
As one might expect He would provide clarity as never before given His unwillingness to compromise a plan 6000 years in the making nearing its end. Everything you know or thought you knew has changed with the matrices fusing mathematics and history…a sample of which you can find at the acorn from which a might oak will grow: http://www.givesendgo.com/G26Y5
???
I live in California, and I have decided there is no point in voting anymore due to institutional voter fraud. I’ll vote county races, but that’s it. The less participation the better.
Then make sure you X out the other races so they don’t get voted for you. Local elections office told me ballots with more than one vote per candidate or measure had that choice voided. I use a sharpie and put a big X and write “no vote” over the entire choice if not voting on it.
This is a war of attrition. Pelosi, Schumer, and Biden, along with Bernie have a very short life span, remaining. Meanwhile, Traitor Joe and Harris are republicans strongest campaigners. Republicans need to be the adults in the room (adults that are not in their second childhood.). Despite the MSM’s allegiance to the democrats, the American people, especially independents and centrist republicans, are not, all, deaf, dumb and blind. The MSM will be going down with the democrat ship and fully exposed as the propaganda wing of the democrat party. Republicans need to pick their battles and always take the high ground. McConnell knows this. He pissed off most republicans when he extended the debt ceiling. But, he won over independents and moderate democrats. And look at Schumer’s reaction. Just enforcing the idea that democrat politicians are just, hateful, spoiled, brats that will always demand more, when you hold out an olive branch. And, they haven’t really one anything, since in December they have to address this again, and they just burnt the McConnell bridge. Stay united republicans, we are fighting an evil, deep state, autocracy. We need to seize the middle ground, if we are to win congress and the Supreme Court.
Every time I hear a republican exhort the rest of us to “always take the high ground” I look at the democrats use of the low ground and see how far they’ve gone with it. They’ve curb stomped us throughout the culture wars and in every other fight they’ve picked while you and people like you have seen fit to quibble over Marquess of Queesburry rules they have seen fit to ignore… completely! I can also appreciate your derisive comment concerning former president Trump especially considering that he furthered our interests far beyond those who stuck to the ‘”high ground.” As for soft conservatives and independents FINALLY seeing the light we’re far beyond the help of dumb and dumber still. The war is to be fought and won in the trenches big guy and that’s a long ways from your “high ground.”
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You don’t seem to understand that the democrats control the media. Any republican misstep will be amplified. We are winning, by, almost, doing nothing. Biden won hiding in his basement.
No, Biden won by VOTER FRAUD. There, I fixed it for you.
Except we need to take the higher ground with grit and WISDOM and be on the offense. Out smart them and show the world WHO THEY ARE. Christ said to be “As wise as a serpent and as harmless as a dove”. Apostle Paul said that “the Word of God was sharper than any two-edged sword, able to divide asunder bone and marrow, soul and spirit” (the bone and marrow would need a high powered microscope to be cleanly divided a part today). We need wisdom from on high to know what to do and say.
Anyone that thinks that we have a chance to reverse the downward spiral that USA is in just plain ignores the fact that the next generation in school today has been educated by the present set of American hating teachers. There is at least a one generation lag in changing the trend of the country and that change always starts in grade school.
Game Changer #8. China’s economy collapses due to systemic fraud and corruption. This leads to famine, civil war, and revolution that may or may not spill out into surrounding countries.
“It is simply a reality that an individual of Biden’s age could face an unforeseen health issue that would leave him incapable of performing the very demanding job he holds.” He’s incapable now of performing the duties. He has great difficulty just reading his teleprompter. He’s unfit and unelected.
There’s nothing unfit about Biden. He rides a bicycle for exercise while the Fat Guy in FL can’t walk down a ramp.
Biden does a great job beating up stairs with his face.
And dementia Joe can’t walk up a ramp. So there.
I’m pretty sure his interpretation of unfit wasn’t referring to physical aspects of riding bikes or walking ramps. I’d prefer a savvy and mentally sharp leader who can’t walk a ramp over a mentally deficient one who can ride a bike.
The big difference and the reason the socialists are winning is our main stream media. Being 74 years old I never thought these people would protect one group and do everything they can to destroy another group. Don’t they understand that if their socialist buddies take power most of them will be eliminated if they don’t do everything their overlords demand of them.
Even the weakest Christian know Roe vs Wade is wrong yet it continues to remain in law. Let’s support change.
I think the real issue is we the taxpayers are forced to fund abortion clinics. Whenever I hear “my body,my choice” I say it was their choice until God gave them a gift from him and it’s no longer just her body. There’s another soul inside her body and her responsibility is to do everything in her power to make sure this other soul lives. Of course there are exceptions but those are rare. These women were given the gift of life by their Mothers, what right do they have to deny that same right to their child?
Another potential ‘real issue’ is to take responsibility for one’s body to not get pregnant in the first place. Abortion is viewed by many as a birth control method because they “choose” not to encumber their sex life with trivial inconveniences like birth control to prevent unwanted pregnancies. It’s hard to believe there are people who prefer having a fetus ripped apart with body parts peddled for dollars over making intelligent choices for their body to begin with.