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FBI Quietly Revises Violent Crime Data, Now Showing Surge Instead of Reported Decrease

Posted on Thursday, October 17, 2024
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DAILY CALLER NEWS FOUNDATION—The Federal Bureau of Investigation quietly revised its national crime data for 2022, showing that violent crime actually increased instead of decreased, as was initially reported, according to RealClearInvestigations.

The FBI Uniform Crime Report initially showed a slight 2.1% decrease in violent crime from 2021 to 2022, however, the revision, which was only briefly mentioned on its website, shows an increase in violent crime of 4.5%, according to RealClearInvestigations. The revision comes after the release of the 2023 Uniform Crime Report data in September, which showed a 3% decrease in national violent crimeaccording to an FBI press release.

“I have checked the data on total violent crime from 2004 to 2022,” Carl Moody, professor at the College of William & Mary who specializes in crime, told RealClearInvestigations. “There were no revisions from 2004 to 2015, and from 2016 to 2020, there were small changes of less than one percentage point. The huge changes in 2021 and 2022, especially without an explanation, make it difficult to trust the FBI data.”

The change is only discoverable when downloading the new set of data now and comparing it to the old, with the FBI issuing no statement reflecting the change, RealClearInvestigations reported.

The post-release change is similar to the revisions the Bureau of Labor Statistics does for its jobs numbers, which overestimated the amount of jobs in America in 2023 by an average of 105,000 a month.

“The [FBI’s] processes, such as how it tries to ‘estimate’ unreported figures, has long been a black box, even to the Bureau of Justice Statistics—the Department of Justice’s actual statistical agency,” Jeffrey Anderson, who headed the Bureau of Justice Statistics from 2017 to 2021, told RealClearInvestigations. “We definitely would have highlighted in a press release or a report the 6.6% change recorded for 2022, which moved the numbers from a drop to a rise in violent crime.”

The Bureau of Justice Statistics releases its own measure of crime called the National Crime Victimization Survey, which reported a rise in violent crime victimizations in 2022, according to the report summary. The National Crime Victimization Survey is a national survey that also accounts for unreported crimes, unlike the FBI Uniform Crime Report data, which relies on reported crimes to police departments around the nation.

“With the media using the 2022 FBI data to tell us for a year that crime was falling, it is disappointing that there are no news articles correcting that misimpression,” Moody told RealClearInvestigations. “We will have to see whether the FBI later also revises the 2023 numbers.”

The FBI did not immediately respond to the Daily Caller News Foundation’s request for comment.

Originally published by the Daily Caller News Foundation

Reprinted with permission from The Daily Signal by Wallace White.

The opinions expressed by columnists are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of AMAC or AMAC Action.

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PaulE
PaulE
1 month ago

Another “Nothing to see here. Move on. Move on” moment from the administrative state that will do whatever it takes to make a Democrat administration look good and a Republican administration look bad. The bogus report was put out to allow the current administration and MSM to claim that the crime rate was down, and everything was just fine. The opposite of reality, but a useful political narrative for Democrats as the election date approaches. That is the narrative that was pushed for the last 4 to 6 weeks. Anyone pointing out the flaw in the data was ripped by the MSM on queue.

Now of course the corrected crime report has been quietly released and it will be completely ignored by the MSM and every Democrat. Thus, most of the public will only know the false narrative that was put out previously. Standard intentional misrepresentation of the facts for political gain.

W T
W T
1 month ago

Just proves that anything connected with the government is 90% smoke and mirrors or a shell game.

David Millikan
David Millikan
1 month ago

Of course the biden/harris Politically Weaponized fbi changes its Crime report. Tens of Millions of their Illegal Alien Terrorist Invasion are let in and we are supposed to believe crime went down. They will lie and say anything to cover their continuous Failures for a vote. Remember, the biden/harris administration and democrats live in FANTASY WORLD where everything is perfect and it’s everybody else’s fault for their lies they tell the American people.

Susan
Susan
1 month ago

Election interference

David Millikan
David Millikan
1 month ago

Where’s Hunter biden?

Stephen V.
Stephen V.
1 month ago

The real question is, why did they change the stats?

Philip Seth Hammersley
Philip Seth Hammersley
1 month ago

Just more DISinformation from Joey’s mafiosi. Like those 818,000 ghost jobs from a couple of months ago. If a Biden official said the sun was shining, I’d look out the window just to be sure!

Robert Zuccaro
Robert Zuccaro
1 month ago

Funny how if you don’t count something, it doesn’t count, huh? It has to be intentional because if not, that means America’s premier law investigative body is ignorant of the facts. And don’t forget the FBI role in an actual subversion, the Russia Hoax. Dirty, dirty, dirty…

Fred
Fred
1 month ago

That is a 6.6% change from what they first reported and probably still much lower than actual facts as those in law enforcement know. Biden/Harris can deny but facts are facts and can’t be denied.

michael
michael
1 month ago

don’t you know that had to hurt. lying for the dumb as crap election and getting caught. wow someone is losing their job. as it needs to and more than just 1 job, maybe hundreds.

MichaelB
MichaelB
1 month ago

There goes a Democrat talking point.

Summer Sands
Summer Sands
1 month ago

Those doing this crap and conspiring to deceive the American Citizens need to be immediately fired. Those individuals working for these horrid organizations need to blow the white on them all.
All of the “abc” organizations should be fired from the top down. They’re all corrupt and morally bankrupt. They have lost their way and must be replaced or gotten rid of completely.

Craig
Craig
1 month ago

The FBI was once a trusted crime fighting agency of the Federal Government. People, more often than not, trusted the FBI……once a hallowed crime fighting institution. Now, the majority of Americans have absolutely no trust whatsoever in this institution. Starting with James Comey and now with Christopher Wray the lies and deceptions are terrible and should put fear in all freedom and liberty loving Americans. The FBI has now become a weaponized organization of the Democrat Party!! How sad and frightening!

chuck
chuck
1 month ago

SURPRISE! SURPRISE!!!

Mike
Mike
1 month ago

The last four years the Federal Bureau of Incompetence (FBI) has been a political arm of the Dumbocratic Party without the leadership or balls to tell the truth. Guess the organization should be dissolved and the states should take over the law enforcement on state and federal levels

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