Why Are We Going Down Same Path With Iran We Did With North Korea?

dt-amac-flag-iran-april-2015from – – by Kim Holmes

A U.S. president reaches a nuclear agreement with a rogue state. He steps before the microphones and declares, “This is a good deal for the United States.” The pariah nation will, he continues, “freeze and then dismantle its nuclear program” and the “entire world will be safer as we slow the spread of nuclear weapons.”

It was President Bill Clinton speaking about the 1994 Nuclear Framework Agreement with North Korea. Of course, it didn’t turn out as advertised.

Today, North Korea has an estimated arsenal of 10-16 nuclear weapons. Negotiations with North Korea followed the same tortured path of fits and starts and broken promises we see today in the talks with Iran. So why should we expect the outcome for Iran to be any different than for North Korea?

In hindsight, it is crystal clear that North Korea’s intent all along was to use the negotiation process not only to buy time but to gain concessions from the West.

Pyongyang, like Tehran, claimed it was all about North Korea’s legitimate energy needs. It was not. It was about getting the rest of the world slowly used to the idea that North Korea’s nuclear program was inevitable. The stop-and-go nature of the talks, whereby a bold promise to dismantle something would be followed a few months later by disputes over verification, and eventually a nuclear test, were meant to wear down our patience. Goalposts were slowly but surely moved in North Korea’s direction. Today there are no posts left because the goal has been attained.

The same thing is happening with Iran. The Obama administration started out promising to prevent Iran from getting a nuclear capability. But the framework agreement reached with Iran last week would let Iran keep its nuclear infrastructure. It also implicitly promises that, 10 years down the line, the U.S. may be willing to live with a nuclear Iran. As far as that implication goes, whether the breakout time is one year or three months is immaterial. What matters is that the U.S. has signaled that something less than full nuclear dismantlement is acceptable, which in Iranian eyes is likely to be interpreted as a glide path to international acceptance of its nuclear program.

Think about it. Whether the agreement holds or not, Iran has already achieved a strategic victory over the U.S. It has forced us to concede the possibility of a future nuclear Iran. It also has delinked all of Tehran’s bad behavior on terrorism and destabilizing the Middle East from the nuclear question. Even if Iran backed out of the talks tomorrow, it will have made clear that the U.S. has given its tacit consent to Tehran’s hegemonic ambitions in the region.

Given the denunciation of the agreement last week by Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, it may have been Tehran’s intention all along to push the envelope and let the talks collapse. The framework agreement may have been a ploy just to knock the U.S. off its full dismantlement position and to pocket other concessions.

The only way to stop Iran is to abandon this agreement and start over. This means tougher sanctions to force Iran truly to give up its nuclear infrastructure in its entirety. Some have tried to dismiss Sen. Mark Kirk’s idea of pushing for tougher sanctions now as meddling with the negotiations. In fact, Kirk’s proposal may be the only way get negotiations restarted on a more serious footing.

It may not work, but a tougher sanctions approach offers a far better chance of stopping a future Iranian bomb than the current agreement. It also has a better chance of stopping war. The Iranian agreement is likely to go the same way of the 1994 North Korean agreement, only with North Korea there were not terrified countries like Israel and Saudi Arabia waiting in the wings willing to take action.

We’ve seen this movie before. This is no time for reruns.

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Janice Killian
6 years ago

I agree that this deal is very much like the one Bill Clinton push through with North Korea and we all should remember it now has 10-16 nucular bombs,. i would say that was a failure and i believe this President plan , with John Kerry’s will fail also. this is why all other nations are trying to get a bomb first because a nucular IRAN will be just as dangerous to the world as North Korea is now!!This deal reminds me of the SO call Obama Care Act, push through with one party only!

Eric S
7 years ago

When the President of the USA is the Islamic Caliphate leader of the western world the path taken with Iran can only be favorable to them. The deep desire to destroy Israel is the motive behind all this. The illegitimate sons of Abraham were told from the beginning they would be at war with all other nations especially Israel for the whole time time the Earth exists. It is inevitable that this conflict will never end until God intervenes in the end of days.

7 years ago

This is not just “the same path” … this will guarantee WWIII. These Islamic fanatics REALLY believe they CAN AND WILL WIN to establish a worldwide Caliphate that has ONLY one law, sharia law. Democratic politicians are not only stupid, they’re nuts! Giving these Islamic fanatics nuclear weapons will ONLY GUARANTEE total destruction of this earth while they die trying! Are Democrats insane?

7 years ago

Our current path with Iran is identical to what Clinton pursued with North Korea. The Iranians, who are NOT stupid and who do fully understand this administration WILL NOT go beyond the endless rounds of self-defeating diplomacy, even in the face of an obviously recalcitrant attitude expressed by Iran’s leadership towards anything approaching cessation of the Iranian nuclear weapons program, mimics the strategy that North Koreans used so well against the last Democrat president. See, they did learn from history unlike our side. In the end, the outcome will unfortunately be identical. Iran will end up with nuclear weapons exactly as North Korea has. In the interim, which is probably far less time than the so-called “experts” have calculated for Iran to achieve that goal, the Iranians will string along the desperate American administration with enough empty promises and outright lies until they have multiple nuclear warheads.

The rest of the Middle Eastern nations seem to understand all this and are already taking active steps to either acquire or develop their own nuclear weapons capability to offset what will be a nuclear armed Iran in the not too distant future. There is a place for diplomacy in some cases. However, diplomacy is ONLY effective when the other side believes they will pay an unacceptably high price should diplomacy fail. Today the Iranians do not have any such concern. They know that neither the United States nor any of the other nations involved in the talks, who are all chomping at the bit to remove the existing economic sanctions, will go beyond endless rounds of negotiations. So Iran will continue to follow the blueprint that history has provided them and we, the American people, will continue to be spoon fed assurances and lies from the administration that everything will work out fine.

The adage of “Those that do not learn from history are doomed to repeat it.” is certainly true in this case. Democrats continue to ignore history and continue to repeat the same policy mistakes over and over again. All because they can’t envision dealing with people whose cultures and world views are not perfectly aligned with ours.

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