AMAC Exclusive – By Claire Brighn
While Republicans and moderates are certainly none too pleased with the Democrat Party and its policies in recent years, a deeper dive into the numbers shows that Democrats’ real problems also extend within their own traditional base of support. If recent polling is any indication, Biden and Democrat elites have moved far too left even for the party faithful. Democratic leadership’s embrace of a radical social and economic agenda is threatening to fracture, split, and alienate rank-and-file Democrat voters—and perhaps turn millions of them into Republicans.
According to a McLaughlin poll from late last month, Biden’s approval rating sits at 41% – around the level it has been since January. What has changed, however, is a sizeable drop in support among Biden’s base: 25% who voted for him in 2020 now disapprove of the job he is doing. Even more significantly, 19% of registered Democrats disapprove – a high figure for an incumbent President.
In another poll from Civiqs, Biden’s approval rating sits even lower at 36%, with his approval rating among Democrats at just 74%. For reference, Donald Trump had 90% approval among Republicans in the same poll at the same point in his presidency during a midterm election year. In fact, Trump’s approval among Republicans increased over time as he passed key legislation such as tax cuts, whereas as Biden, who began with over 90% Democrat approval, has only declined.
This is bad news for Congressional Democrats who, up until now, have hitched their wagon to the far left agenda that Biden has pursued as president, with a recent Trafalgar poll showing that on a generic congressional ballot, 48% would vote Republican and 39% Democrat. This nine-point spread, according to pollster Robert Cahaly, is “a little more than normal” in a midterm election year. And, “just because somebody said [they’re] going to vote for a Republican for Congress does not make them a Republican,” he added, meaning a significant number of Democrats are unhappy with what they’ve seen from their own party thus far.
All this suggests that on key issues where Biden and Democrats have worked to implement their policies – such as the border, spending, taxes, and education – they have moved far to the left of where the average Democrat voter stands. Squad member AOC unknowingly admitted as much last April when she said that Biden had “exceeded” progressive expectations since coming into office.
A Data for Progress survey offers further context for just how radical Biden and Congressional Democrats have become compared to ordinary Democrat voters. On progressive policies ranging from “Medicare for All” to the carbon tax, support was consistently higher among Democratic elites (defined as “those who hold significant authoritative roles in government, or those outside government whose occupations position them to influence those inside government as a significant part of their job”) than likely Democrat voters. The survey found, for example, that while more than 95% of Democrat elites support a carbon tax, just 75% of likely Democrat voters did. On immigration, too, a greater share of Democrat elites supported a “path to citizenship” among those already illegally in the country than average likely Democrat voters. At the very least, this points to an ideological rift between the ultra-progressive elites and the party’s own supporters.
As Biden and Democrats have worked to enact the progressive agenda, problems have grown, support has predictably lagged, and their polling has fallen.
On energy, for example, a recent Trafalgar poll shows roughly 30% of Democrats said Biden should step down if gas prices reach $8 per gallon. Another Trafalgar poll showed a whopping 67% of Democrats said Biden should increase American energy production in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Instead, Biden asked other countries to pump more oil, at the same time proposing roughly $43.5 billion in tax hikes on U.S. gas and oil production. Pair this with a HarrisX poll showing that 36% of Democrat voters are not willing to pay more in taxes to address climate change, and this means that Biden and Democrat elites have almost certainly overestimated support among Democrat voters for their radical climate agenda at the cost of day-to-day living.
On crime, a February Morning Consult/Politico poll found that 62% of Democrats feel that defunding the police is a factor in the increase in violent crime. Regardless, Squad members like Cori Bush won’t let the unpopular policy go, and Biden has focused his crime policy on “gun control.”
On the border, there are also serious problems for Biden and Democrat leaders. Last June, a YouGov poll showed just 27% of Democrats said there is “no crisis” at the border – a shockingly low number which has likely only fallen since. Now, as Biden is set to repeal Title 42, an April Trafalgar poll shows 22% of Democrats say that the border should be closed until a solution is reached. Among Hispanic voters, this figure is a whopping 65%. For a president who relied on winning 59% of the Hispanic vote in 2020, that number is troubling indeed.
Perhaps even more glaringly, the Democratic elite’s embrace of woke, gender-bending language and ideology is also deeply out of touch among average Democrat voters. Biden’s consistent use of the word “Latinx” – which only 1 in 4 of Hispanics have even heard of – is an example of this. And according to a Public Opinion Strategies poll from March, when presented with the actual text of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis’s parental rights bill, 55% of Democrats support it. Moreover, 67% of Democrat voters do not want to see gender removed from passports. The Biden State Department has already issued “X” passports.
On abortion, turns out the politics are not so cut and dry as Biden and Democrats in Congress would have us believe. An AP-NORC poll from June of last year found that 80% of those surveyed said that third trimester abortions should be illegal in “most” or “all cases.” Regardless, Biden and Democrat leaders are pushing legislation that would in effect codify the right to abortion up until the moment of birth. Moreover, Biden’s spending proposals do not include the Hyde Amendment – even though a January Marist poll shows 29% of Democrats do not support taxpayer dollars funding abortions.
On virtually every issue that matters to Americans, Biden and Congressional Democrats have opted for the far left approach, leaving them egregiously out of step with their voters. Election results are beginning to confirm as much. After Ohio’s special election last week, for example, longtime Democrat strategist James Carville said that the loss of Nina Turner – a Bernie-backed progressive (and the “darling of the urban left”) – to the more establishment Democrat Shontel Brown was a major wakeup call to those in his party. He urged Squad members Cori Bush and Rashida Tlaib to “start reading the election results” because “nobody likes you.”
But if the better part of these past two years have been any indication, Democrat elite policy objectives are so entrenched that there is little chance – and little desire – for a course correction. As more Democrat voters grow increasingly disenchanted, Biden and Congressional Democrats risk not just losing elections, but destroying their coalition entirely.
Claire Brighn is the pen name of a conservative researcher and writer with previous domestic and foreign policy experience in the Executive Branch.
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The democrats push for a so-called progressive agenda should not even be considered progressive at this point. They’ve become so radical that their agenda is seemingly more in line with Marxism / Communism, so one has to wonder…is this really their plan? Just look around…they’re not even trying to hide their radical agenda any longer. They’ve certainly not done anything to reverse the negative impacts to our spiraling economy in the past 18 months. Everything they’re doing now is intentional…to “fundamentally” destroy our way of life and ultimately, our country! No wonder they are losing their base!
This inflation is INTENTIONAL. The world runs on energy. Only an imbecile would think you can cut oil and gas and NOT cause inflation. Biden campaign: If we get the price too high for people to buy it, they won’t use it”.
I find it humorous that biden’s alienated his own voting base via his inept “leadership” or, quite frankly lack of leadership. The fool’s a shill for the global elite, the global left. He’s unfit for office yet, the libs keep him propped up during the day to make it look like ol’ slo’ joe’s standing on his own. Hardly, he’s failing on all fronts. Joe’s handlers should be rounded up and charged with geriatric, impaired elder abuse at least! But, in the meantime show ol’ slo’ joe the door and have him take that Kamel-ah beast with him!
FJB! LET’S GO BRANDON!
Democrats didn’t vote FOR Biden in the first place…..they were voting against Trump !
Interesting! I don’t remember any check box on the ballot that said “ I cast my vote for anyone but Trump”. I do remember the wording being “for Donald J. Trump, the Republican nominee for President and Michael Pence the Republican nominee for Vice President” or specifically “for Joseph R. Biden, the Democrat nominee for President and Kamala Harris, the Democrat nominee for Vice President “. If you checked the box for Biden you did, in fact, want Biden for President. There were alternatives like the Libertarian, Peace and Freedom and Other parties candidates to chose from. If you didn’t choose any of them and checked Joe’s box then you wanted Joe and everything he represented. It’s that simple.
Well said! I voted for Trump in 2016, 2020, and will vote for him in 2024 if he runs. Thanks for your strong argument.
Some of that is partly true, what stupid decisions blind hatred makes some people do!
What disenchanted Democrats are you talking about? When the bell rings all the programmed Democrats will march right back into the fold. All will be forgiven and forgotten. Don’t waste your time thinking there might be a new sense of reality for Democrats. Socialism is in their DNA now. .
I think Biden actually believes his own lies. He is a sick puppy.
I almost agree. However, you need to be Cognitive of your surroundings to be capable of discerning what is true or false. His Handlers ( whoever they are ) and his wife, Joking Jill, should all be charged with “ Elder Abuse “.
He loves lying, and he lies. It is who he is.
It is who his whole family is!
FJB! LET’S GO BRANDON!
Maybe a significant fraction of dyed-in-the-wool DemocRats is starting to realize that the leadership of DemocRats swivels about as closely to Communism as it can get without even the News Media majority recognizing it. Rigged elections like the one that elected Joe Hidin’ Biden show that the DemocRat Party is NOT controlled by constitutional democratic principles, but instead follows the precepts and concepts of Communism, including a ruler and governing body pulling strings in the background. The Democrats seek to control the people like they were puppets on political strings … not a duly elected voting body to ensure Constitutional democracy is maintained and preserved.
The Democrats are adding gasoline to the fire . Wait a minute, at almost 5 dollars a gallon here in Illinois, they might not be able to afford the gas . I hate to wish my life away, but I want to see voting results in November . These creatures are destroying the great US of A . There’s a lot of Republicans that side with these creatures also. I’m optimistic our votes will count . Vote November.
Sure they can afford the gas – look at what they have money-wise and asset-wise, much of which was obtained through “serving” the public (themselves).
This incompetent “ship of fools” doesn’t get it. I hope that they don’t catch on. They apparently are wearing blinders and ear plugs. They have their wetted fingers up to catch the way the wind is blowing. Perhaps what they are feeling are the winds of change and it is not for them.
TO THE POLLSTERS. PLEASE TELL ME HOW ALL OF THESE POLLS SEEM TO BE NEGATIVE BUT JOEY STAYS AT 41%. DO YOU NEED TO POLL OTHER GROUPS???
Obviously, they are wetting the backs of their fingers.
It took 2000 mules to elect 1 JACKASS!!
Extremely sharp point! Nice!
They have already hired thousand’s of mules for the primaries. Don’t count on winning. They will steal the elections in November again.
I am NOT interested in ANY poll– only interested in voting the fools out!!
I have said this from the beginning.
The Biden Administration is destroying our great Country from day one!
It all makes no differance at all if in the 2022 elections the marxist democrats and rinos are not completely removed and embarrassed!!
This anti American, innoral,corrupt, dishonest group of self serving scum MUST BE REMOVED!
We the People must save Our Country and Freedom!
Yes, the marxist democrat party and their radical policies are out of control and BAD FOR AMERICA !
Their coalition should be destroyed. DemonRats have been actively working to destroy America since 1960. And since 1980 they have done nothing but lie to Americans about what they are trying to do (fully destroy America).
Unless demonRAT voters wake up and start supporting politicians who support America, they win.
Get rid of every demonRat.
Have you ever wondered that the last 4 letters in Democrat is c rat?
Back in my days in the Army “C rats” were to be avoided… but weren’t. Instead they were issued… along with the LRRPs (depending). I mean, we did have to eat something. Anyway, they were more welcomed than the liberals, the democrats.
FJB! LET’S GO BRANDON!
Thank goodness all the democrat voters are not brain dead. Biden is surrounded by extremists and their ridiculous ideas and democrats may like Biden but most Americans are hurting right now because he is caving in to the extremists in his party.
Those marxist democrat voters brain conditions are open for debate??
How could ANYONE support America’s destruction or such 50 year failed policies???
democrats have always been a (k)clan nothing has changed since their inception except they are 110% worse than the originals..
Biden talked about inflation yesterday & stated that he has decreased Fed Debt by $ 1.5Trillion this year. How is that possible & so is Debt now that much below $30T at current time? How has he decreased the debt this year & one must remember it has increased for 13-years straight from 2008-2021. This debt has tripled since the first year Obama took office in 2008.
He and the democrat party are LIARS
He (they) didn’t decrease it. They INCREASED the overall debt. They just massaged the numbers to cover the truth.
FJB! LET’S GO BRANDON!
One poll wants Biden to resign if gas hits $8/gallon. I hope not, as that means we are really in major trouble. This article says Biden wants to raise taxes on oil producers & just how is that going to make the oil producers trust the government & want to make long range plans to increase production. Biden needs to come out & say “I changed my mind & will not get rid of fossil fuels in USA. Also, he is pulling 1M gallons out of strategic oil reserve & he did not put any of that into reserve & what is his plan to replenish oil at $300 bbl or leave this to the next administration to fill back up. This reserve should be for emergency such as war & not to put a band-aid on energy costs.
I doubt he plans to refill the reserve. Just makes us weaker for national defense.
Take the party title & the politics out of the elections…no democrat, republican, liberal, conservative, MAGA, Left, Right, socialist, Marxist, fascist etc.
If u believe 1. America First: 2. Regulated borders with immigration law reform; 3. Low crime, safe streets & laws enforced; 3. Strong economy; 4. Firm world leadership; 5. Strong military; 6. Less government control for the people & by the people; 7. Abortion rights determined by the people at the local/state level using the democratic elective process 8. Take care of the environment through consistent changes to improve it; 9. Energy independendence; 10. Free civil speech.
Everyone wants that except a select few on the outer edge…come November we will change the current toxic environment of leadership (lack of?) in the swamp