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Supreme Court Poised to Strike “Assault Weapon” Bans

Posted on Friday, July 10, 2026
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by Timothy H. Lee
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53 Comments
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With good reason, AR-15 style rifles remain America’s most popular firearm.  

While most Americans probably remain unaware, that very popularity protects it against infringement under the Second Amendment.  

In welcome recent news, the United States Supreme Court now appears poised to do just that in its next term.  

By agreeing to review state and local prohibitions on AR-15 platform rifles, the Court possesses the perfect opportunity to reaffirm a Second Amendment principle that should’ve been clear all along:  Government cannot ban an entire class of firearms that tens of millions of law-abiding Americans own for self-defense and other lawful purposes.  

The constitutional question for the Court to resolve is surprisingly straightforward.  The Second Amendment obviously protects the right of the people to keep and bear “Arms,” which the Supreme Court has already defined to include firearms “typically possessed by law-abiding citizens for lawful purposes.”  

That principle wasn’t some afterthought or passing dicta — it was central to the Court’s landmark Second Amendment jurisprudence.  

In District of Columbia v. Heller (2008), the late Justice Antonin Scalia wrote for the majority that the Second Amendment protects weapons “in common use at the time,” contrasting “dangerous and unusual weapons.”  He explained that historical tradition permits restrictions only on weapons that fall outside ordinary civilian ownership, specifically emphasizing that the Amendment protects those arms “typically possessed by law-abiding citizens for lawful purposes.”  

Fourteen years later, Justice Clarence Thomas amplified and clarified that pivotal concept in New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen (2022).  

Rejecting amorphous “balancing tests” that courts have employed to uphold countless infringements on the Bill of Rights over the decades, Justice Thomas wrote for the majority that “the Second Amendment protects the possession and use of weapons that are ‘in common use at the time.'”  Rather than allowing judges to weigh constitutional rights against specious policy preferences, the Court thus required governments going forward to demonstrate that firearm regulations are consistent with America’s historical tradition of firearm regulation.  

That “common use” standard is especially significant in the context of AR-15 rifles because the factual record is overwhelming. 

Specifically, estimates consistently place civilian ownership of AR-15 style rifles at well over 20 million nationwide.  They are used every single day across the U.S. for home defense, target shooting, recreational competition, predator control, ranch work and hunting.  Indeed, in a prior opinion respecting denial of certiorari review in another case, Justice Brett Kavanaugh had observed that Americans possess an estimated 20 to 30 million AR-15s, and that they are legal in the overwhelming majority of states.  That naturally suggests an upcoming legal conclusion that they’re thus “in common use” under the operative question in Heller.  

Obviously, that reality presents Second Amendment restrictionists with a constitutional problem of their own making. 

Namely, gun control advocates spent years insisting that AR-15s are excessively common in America, while arguing that they must therefore be prohibited.  Supreme Court precedent, however, points in the opposite direction:  Widespread lawful ownership offers a defining characteristic separating constitutionally protected arms from those that may historically be prohibited.  

Indeed, the label “assault weapon” itself illustrates the weakness of restrictionists’ argument.  It’s a political term rather than a technical one, typically applied to semiautomatic rifles based on cosmetic features rather than differences in fundamental operation.  An AR-15 fires one round per trigger pull, but so do countless other semiautomatic firearms and even pistols.  It’s not some sort of “machine gun,” and federal law has long restricted automatic weapons.  

Second Amendment opponents will predictably argue that public safety concerns justify prohibitions on these firearms.  The opposite, however, is actually true.  Specifically, firearms are used far more often to deter crime than to commit murder, and it’s not even close.  

In any event, constitutional rights simply aren’t contingent upon shifting political opinions about what government officials believe is in our best interest.  First Amendment speech protections don’t disappear because politicians believe that someone might be offended, nor does the Fourth Amendment vanish because wholesale warrantless searches might improve public safety.  

Bruen rejected that sort of biased interest-balancing, because constitutional guarantees shouldn’t be subject to arbitrary cost-benefit analysis.  Governments must instead demonstrate that proposed restrictions are grounded in this nation’s historical tradition of firearm regulation, and broad prohibitions on the nation’s most popular rifle plainly fail that test.  

The Court thus possesses an opportunity to provide much-needed clarity after years of resistance by lower courts that have struggled to reconcile modern “assault weapon” bans with Heller and Bruen.  The answer shouldn’t be difficult.  America’s most popular rifle is popular because millions of responsible, law-abiding citizens have freely chosen it for lawful purposes.  

Under the Supreme Court’s own precedents, that widespread ownership is not a constitutional defect, as gun control advocates assert.  It’s precisely why the Second Amendment protects it against infringement.

Timothy H. Lee is Senior Vice President of legal and public affairs at the Center for Individual Freedom.

Reposted with permission from cfif.org by Timothy H. Lee.

The opinions expressed by columnists are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of AMAC or AMAC Action.

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Dan H
Dan H
4 days ago

The left would like to take the firearms of every law abiding citizen. If that were to happen it would be the end of our freedom. We would become subjects instead of citizens. We can’t let that happen! VOTE the leftists out!

Enuf said
Enuf said
4 days ago

Ask the typical uneducated liberal what AR stands for in AR-15. The IDIOT will tell you “assault rifle “. That explains their lack of knowledge.

James D
James D
4 days ago

The key word is ASSAULT.
Anything can be an “assault weapon”
If I grab a hammer and hit you with it, I changes from a tool to an assault weapon.
I can also use an AR-15 as a paper weight.

Roseann Carpenter
Roseann Carpenter
4 days ago

Shall not be infringed”, people, this is a right that we Americans have. To keep and bear arms. If only Israel had it on October 7. And if some of our schools had not been a “gun free zone”. The second amendment protects all other amendments, IMP.

Tplorable
Tplorable
4 days ago

I hope SCOTUS does the right thing. We have been stripped of our rights here in Illinois. None of our neighboring states have these ridiculous rules. Pritzker does not believe in the constitution. He is acting like a dictator.

granky
granky
4 days ago

Ruger makes a gun, the mini-14, which can be purchased in several different styles. Most look like hunting rifles, wooden stocks, open sights, one is called a ranch rifle. They also offer this same weapon in a variation that looks like a AR 15. They are all semi-automatic rifles and operate exactly the same, none are machine guns. You cannot buy a fully automatic “Machine gun” legally without a special permit. Your typical liberal doesn’t have a clue about the difference. Just because a weapon looks like a military weapon doesn’t make it any more lethal than your grandfather’s deer rifle.

MtnBrkr
MtnBrkr
4 days ago

Sometime during my early childhood, my father, raised in a farming community in the Midwest (where hunting small game for the dinner table was commonly practiced) during the Great Depression, went hunting up north, bagged a forked-horn deer, had the meat processed at a local meat locker, had the head mounted with the hooves attached, brought it home and hung it over the fireplace where it stayed for almost fifty years. There were eventually three of us boys born and raised in that household environment. Placed in the upturned hooves on the trophy head plaque was the rifle used on the hunt, a Czechoslovakian-made, bolt action 8mm Mauser acquired from a local sporting goods store after WWII.
We boys were always admonished, “It’s loaded. Leave it alone.” Not one of us ever checked the validity of that statement. To this day, I still assume it was always loaded.
Heavy sucker.
When we were each twelve years old, we were enrolled in two-week gun safety classes to prepare us to obtain a state-issued hunting license before being allowed to join our father on his annual hunting trip. In our time, each of us followed the required path, took the training and acquired our licenses.
After obtaining my license (still twelve years old), I rode my bicycle two miles to the local sporting goods store, selected a 12-gauge automatic shotgun, which I purchased for fifty dollars, placed into my newspaper bags (I had a route) and rode home prepared to accompany my father on his next “bird hunt.”
My brothers continued to enthusiastically engage in yearly hunting activities for several years. I lost interest at an early age (something to do with eyesight).
As a military veteran but not the reason, I am and always have been a responsible, patriotic gun owner who understands and values the reasons for and continued enforcement of the Second Amendment to the Constitution. I expect the SCOTUS to do the same.

Dr. George R. Rivera, Jr.
Dr. George R. Rivera, Jr.
4 days ago

Unfortunately for 2A supporters, the Left has no shame. Even if told flat-out by SCOTUS to stop the nonsense, they will try with other antics like, “all mean BLACK colored firearms are illegal” will be tried.

Don Medley
Don Medley
4 days ago

Judges who vote against the 2nd amendment should be immediately removed from the bench. They’re obviously anti Constitution and anti American.

Nick Murphy
Nick Murphy
4 days ago

The Democrats are going to freak! As long as the population is armed they can never establish their dictatorship. We don’t have to have a revolution, there’s sentence will come from the holy Father. There is no liberal district court judge That can overturn it. And it will be eternal. The payment for all the innocent lives they’ve taken in the name of abortion, will weigh very heavily on their soul for eternity

Thinking
Thinking
4 days ago

The democrats want to take the guns away from law abiding citizens and give them to the illegal criminals and the woke in their party to kill off those who take the constitution as law. They want to rule with an iron fist. And the only way they ever see power again is by disarming the citizens. And only those governing over the citizenry will have guns. The disarming and dumbing down of these citizens is in the works since Obama was put into office. He was not elected.

Philip Seth Hammersley
Philip Seth Hammersley
4 days ago

LEFT likes criticizing “assault weapons” which is a made-up term! Only difference between listed “assault weapons” and generally-used hunting rifles are cosmetic items like a different stock!

Curlybird
Curlybird
4 days ago

“Shall not be infringed” is the key phrase in the 2nd Amendment. Apparently, the left cannot understand absolutes as everything is relative to them.

The vast majority of mass shootings occur in gun-free zones, schools, churches and theaters to name a few.

The left wants to take away our arms to make it easier for them to take over. The founding fathers had just won a war against tyranny and wanted to assure that tyranny would not rear its ugly head in America again.

That is why they wrote the 2nd Amendment. It protects us from the overreach of tyrannical governments.

Alan Christman
Alan Christman
4 days ago

They are NOT assault weapons. They are Freedom Assurance devices.

Charlotte
Charlotte
4 days ago

There is only one reason why the radical liberals (now Communists) want to outlaw guns. That reason is to control the population. They know if we are allowed to have arms, they cannot beat us down to a sniveling animal. If good people cannot have weapons, only the criminals and the government will have them. That scares the crap out of me!

Larry2
Larry2
4 days ago

A trick that Gun-Hating Democrats use is the “I support the 2nd Amendment BUT.…”. They will campaign on supporting The 2nd Amendment then when elected they change their tune.

A.B. JAMES
A.B. JAMES
4 days ago

any state law that has ANYTHING that infringes on the 2ND AMENDMENT is unconstitutional.
PERIOD

Dean
Dean
4 days ago

Unfortunately the states have their own laws. As a California resident I know first hand. In California we pay an additional 11% sales tax plus local sales tax on firearms and ammunition. No including the “background” check and 10 day waiting period. King Gavin and his court.

anna hubert
anna hubert
4 days ago

To ban anything is useless if the criminal is not forced to face the consequences of the crime committed, justice will work, not ban.

Sam
Sam
4 days ago

It’s not the guns. It’s the lowlife’s behind the gun.
Term Limits

Linda
Linda
3 days ago

The Globalists are desperate to disarm the people for total control. They want us to be vulnerable. I am grateful that our rights are being protected. Shall not be infringed is not a suggestion. The Constitution matters.

Sam
Sam
4 days ago

Will be interesting to see what they do. Seems as if THIS SCOTUS likes to keep us “guessing”.

Stephen Russell
Stephen Russell
4 days ago

Take down Yes

SAMSON
SAMSON
3 days ago

It’s about time! They should rule that no laws whatsoever can be put against the second amendment. Shall not be infringed!

John
John
4 days ago

The Democratic Party and their allies just want to take law biding citizens rights away to defend themselves, while they turn murders loose to kill, rob, rape the innocent! That is why the Democratic Party and their allies should be charged with treason and murder!

Donald King
Donald King
3 days ago

Oddly enough, so many of the anti-gun crowd are, at the same time, anti-capital punishment and pro-abortion. Typical for the group.

SteveD
SteveD
3 hours ago

I’m very pleased that the SCotUS intends to rule on this significant IIA issue.
SCotUS has made several rulings over the past 20 years clarifying the full extent of our IIA liberty to own, buy, sell, carry, and lawfully use our firearms.
BUT… various states & local governments are still passing laws or establishing regulations or interpreting existing state/local laws in ways that violate citizens IIA rights, and have done so largely with impunity. Unless the US Attorney General commits to comprehensive lawsuits against these states and localities for violating Americans’ civil rights and/or the federal gov’t withholds federal funding to states and localities for doing so, there will be no real safety for the IIA rights of citizens.

ahem tonto
ahem tonto
1 day ago

“Uninfringed does not mean no automatic or semi-automatic arms. It does not mean you cannot be armed in a restaurant, hospital, church, near schools, in government buildings or anywhere else. How many school children and teachers would be alive if there were armed teachers and school workers? The problem with American laws is they infringe 99.9% of the innocent citizens ability to legally procure firearms with their shotgun approach that protects the guilty and impinges the legal, innocent gun owners.

W.P. Turpin
W.P. Turpin
3 days ago

“AR” in AR rifles stands for “ArmaLite Rifle,” named after the company that originally designed the firearm, not “assault rifle” or “automatic rifle.”The term “AR” originates from ArmaLite, a small arms engineering company founded in the 1950s. The AR-15 was developed by ArmaLite as a lightweight, modular rifle intended for versatility and civilian use, with innovative materials like aluminum alloys and plastics to reduce weight and improve handling 

I think this should settle the “assault weapon” claim.

Kelly
Kelly
4 days ago

That is awesome for now, but wait until Trump loses the midterms. Wait until the right loses the presidential in 2028. Then, the Marxist left, they will stack the Supreme Court. This case will be brought again and the 2nd Amendment will die, a death, by a thousand cuts. They will slowly chip away at the 2nd Amendment. And, by 2032. The 2nd Amendment no longer exist.

Smike
Smike
2 days ago

“ArmalLite Rifle (AR) named after the company that originally designed and developed the firearm in the 1950s…” (Internet) OK so who cares, useless trivia. The fact is, it’s a very good weapon that takes a little skill to successfully use. I don’t see many people who don’t train on it frequently that can fire it on automatic with any accuracy. It’s not cheap to own or train with and most of us have absolutely no justification to own one. It also requires a fair amount of maintenance and cleaning if you actually fire it or it jams. It’s sort of like owning a corvette except that less than 1% of people own a corvette. But we probably drive the corvette a lot more than the AR 15/M16 fire their weapon at other than paper targets. I find my hand guns and shot guns better home protection.

Robert J Jackson
Robert J Jackson
4 days ago

Our 2nd amendment is concise.
What is not governed is the capacity of magazines.
For a number of reasons I believe it should be limited.

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