This week, new polling showed what Democrats have long feared: Donald Trump is now in commanding position to defeat Joe Biden and win reelection in 2024. According to the latest New York Times/Siena poll, Trump is up 48-43 over Biden; what’s more, Biden is actually underwater among Hispanics, earns just two-thirds of Black votes, and has cratered among independents. According to the RealClearPolitics polling average, Trump now leads in every swing state but Pennsylvania and is within the margin of error there, too. Nationally, Trump has not trailed Biden since September 2023.
We all know what’s going wrong for Biden: He’s widely perceived as too old to be running again; Americans remain unhappy with the economy, deeply enraged over border policy and alarmed by the brush fires around the world. Biden came into office promising normalcy, and he has instead delivered chaos.
But there’s something else going on, too.
Joe Biden is losing to Donald Trump because of a dirty little secret: Donald Trump is actually the moderate in this race.
On nearly every issue, Trump is closer to the median voter than Biden. Biden won the Democratic primaries over Sen. Bernie Sanders in 2020 because voters thought he would tack toward the center, away from the insanity of The Squad in Congress — borderline psychotics like Reps. Cori Bush, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Rashida Tlaib and Ilhan Omar. Instead, he entered office believing that he had a mandate for transformation, that he could become our age’s FDR or LBJ.
And so Biden abandoned the middle.
And median voters are now abandoning Biden. As election analyst Nate Silver rightly observes, The New York Times poll shows that “only 83 percent of voters who say they chose Biden in 2020 plan to vote for him this year, whereas 97 percent who voted for Trump plan to vote for Trump again. These are swing voters, in other words — people who are explicitly stating to pollsters that they are switching their vote from 2020. There are a substantial number of them.” Because the legacy media are monolithically radical on matters of politics, they keep encouraging Biden to double down on the left-wing base, hoping that by steering toward the radicals, he can boost voter turnout. But that strategy is leaving independent voters behind.
Meanwhile, Trump is winning over more and more vote-switchers. That’s because his positions are moderate. On abortion, for example, he may support a federal 16-week ban. By polling data, 48% of Americans support such a ban, compared with 36% who oppose such a ban. Only 24% of Americans support Biden’s position — availability of abortion without limits. On immigration, Biden is underwater by over 20 points. On inflation and spending, Americans favor lower inflation and lower spending — both propositions that cut against Biden’s preferred policies. On national security, Americans broadly favor Israel over Hamas — and yet Biden’s administration has steered toward the pro-Hamas voters in Dearborn, Michigan.
For some reason, Biden and his team think that their echo chamber strategy — shouting “Jan. 6!” over and over while demonizing their political opposition as insurrectionists and traitors — is likely to jog enough base turnout to overcome their loss of the middle. But that’s a chimerical proposition. Biden, in other words, has been suckered by the very people who want him to win most — the radicals in the media who keep ramming him toward the far left, even as he falls further and further behind in the polling.
Ben Shapiro, 39, is a graduate of UCLA and Harvard Law School, host of “The Ben Shapiro Show,” and co-founder of Daily Wire+. He is a three-time New York Times bestselling author; his latest book is “The Authoritarian Moment: How The Left Weaponized America’s Institutions Against Dissent.”
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The Democrats are NOT relying on persuading the voters of anything. The Democrats are relying on being able to control the vote process and the counting of ballots. Every action the Democrats have been doing at the state level, in various states around the country, is centered around that strategy.
Whether Trump is a right-down-the-middle moderate or five degrees left or right, we know where he stands. People blame him or praise him.
Biden, on the other hand, can’t enunciate a complete thought, so he isn’t capable of formulating these terrible policies. So, who’s to blame? Who is the Deep State exactly? Can we vote them out? Let’s hear some names! Are the media clowns guiding policy? Listening to several of the media darlings makes me believe my tropical fish are smarter than they are. At least they know where the food is coming from.
We all know the fix is in on the next election. Democrats break the laws with out hiding it and nothing is done. The day will come where good people are going to be forced to do some really bad things to save our country.
America is sick of seeing the blatant Treason of Democrats and the Republicans sitting back allowing it. The America citizens are slaves to work and pay forced taxes to a government that is sponsoring a invasion of our country and chemical warfare on the citizens a with massive drug flow into our country. Drugs have killed more Americans then ALL of our wars COMBINED. We are sick of seeing politicians become multi Millionaire’s by pimping our freedom and safety off for personal profits.
All true and very observable by even the least politically inclined.It hits you square in the face everytime you open a bill, gas up, buy food. You see it in the faces of everyone you see in the public square and you watch your neighbors, friend’s and family struggle to survive.You see our government giving billions away to our enemy’s and illegal immigrants while our veterans and homeless are ignored.America and Americans first!! After all we are no use to anyone if we don’t have our own house in order.
My question is the same as it has been since Nov 2020. What are the state legislatures where voting procedures were changed WITHOUT legislative action doing about it for this cycle?? What is Mr. Trump’s campaign’s plan for dealing with it?? Do the rest of the states have a right to sue other states that have allowed non-legislative voting changes to remain in effect?? There is too much documented evidence and information on the problems-and possibly outright theft of the 2020 election-for people not to get involved and petition state legislatures to get it right.
I truly believe that this time around the population will react very differently to anymore cheating by the Democrats.
Extraordinary insight from Shapiro, as usual. The conservative voice is pushing through censorship and silencing. Liberal LIES about the conservative platform of a Constitution Republic has become as sour as a rotting lemon.
Biden won his primary by higher numbers than trump.
but why do I care? Both of them will be dead in a few years like most of you lol