AMAC Exclusive – By Daniel Roman
While Republicans were pleased by the success of state-level candidates in Virginia and New Jersey in last week’s elections, a more in depth look at where the GOP won should not just worry but terrify Nancy Pelosi and House Democrats, who are trying to avoid a wipe out in the 2022 mid-term elections for the the House of Representatives.
Democrats currently hold 17 of the 23 total U.S. House of Representatives seats from both states, and in 2018/2020, Democratic candidates either won or came close to winning three more. Yet on Tuesday, November 2nd, Glenn Youngkin and Jack Ciattarelli carried 12 of them, six in each state, and came close in two more. That means six Democratic Congressmen sit in seats in which the voters chose Republicans last week, several by lopsided margins.
The exposure of Democrats is particularly dramatic in Virginia, where Democrats currently hold a 7-4 lead in the state congressional delegation, but where Republicans enjoyed an 8-3 lead as recently as 2014. While Youngkin did not quite turn back time to 2012, he made extensive progress. Youngkin carried six of Virginia’s eleven congressional districts, and came within 3% of winning a seventh, the 10th, which is anchored on Loudoun County. That district had voted 57%-42% for Joe Biden in 2020. While Democratic incumbent Jennifer Wexton remains strongly favored for reelection in 2022, the seat was held by Republicans Barbara Comstock and Frank Wolf for decades prior to Wexton’s win in the 2018 election.
Even if Wexton can breathe a sigh of relief, her counterparts in Virginia’s 2nd and seventh districts, Elaine Luria and Abigail Spanberger, are likely reacting with terror. Glenn Youngkin carried Luria’s district by 8.5%, and Spanberger’s by a landslide 13%. Spanberger only won by 2% in 2020 as it was. Without even factoring in redistricting, which may weaken one or both Democrats, Spanberger’s reelection prospects appear dim – which may explain why she has been so outspoken in warning of the dangerous direction she feels her party is headed, telling CNN after the election that Joe Biden “fundamentally misunderstood his mandate.”
If Virginia Democrats have reason to fear that 2022 may see their seven-member delegation reduced to five or even four, New Jersey Democrats . While Phil Murphy appears to have prevailed in the Governor’s race by just under 3%, the close margin defied polls and saw the powerful Senate President, Stephen Sweeney, lose to a truck driver who spent virtually nothing on his campaign. When it came to the state’s 12 congressional districts (which I was unable to find complete results due to the slow speed of New Jersey’s election administration) the two candidates appear to have split them evenly 6-6. This happens to be the exact split prior to the 2016 election. In 2018, however, the Democrats picked up five seats, on top of the one they gained in 2016, assembling an 11-1 majority. The party’s leftward turn saw Jeff Van Drew defect to the GOP and hold his seat in 2020. Along with all other incumbents winning, the division stands at 10 Democrats to 2 Republicans. For those Democrats, 4 of whom won with less than 54% of the vote, the results in 2021 can’t come as a reassurance.
As with Virginia, redistricting adds a wrinkle to the process. But it is unclear what the Democrats can do. They already hold 10 out of 12 seats, and with at least four vulnerable, the question is increasingly seen as whether they will concede one or two seats in order to protect the rest. Few Democratic incumbents in either Virginia or New Jersey will be comfortable with districts that only voted for Biden by a few percentage points and then turned around and voted for a Republican in 2021.
In the meantime, it seems likely that endangered Democrats like Spanberger will look to the fate of Sweeney and take an adversarial line towards not just House “Progressives,” but even Joe Biden. If that is the case, Democrats may need to look past Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema when it comes to the math for their “reconciliation” spending wish list of a bill. With a mere six-vote majority in the House, they will need individuals like Spanberger to commit political suicide to pass it.
If that is the case, then the legislative window on the Biden Presidency may have closed with the elections in Virginia and New Jersey. Even if it is “only” six Democratic-held seats which the GOP carried this year (in just two states), that is the exact margin of Democratic House control. And without that, the Biden legislative agenda may already be lost.
Daniel Roman is the pen name of a frequent commentator and lecturer on foreign policy and political affairs, both nationally and internationally. He holds a Ph.D. in International Relations from the London School of Economics.
Victory Hoorah Yes
A true wipeout would be Pelosi OUT of the House.
(which I was unable to find complete results due to the slow speed of New Jersey’s election administration) – otherwise known as “where can we ‘discover’ more votes?”
I wouldn’t be counting the chickens just yet, particularly in Virginia.We know the media will be very hard on Youngkin and they may succeed in generating “buyer’s remorse” by next fall. Hopefully Youngkin will do an outstanding job and win even more voters over but only time will tell.
This ugly old lady walking around in stilletto high heels should be in the rubber room at the local nut house/Their is a trend in Washington D.C. to feature the old bags and old whacko white house men who really need to be retired to the nursing home of their choice// in the case of PELOSI the witch the mirror balong breaks when she puts her wrinkled face in front of it along with Maxine Waters//In 2022 this ugly band of old hags will get the just due they deserve and the door will hit them in the ASS right into Dementia Biden/s office// This is Justice for All////////////////////
All it really proves is that the Progressively Communist wannabe Democrats will have to WORK HARDER and THEY WILL to ASSURE VICTORY! . . . HOW? . . . By working harder TO CHEAT! . . . Something they are VERY GOOD AT, see Jackass Joe in the White House! They don’t care about We the People, just about controlling power!
this old cow damned herself to hell. when she crosses the veil she will be so full of hate. self love and evil that she will be be able to see the Light of GOD Himself and spend eternity in hell hating all the other lost in the pit as well
Demoncrats are too far gone to be redeemed. They hate the American and the only way to get reelected is to CHEAT which they have done in three elections now
All the Democrat “leaders” are old and played out . They offer nothing but death and destruction .
Why in the world don’t our leaders see that the “people” do NOT like or support their agenda? Are they really that hell bent on self destruction?
Too bad those chills wasn’t enough amperage to turn her to ash!
While the news is good, and it is a plus that they won, in incredibly good fashion there is a year until the next election and we as Republicans need to keep the heat on and stay on message about Jobs, the Economy, the Border, Foreign relations, Civil and Constitutional issues, and stay out of a fight over small issue and pick strong Conservative candidates that can stay on message and NOT say stupid things that, as my father told me, Don’t get in to a peeing contest with skunks. I was elected to public office 4 times, part of the reason is, I never commented on issues that I had no control over, keep it simple and to the point.
Make 2022, the year we start recovering from this nightmare.
God Save America!
Didn’t they tar and feather the Torries during the Revolutionary War? Time to bring back that tried and true tradition with the Marxists Democrats. I really think there will be many of the left wing Democrats not run for re-election. Pelosi is looking at real estate in Florida. That will probably look like a property near Guantanamo, Cuba. Can you imagine queen Nancy going to a cookout with neighbors? They will run her out of Florida on a rail. But I digress….the Dems will surely get stomped in 2022 for ruining the positive direction of the country. They will get everything they deserve.
Perhaps this can be chalked up as “handwriting on the wall” for some in the dem. party….but they are smart, resolute, and not easily dislodged, like the opossum I tried to remove from my garden shed. They are far from defeated, and when cornered, (like that opossum) you can expect a lot of sneering, hissing, biting and fighting from these people….after all they are being threatened with an end to some of their power base capacity to “lead”. Every, and I mean every election, from dog catcher to Senator matters….the work is only begun on all levels. No time for victory laps and applause…..the dems and the leftists know what they want, and will use all and any means at their disposal to reach their goals. This includes, legal, and illegal actions. Frontal attacks. Lies. Blackmail. Sneaky tactics. Back room deals. Money passing and even criminal activities. While the “good” folks disdain many of these kinds of protocols, it may be time to fall back on the old proverb….”all’s fair in love and war.” To fight dirty because you have to. As long as the leftists hold the high ground they will not back down in any significant way……When we evicted that opossum, both we and he were bloodied and bitten….but he lost….the only thing we may have made a mistake about was releasing him in the wild….where he could lick his wounds, reproduce and come back later in larger numbers. Now we remain vigilant and have traps available, and other deterrents ( a couple of good hounds) and even some poison on hand. Once you rid yourself of the critters, you cannot expect them to stay away….same with political opponents and processes.
“. . . .the Biden legislative agenda may already be lost.” He has a legislative agenda? Man! Coulda’ fooled me. That, and the dementia-ridden goofball was not duly-elected. HIs wife and sons really should be ashamed of themselves for not stepping up to help him. Near as I can tell, they have an insatiable appetite for money – even at the cost of their husband/father’s well-being. This all sickens me.
You know what I don’t understand? Why would anyone vote for more government, when they see the results of more government, and they saw the effects of less government, such as when Trump was in office? I don’t mean just on the federal level. How could anyone in Virginia vote for a dem after what they’ve done to that state and in other states? Is it “brand” loyalty? Or do they honestly believe socialism is a better path, even though it’s been proven over and over again that it does not work. What is it?? I don’t get it.
The bottom line is this, Pelosi doesn’t care. They have the power and they use it to advance their agenda , unlike Republicans. Even if they lose their majority in next Congress it won’t matter, feckless Republicans will never have the balls to undo any of it. Remember Obamacare? It is still around. They play long game to Socialism, while worthless RINOs just from one election to the next.
It’s time for the undead queen to step down.
None of this is going to matter if and when this 3 to 5 trillion dollar ‘America Take Down’ bill goes through and all the evil heads of this government passes it. NOTHING WILL MATTER ANYMORE… ‘IN THIS WORLD!!!!!!’
So i can only say that i personally am super fired up to vote in 2022. I live in Washington state in a Democratic district that will never go republican, but i am going to move, and i am going to specifically pick a district where my vote may help elect someone to stop the crazy communists that the democratic party has now become. This is not the party of Zell Miller or Bill Clinton anymore, its the party of Kamala and AOC, who absolutely terrify me as to what they will turn our nation into.
For a historic analogy – take a look at South Africa today, and you will see where we are heading. I use to laugh when my relatives there told me they may have some necessities at the stores, but now we are there. Its just a matter of time before we start having rolling blackouts (oh wait, California already has those – and to be fair, so did Texas..)
The corruption and incompetence of the Alzheimer JOE Biden regime and the Democrats in Congress who are dominated by radical Marxist America Haters like AOC, Jayapal, and Ilhan have no bounds. The demand CRT RACISM AND HATE be brain washed into our kids minds in school, that parents buzz of even though they pay for those schools, and then there is just the massive nightmare incompetence.
Democrats on Day 1 killed the KEYSTONE pipeline and Energy Dependence. They killed over 2 million barrels a day of oil and natural gas production leaving us at the mercy of the Putin in Russia and the Saudis. Neither have any mercy. Worse, the oil produced in Russia and Saudi Arabia is dirtier than the natural gas we were using and with prices triple now the US and the entire rest of the world especially China are burning more dirty coal and spewing out far more greenhouse gases. Democrats didn’t just triple energy prices and create shortages they made Global Warming worse, and now they want to shut down more pipelines and drive up energy cost even higher.
Energy cost folks drive up Food and other costs as they go higher. On top of higher energy Biden/Dems printed trillions of funny money dollars and closed down our economy. Now they are firing millions for not getting vaccinated even though they had COVID and are immune. All of this is driving prices higher and higher. Food, rent, housing, cars, everything is doubling and tripling. Just this week we found out we have the highest inflation in 31 years, and we all know its getting worse. Usually with high prices you get more supply, but not in INCOMPETENT Democrat/Biden America. Nope we have higher prices and shortages. Empty shelves because the Democrats can’t unload ships sitting off CA, which of course is controlled by more corrupt incompetent Democrats.
There are many Dem/Comms in my neighborhood. Impossible to have a conversation with any of them. They cannot RELATE to any fact I show, HOW BIDEN IS THE CAUSE of ALL of the problems, they WILL NOT change their minds, and cannot see ANY BENEFIT to not having Dictators to rule over everything. With or without facts clearly showing it is Bidens’ failures, their minds are made up and that is the end of it.
Mentally deficient? Unable to reason? Unable to try or no desire to want better? All I can see is they are DEAF to CHANGE, POSSIBLY UNHINGED, UNABLE TO HEAR ANYTHING DIFFERENT, THE ELECTION WAS NOT STOLEN OR FRAUDULENT, NOTHING IS WRONG WITH THE PICTURE. NOT THE PIPELINE, GAS PRICES, GROCERY PRICES, AND OTHER PRICES, NO FEAR OF THE FUTURE, NOTHING IS WRONG. ALL OF THIS IS PART OF THE NORMAL PROCESS.
These people have not seemed to be usually ignorant/stupid people. Professionals, semi-professional, blue collar, all have been voluntarily JABBED, Boosters as well, and plan to receive many more if suggested. They do not want to die of Covid! They do not believe ANYONE has DIED FROM THE VAXXES, or that there are problems with the vaccines, metals, magnets, diseases, etc.
Those stories are all LIES from the ‘always lying Republicans’ who are RACISTS who hate black people and always have. MSM ‘newscasters’ are their ‘trusted friends’ who would never lie to them. Most do not know the names of those in Congress, but Nancy can get anything done. She never gives an inch… ‘been in charge for years’…. ‘you can’t beat her for getting things done’…’corrupt?’ that’s just what it takes to get all that stuff sorted out….NONE of them would want her job.
None of them will want to speak with me on any subject again. I am THANKFUL for that. Just the usual “Beautiful day!”, “Rain coming tonight”, “Kids doing alright?”, “Yep, Teenagers now, WHEW!” “Gotta buy a car!”, “I need a new lawnmower”… perhaps Vacuum Sealed, for their own protection…
Not a mention of voting, who for, or why, corrupt election, what happened…. it just does not matter.
Excuse me, but could any sane person not realize that flooding EVERY & ONLY White countries with MILLIONS of non-Whites and telling everyone to “assimilate” to create a blended humanity is White GENOCIDE?
Africa will still be full of Africans.
Asia will still be full of Asians.
Only White children will suffer from this insanity.
It’s White Genocide.
Except they don’t call it GENOCIDE when it’s done to White children.
They call it “diversity”.
Diversity means the final solution to the White problem.
The left is destroy any hope they had with their reckless spending and corrosive support of radical ideology.
I am a three-time felon and will be reinsttutionalized in Federal prison soon. And for a very long sentence. I will die in prison.
For an astoundingly disturbing video of Speaker Pelosi at work, take a look at this link: youtube.com/watch?v=k23B6MMJh8c
This Australian news program has our politics pegged, and Daisy Cousens is especially insightful and entertaining to watch.
In case the link is not approved, check out the youtube video of Australia’s Sky News, with Andrew Bolt, Nov. 11. 2021. It’s only a few minutes long, but you have to check out Daisy Cousens and her take on Nancy Pelosi.
IMHO: These Socialist morons have been fed and housed extremely well by those of us who work and pay our taxes and sit on our butts, all comfortable with what we have accomplished. Many have become millionaires, some billionaires, and they feed their ever more dependent sheeple (the fat cats and dogs) subordinates. The old saying “The dog always bites the hand(s) that feed them” is about to be noticed. The fat cats and dogs are beginning to be bitten, and not only that, the gnawing is getting closer to the bone. These fat cats and dogs don’t yet realize that there is a ringmaster above them that is smiling down at them expecting that he/she will have everything in the world, soon. The gnawing will eventually reach the top toad. What the sheeple don’t yet realize is that soon they will be among the rest of us as their usefulness to this ringmaster diminishes and his elite staff gain complete control of the ignorant masses. Entertainment, Pharmaceutical and Food control will keep them content and just sick enough to require government drugs and just well enough to work (slave) for the ringmaster. Their goal is a 95% reduction in world population, bio-warfare will likely be their holocaust, and eventually, as their Socialist Utopia fantasy matures, it will fail, as socialism has done before and only the few will remain, for a while, and then to eat their young and expire. There will be a few hearty souls who survive of course, and they can start over. Maybe they will do better next time. There are times I’m glad I’m old.
I am not sure if Nancy is capable of anything but running her mouth…stealing Biden’s incoherent lines and distant stares.
Every time I see a Democrat, I think this is a person who loves Biden’s history. Anyone who saw Biden in the Clarence Thomas hearings should be ashamed of their selves.
‘…Elaine Luria and Abigail Spanberger, are likely reacting with terror…”
They werent so terrified that they voted against that giant boondoggle spending bill. When some of the anti-white, anti-middle class, inflation-stoking aspects of these bills start to be more widely known Democrats are going to be as popular as leprosy. Luria and Spanberger and a lot of their colleagues are not headed for re-election…
This picture of the three of them brought a smile to my face, when usually I don’t even care to look at them much less listen to their un American agenda. Almost as good at seeing the tears from the Progressive Socialist that cal themselves Democrats. At one point in the recent past Democrats were really moderate but no longer. Hell I am not very impressed with the 15 Republican Congresspersons that caved to the left on demand. What a absolute set up for themselves once they retire to be come lobbyist earning $500,000 a year or more to help destroy our Country.
Hmmm. I thought Pelosi’s spine problems were due to the chest surgery enlargement to make her look more like a cow!!!!
“Biden misunderstood his mandate.” A twelve-year old could understand that ANY mandate was a fantasy. Biden is clearly a hopeless career politician that can’t recognize or accept reality and is consumed by his massive ego.
I’m just surprised that the WOKE within the Democratic Party isn’t reviled in the same way the Tea Party was by mainstream Republicans.
DID WHITE WOMEN AND AFRICAN AMERICANS WIN IT FOR YOUNGKIN? “YES” – Virginia Election Result Maps
commoncts.blogspot.com/2021/11/did-white-women-and-african-americans.html
In the meantime those “scared Democrats” are passing taxes, bills, laws that will hold the USA to Socialism. If you believe Nancy feels defeated you have your mask over your eyes.
The prospect of losing in 2022 won’t stop the Democrats from enacting a Socialist agenda. If anything, it will make them double down harder and faster. They know they must put points on the board before they get turfed out. They have little time to waste. Time for the guy banging their drum to go to full ramming speed.
Looks like Youngskin took an old skin out of the VA governance role! (you can hold your nose on this comment and I would understand).
Let’s hope and pray to God their agenda IS dead. Because it is the completion of their Communist st takeover of America.
As long as the states are allowed to keep imprisoning people over the covid lie, that Communist crawl continues.
Every demonRat Communist MUST be shoved aside to prevent the killing of America. Quickly.
If the liberals keep going the direction they seem to want to go then our Constitutional Republic won’t exist after a year or two of liberal control. We’ll be just another global socialist state.
It is hopeful that 2022 will see an overhaul of the House and improvements in the Senate.
Nice
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You could tell this was a bogus article right from the headline. Pelosi doesn’t have a spine!
Ph.D. from the London School of Economics, eh? Sure wish you knew about misplaced modifiers. Ex: Not “…only won by 2%…” but “…won by only 2%…” (sigh).