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Russia Can Send Gas Prices Through the Roof to ‘Stupid-Scary’ Highs, Says JP Morgan

Posted on Friday, July 8, 2022
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by AMAC, John Grimaldi
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10 Comments
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WASHINGTON, DC, July 8 — Reports in advance of the Fourth of July weekend showed that the price of gas had been dropping — albeit by pennies — but a new analysis by JP Morgan predicts prices will increase to “stratospheric” highs if Russia decides to cut oil production. They say it could wind up tripling the price of a barrel of oil. 

Do the math. A barrel of oil can produce 20 gallons of gas. If you’re currently paying about $5.00 a gallon at the pumps at today’s $110 per barrel price, you don’t have to be a mathematician to figure out that at $380 per barrel we could be paying “stupid-scary-dollars” per gallon in the not so distant future.

So, why would Russia want to cut production? “To inflict pain on the West,” the [Morgan] analysts wrote in what they described as a worst-case scenario. “The tightness of the global oil market is on Russia’s side,” they said according to The Epoch Times.

The reasoning behind the JP Morgan report is that “The Group of Seven nations [G-7] are hammering out a complicated mechanism to cap the price fetched by Russian oil in a bid to tighten the screws on Vladimir Putin’s war machine in Ukraine. But given Moscow’s robust fiscal position, the nation can afford to slash daily crude production by 5 million barrels without excessively damaging the economy.”

The G-7 consists of the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, Japan and Canada.  Russia used to be part of the G-7 but was ousted from the Group in 2014, the last time Russia attacked Ukraine and annexed its Crimean territory.

The New York Times says that the West has already put economic sanctions on Russia but they didn’t have the impact they sought. “The [new] plan, which would allow Russia to keep selling oil to the world but would sharply limit the price, is an acknowledgment that the embargoes the United States and allies swiftly imposed on Moscow’s lucrative energy exports have not dented Russian oil revenues. And they have driven up gasoline and other fuel prices, prompting consumer backlash in the United States and Europe.”

Meanwhile, President Biden is taking heat over a social media message he posted online last week saying, “My message to the companies running gas stations and setting prices at the pump is simple: this is a time of war and global peril. Bring down the price you are charging at the pump to reflect the cost you’re paying for the product. And do it now.” It didn’t take long for Jeff Bezos, the founder of Amazon, to reply: “Ouch. Inflation is far too important a problem for the White House to keep making statements like this.  It’s either straight ahead misdirection or a deep misunderstanding of basic market dynamics.”

As for the market dynamics of gasoline stations, the business website thehustle.com explains Mr. Biden’s ill-informed notion of the gas station business. “It’s easy to look at the gas pump right now and think that station owners are taking you for a ride. But the business model of gas stations is a bit counterintuitive…Most gas stations barely turn a profit on their core product — and when the price of oil goes up they may even take a loss on it…Gas stations make an average net margin of just 1.4% on their fuel…That’s far lower than the 7.7% average across all industries — and ranks beneath other notoriously low margin businesses like grocery stores (2.5%) and car dealerships (3.2%).”

President Biden, you caused this by initiating your administration’s war against fossil fuels – which means gasoline, natural gas, diesel oil, and coal.

President Biden, you caused this by the misguided notion that you could fix the climate with one quick change.

President Biden, you caused this by not considering the impact on everyday American’s.

The result is that you put us back into an import dependent energy economy and surrendered our energy independence to Putin and Russia. Either you and your administration do not understand the impact and cost from your war on fossil fuels. Or you don’t care.

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Martin Padilla
8 months ago

I really like reading through a post that can make men and women think. Also, thank you for allowing me to comment!

Michael J
Michael J
1 year ago

Is JP Morgan in lockstep with Biden’s blame game?

Bill T
Bill T
1 year ago

Our presidents decisions from the day he destroyed our keystone pipeline and straddled all our major refineries with crippling legislation has put our country in a extremely dangerous and vulnerable position. We’re using up a large portion of our strategic oil reserves right now. We’re at the mercy of our worst enemies for energy supplies. This is simply unbelievable, everything that’s happening and has happened over the past 18 months is squarely on this Marxist administration and our president. This is not a good situation, without abundant oil and gas to keep our infrastructure together it will be disastrous. If Russia decides to reduce there oil production it’s really not a problem for them. There currency is already worth 3-4 times more than it was just 6 months ago. There in a war with Ukraine and it’s a terrible situation right now over there. But if gas and diesel fuel prices go south of$10!a gallon were finished. It’s suspicious to me about everything that’s been happening lately and it all seems to be a pattern. Biden promised to destroy the oil and fossil fuel industry and go to green alternative energy sources(the green new deal!) we’ll we’re simply not equipped for that anytime soon. As with everything else this foolish administration has accomplished up to now, the total destruction of our country and all our industry’s will collapse with these decisions, not to mention food shortages, and total chaos. I’m sure it’s exactly what there strategy has been from the very beginning

JEFFREY JONES
JEFFREY JONES
1 year ago

Arrest and prosecute the whole biden administration for treason and murder……….,.

Bill T
Bill T
1 year ago

Let’s be realistic about everything that has been happening since COVID, the entire objective is to collapse our economy, destroy our energy independence, ruin and destroy capitalism, and have a tyrannical government take over everything

Hal
Hal
1 year ago

Hmmmm. Biden’s shutdown of the mid-American pipeline gets more and more stupid in hindsight. I am beginning to wonder if Biden will ever do anything which can be considered an asset to the USA and its economy?????

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