Newsline

Newsline , Society

Even in California, Voters Have Finally Had Enough of “Progressives”

Posted on Thursday, June 9, 2022
|
by Daniel Berman
|
80 Comments
|
Print

AMAC Exclusive – By Daniel Berman

California
Former San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin

On Tuesday, voters in seven states (California, Iowa, Montana, Mississippi, New Mexico, New Jersey, and South Dakota) went to the polls to cast ballots in primaries. Primary turnout is not a definitive predictor of general election results, but it is a good indicator of the relative motivation on each side. Last month, more voters in Pennsylvania cast ballots in the Republican primary than the Democratic one for the first time in modern history. The trend of falling Democratic turnout continued to varying degrees in Iowa, Montana, and New Mexico, with highly touted Democratic Senate recruit in Iowa, former Congresswoman Abby Finkenauer, losing her primary by 15% to a retired admiral. California, however, provided a particularly important test. California, like Washington, does not have partisan primaries. Candidates from both parties run against each other in a single primary election, with the top two regardless of party advancing to the general election in November. That means that the California results not only measure turnout, but provide a preview of the November election in every congressional and legislative seat. That preview paints a worrying picture for Democrats – a picture made even more ominous by voter revolts in two of the state’s most Democratic cities, San Francisco and Los Angeles.

At the statewide level, with around half the vote counted, incumbent Governor Gavin Newsom has 56.3% of the vote, while his Republican rival received a bit under 17%. The race is not expected to be competitive, so the relevant comparison is not whether Newsom is likely to lose, but how Newsom’s performance this year compares to his 2021 recall election, where he received 62% of the vote. The combined Democratic vote looks set to end up around 3-4% below that total, reflecting a loss of support for both Democrats and Joe Biden since September of 2021.

That is good news for Republican congressional candidates in California, both incumbents and challengers. Newsom’s own performance with 62% last year was already below Joe Biden’s 64% in 2020. This week, Republican candidates did well, and given the tendency for Republican voters to be more likely to show up on Election Day, the results are probably going to grow only more favorable over the next week. There are ten districts where Republican incumbents are running for reelection, and in nine of them Republicans won a majority of the vote counted so far. In the 27th district, incumbent Republican Mike Garcia has 49.6% of the vote and will likely be over 50% when outstanding ballots are counted. He leads his nearest rival, former state assemblywoman Christy Clark, who he beat twice already by almost 14%.

In total, Republicans currently are winning with more than 50% of the vote in eleven seats, the same number they currently hold. If that alone is repeated in November, Democrats will suffer a net loss of one congressional seat, as the state will have only 52 this decade, not 53. Yet there are an additional four seats where Democrats are likely to poll at less than 53% in the primary. While Democrats have historically improved slightly between June and November, the average margin by which they have improved for much of the last decade was around 2%. But this phenomenon largely vanished in 2020, and there is reason to believe it may even reverse itself in 2022. The cause of the shift has traditionally been the presence of low-propensity blue-collar Hispanic voters who are more likely to turn out in November than for the June primaries. Yet with blue-collar Hispanics voting increasingly Republican, this shift may work against Democrats this year.

The results in two of California’s major cities further indicate that non-white voters, especially Asian Americans, are revolting against progressive and woke policies. Ground zero for this revolt was the capital of the American far left, San Francisco itself. As one of America’s most left-leaning cities, Republicans have not been a factor there for decades. The partisan divide is instead between “moderates,” including the female, African American Mayor London Breed who was assailed during her campaign by a white critic for being “supported by rich, white men” and radical progressives. The San Francisco School Committee, dominated by progressives, famously chose to prioritize renaming a building named for the “racist” Abraham Lincoln over reopening schools, prompting a recall vote in which nearly 70% voted to oust all three members back in February.

Last night it was the turn of San Francisco’s progressive District Attorney Chesa Boudin to face the wrath of voters. His background reads almost like a caricature of a far-left activist: effectively orphaned before his first birthday when his parents, both members of the Weather Underground, took part in an armed robbery which saw the murder of two police officers, for which they received 25 and 76 year sentences respectively; raised by Weather Underground activist and one-time Obama mentor Bill Ayers; educated at Yale Law School, after which he moved to Venezuela, where he worked as a translator for the dictator Hugo Chavez; elected on a platform of turning the focus of his office away from prosecuting criminals and toward the true villains, cops.

Throughout his tenure, Boudin was as good as his word, letting multiple repeat offenders go free to commit future crimes, especially against the Asian American community. Drug enforcement all but ceased, and it became a running joke that it was hard to find a street which was not covered in broken glass from a smashed car window. It was the failure to even pretend to respond to a spate of attacks on Asian businesses which helped doom Boudin. Asian voters, especially parents, played a key role in mobilizing against the progressive school committee when it moved to end merit admissions at San Francisco’s leading magnet school because too many Asian students were being admitted, and Boudin’s allies were happy to attack the entire Asian community as racist in response. This week they, and the working-class people of San Francisco, got their revenge. Boudin was recalled from office by a 60-40 margin.

What is striking about the result is the demographic makeup of who voted to recall him. Boudin won most of the heavily white, hipster neighborhoods, including the famous Castro, the center of gay life in San Francisco. By contrast, he was crushed in immigrant, working-class, and Asian areas.

It was a pattern which was repeated in Los Angeles, where liberal Congresswoman Karen Bass faced billionaire developer Rick Caruso in the mayoral race. Caruso was the target of attacks from liberals pointing out that he was a registered Republican until 2011 and from 2016 to 2019, and registered as a Democrat for the first time in 2022 in order to run for Mayor. Despite being tarred as a “closet Republican,” Caruso, who ran on a platform of expanding the police department and running the housing department like his real estate firm, and was endorsed by Elon Musk and the Police Union, came in first with 42% of the vote, leading Bass by 5%. CNN compared his campaign to that of Rudy Giuliani, whose former police chief, Will Bratton, endorsed Caruso.

Even in Democratic California, crime, inflation, and education are proving a millstone around the necks of Democrats. In nonpartisan races in Los Angeles and San Francisco, where Democrats cannot even count on party loyalty, the trickle of defections is rapidly turning into a flood. Even if Gavin Newsom is favored for reelection, he is likely to face a California electorate which may be far less forgiving of his failures.

Daniel Berman is a frequent commentator and lecturer on foreign policy and political affairs, both nationally and internationally. He holds a Ph.D. in International Relations from the London School of Economics. He also writes as Daniel Roman.    

Share this article:
Subscribe
Notify of
guest
80 Comments
Most Voted
Newest Oldest
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Stephen Russell
Stephen Russell
1 year ago

Dems still hold other offices to date save Nov runoff.
No one for Governor yet
One party rule

Rik
Rik
1 year ago

California will ALWAYS be a One Party Democratically Ruled STATE GUARANTEED as long as they keep allowing Illegal immigrants into the state!

GJToth
GJToth
1 year ago

Everyone assumes fair & honest elections. Primaries not only let the “good guys” know where they stand, they also let the “bad guys” know. It’s a double-edged sword. Once the information is out, the “bad guys” know where to rig the election. Lord knows they already know how.

legally present
legally present
1 year ago

Hmmm, sounds like Chesa Boudin was indoctrinated by his adoptive parents Bill Ayers and Bernadine Dorn. Looks like he was getting even with the police for sending his killer parents to prison. Better wake up California, you are going the way of Venezuela where Boudin was a translator for their communist dictator.

Philip Hammersley
Philip Hammersley
1 year ago

I don’t agree with the article’s title. They may be rejecting full-blown Communists like Boudin and hopefully Gascon, but they still love “progressives” (actually REgressives) like Newson, Pelosi, Schiff, and Swalwell.
Anyone who gets ANY $$$ from Soros should be rejected out of hand!

J. Farley
J. Farley
1 year ago

The light might be coming on, but we must remember that these Dimwits are slow learners they only got concerned about the direction of this Country when it started affecting them and their pocketbooks and their safety. The people in Californikate are still big Government liberals and have no clue about the Constitution and our freedoms, they can’t live without a nanny state so be on guard and make sure you vote for only those candidates that will hold fast to the all the principles of our freedoms. Our sovereignty and the Bill of Rights must come first and foremost. This Country is in Jeopardy if the ruling class gets special treatment, like some can burn down cities and others can’t even assemble in a peaceful protest.
God Save America!

Patriot Will
Patriot Will
1 year ago

For Boudin to be recalled by a ratio of 3 to 2 is a very promising statistic; however, all of my relatives who live in California are still hopelessly ignorant and defensive of the Democrat destruction of a once beautiful state. Let’s hope that my ignorant relatives are merely behind the curve.

Splish_Splash
Splish_Splash
1 year ago

I doubt it!

Martin
Martin
1 year ago

Only an earthquake that sinks California will rid it of Democrats

GARY J KIROUAC
GARY J KIROUAC
1 year ago

Well what about the 2000 mules video proving ELECTION FRAUD! PERIOD! along with all of the other fraudulent things were done… Please start adding the real stuff too!

CLIFFORD F GERACI
CLIFFORD F GERACI
1 year ago
Bill Ayers….”Revolutionaries want to change the world of course, and teachers, as it turns out    want to change the world too”!

Bill Ayers raised Chesa Boudin.

Barb304
Barb304
1 year ago

We can only hope and pray that come November we can finally drain the swamp!

tika
tika
1 year ago

with a headline like that you know gerrymandering is coming soon to a state near you.

Kay
Kay
1 year ago

newsom has 98 billion tax dollars to buy his re election. Watch him start shelling out money to the unions and any entity that will benefit from his reelection. We desperately need a change in California or soon it will become Mexico

Patty
Patty
1 year ago

BUT ….. Can even “that”, BEAT THE CHEAT” …. Because you KNOW they will STEAL IT AGAIN, if the can!

Amacer
Amacer
1 year ago

Don’t neglect the “cheating” factor. The Democrat Party, knowing its diminishing support, will ramp up the cheating techniques they have practiced over the years. Because of this, I do not believe the midterm elections will reflect as staggering a loss as the Democrats deserve. Heck, if they could steal the 2020 presidential elections, does anything else even compare?

Granny26
Granny26
1 year ago

Only way Newscum won the last election and the recall was by ‘harvesting’ ballots which should be illegal in ALL states. He has already done a good job in destroying CA I guess he wants to finish doing it. May lightning strike his greasy head.

Marie Langley
Marie Langley
1 year ago

A great day for San Fransicko!!!! Could it be that the voters there have actually gained some common sense???? SHOCKING!!!!!!!!!
6 years ago I went there to see a Broadway play at the Orpheum theater. We had to park 3 blocks away. The whole 3 blocks we had to step over poop and pee on the sidewalk and needles all along the gutters. It was so disgusting I will never go there ever again. How anyone would want to live there let alone go there is beyond me!!!!!!

Harry
Harry
1 year ago

We will know that the voters have “had enough” when Pelosi and Newsom are gone.

Barbara W
Barbara W
1 year ago

I live in Los Angeles County in California. This is predominantly a blue county in a blue state, and although I continue to vote, it sadly makes no difference. I was encouraged that San Fransicko voters successfully recalled their progressive DA, Chesa Boudin. It give me hope that LA County voters can recall our corrupt, Soros-backed DA, George Gascon. Until then, I’m living in an unsafe state where criminals have all the rights and the rest of us do not.

Sara
Sara
1 year ago

AND AMAC: YOU STILL ARE SAYING I VOTED ON A COMMENT WHEN I DID NOT. WOULD SOMEBODY WAKE UP OVER THERE????????

Becky
Becky
1 year ago

I cannot wait for the day when the Commie’s favored cheating method of only the top two candidates being allowed to run (shutting out republicans), has
Only Two Republicans
running.
I will laugh myself unconscious….

Anthony
Anthony
1 year ago

All I can say is it’s about time.

Tom
Tom
1 year ago

‘-voters have short memories.-The politicians use us like we are simple and stupid. Change comes when the ignorant join the ranks of those who watch how the politicians vote on bills.Promise anything to get elected the vote along party lines. Change is coming. God bless America and Trump

Sid
Sid
1 year ago

In my opinion democrats are voting for RINOs in primaries. Trump endorsement be damned I’m not voting for JD Vance.

Rik
Rik
1 year ago

As I’ve stated before today’s so-called Democratic Party is NOW PROGRESSIVELY COMMUNIST!!!

WILLIAM T SNEED
WILLIAM T SNEED
1 year ago

We can only hope that Democrats are waking up to the destruction their party has inflicted upon our country. I doubt it though. Heck, they still vote Democrat even when they are dead! (I have it in my will that I will not vote Democrat from the grave)

Theresa Coughlin
Theresa Coughlin
1 year ago

California is a lesson in what NOT to do to its people. The rest of the blue states would do well to remember that. But they won’t.

Stan d. Upnow
Stan d. Upnow
1 year ago

What is amazing is that the moron voters put these Progressive-Socialists in office in the first place, knowing what they stood for. SMH!

Robert Zuccaro
Robert Zuccaro
1 year ago

Meh. Californians will only vote for another DB in his place. They will never learn. That’s why they move to Red States and vote in the same BS they fled from. I equate a fleeing liberal Californian to a virus… infecting wherever they touch.

Russ
Russ
1 year ago

A recall is not enough for bottom feeders like Boudin, and Gascon, I won’t rest until they’ve paid for the crime of disregarding the oath that they took. People placed in positions of trust, need to be held to higher standards, and be made to pay dearly for the mistakes that they make.

Karen
Karen
1 year ago

Californians are a unique group. They walk three feet off the ground and can’t see the forest thru the trees. Very strange people. Think we should dis-attach the state and send it into the ocean.
They will definitely back the commies.

Teresa P.
Teresa P.
1 year ago

I am really hopeful that the so-called, ” highly-educated” liberal voters start to see that these democratic politicians are really doing NOTHING for any of their citizens!

An older blonde women laughing in the kitchen with a grey haired man.
AMAC’s Medicare Advisory Service
The knowledge, guidance, and choices of coverage you’re looking for. The exceptional service you deserve.
The AMAC App on 3 different iPhone
Download the AMAC App
The AMAC App is the place to go for insightful news wherever you are and whenever you want.
U.S. Air Force Uniform with DEI written on pocket
nasa; science and physics
Patrick Henry. Oil on canvas
rishi sunak; british; conservative

Stay informed! Subscribe to our Daily Newsletter.

"*" indicates required fields

80
0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x

Subscribe to AMAC Daily News and Games