Election Coverage / Government Watch / Instagram / Politics

The District Numbers That Sent Chills Down Pelosi’s Spine Last Week

AMAC Exclusive – By Daniel Roman

district

While Republicans were pleased by the success of state-level candidates in Virginia and New Jersey in last week’s elections, a more in depth look at where the GOP won should not just worry but terrify Nancy Pelosi and House Democrats, who are trying to avoid a wipe out in the 2022 mid-term elections for the the House of Representatives.

Democrats currently hold 17 of the 23 total U.S. House of Representatives seats from both states, and in 2018/2020, Democratic candidates either won or came close to winning three more. Yet on Tuesday, November 2nd, Glenn Youngkin and Jack Ciattarelli carried 12 of them, six in each state, and came close in two more. That means six Democratic Congressmen sit in seats in which the voters chose Republicans last week, several by lopsided margins.

The exposure of Democrats is particularly dramatic in Virginia, where Democrats currently hold a 7-4 lead in the state congressional delegation, but where Republicans enjoyed an 8-3 lead as recently as 2014. While Youngkin did not quite turn back time to 2012, he made extensive progress. Youngkin carried six of Virginia’s eleven congressional districts, and came within 3% of winning a seventh, the 10th, which is anchored on Loudoun County. That district had voted 57%-42% for Joe Biden in 2020. While Democratic incumbent Jennifer Wexton remains strongly favored for reelection in 2022, the seat was held by Republicans Barbara Comstock and Frank Wolf for decades prior to Wexton’s win in the 2018 election.

Even if Wexton can breathe a sigh of relief, her counterparts in Virginia’s 2nd and seventh districts, Elaine Luria and Abigail Spanberger, are likely reacting with terror. Glenn Youngkin carried Luria’s district by 8.5%, and Spanberger’s by a landslide 13%. Spanberger only won by 2% in 2020 as it was. Without even factoring in redistricting, which may weaken one or both Democrats, Spanberger’s reelection prospects appear dim – which may explain why she has been so outspoken in warning of the dangerous direction she feels her party is headed, telling CNN after the election that Joe Biden “fundamentally misunderstood his mandate.”

If Virginia Democrats have reason to fear that 2022 may see their seven-member delegation reduced to five or even four, New Jersey Democrats . While Phil Murphy appears to have prevailed in the Governor’s race by just under 3%, the close margin defied polls and saw the powerful Senate President, Stephen Sweeney, lose to a truck driver who spent virtually nothing on his campaign. When it came to the state’s 12 congressional districts (which I was unable to find complete results due to the slow speed of New Jersey’s election administration) the two candidates appear to have split them evenly 6-6. This happens to be the exact split prior to the 2016 election. In 2018, however, the Democrats picked up five seats, on top of the one they gained in 2016, assembling an 11-1 majority. The party’s leftward turn saw Jeff Van Drew defect to the GOP and hold his seat in 2020. Along with all other incumbents winning, the division stands at 10 Democrats to 2 Republicans. For those Democrats, 4 of whom won with less than 54% of the vote, the results in 2021 can’t come as a reassurance.

As with Virginia, redistricting adds a wrinkle to the process. But it is unclear what the Democrats can do. They already hold 10 out of 12 seats, and with at least four vulnerable, the question is increasingly seen as whether they will concede one or two seats in order to protect the rest. Few Democratic incumbents in either Virginia or New Jersey will be comfortable with districts that only voted for Biden by a few percentage points and then turned around and voted for a Republican in 2021.

In the meantime, it seems likely that endangered Democrats like Spanberger will look to the fate of Sweeney and take an adversarial line towards not just House “Progressives,” but even Joe Biden. If that is the case, Democrats may need to look past Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema when it comes to the math for their “reconciliation” spending wish list of a bill. With a mere six-vote majority in the House, they will need individuals like Spanberger to commit political suicide to pass it.

If that is the case, then the legislative window on the Biden Presidency may have closed with the elections in Virginia and New Jersey. Even if it is “only” six Democratic-held seats which the GOP carried this year (in just two states), that is the exact margin of Democratic House control. And without that, the Biden legislative agenda may already be lost.

Daniel Roman is the pen name of a frequent commentator and lecturer on foreign policy and political affairs, both nationally and internationally. He holds a Ph.D. in International Relations from the London School of Economics.


We hope you've enjoyed this article. While you're here, we have a small favor to ask...

As we prepare for what promises to be a pivotal year for America, we're asking you to consider a gift to help fund our journalism and advocacy.

The need for fact-based reporting that offers real solutions and stops the spread of misinformation has never been greater. Now more than ever, journalism and our first amendment rights are under fire. That's why AMAC is passionately working to increase the number of real news articles we deliver WEEKLY, while continuing to strengthen our presence on Capitol Hill.

AMAC Action, a 501 (C)(4), advocates to protect American values, free speech, the exercise of religion, equality of opportunity, sanctity of life, the rule of law, and love of family.

Thank you for putting your faith in AMAC!

Donate Now

If You Enjoy Articles Like This - Subscribe to the AMAC Daily Newsletter
and Download the AMAC News App

Sign Up Today Download

If You Enjoy Articles Like This - Subscribe to the AMAC Daily Newsletter!


Subscribe
Notify of
82 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Jerry R
2 months ago

Ph.D. from the London School of Economics, eh? Sure wish you knew about misplaced modifiers. Ex: Not “…only won by 2%…” but “…won by only 2%…” (sigh).

Rich
2 months ago

You could tell this was a bogus article right from the headline. Pelosi doesn’t have a spine!

Larry W.
2 months ago
Reply to  Rich

No conscience either.

El Ey
2 months ago
Reply to  Larry W.

Makes one wonder has she sold herself to Satan. One would think that if you’re inching closer to be judged, wouldn’t it be wise to start redeeming yourself and ask for God’s forgiveness? She must not believe in hell.

Susanne Glockner
2 months ago

????­????­????­.­????­????­????­????­????­????­????­????­????­????­.­????­????­????

Susanne Glockner
2 months ago

Nice

Robert Goidel
2 months ago

It is hopeful that 2022 will see an overhaul of the House and improvements in the Senate.

BwaHa
2 months ago

If the liberals keep going the direction they seem to want to go then our Constitutional Republic won’t exist after a year or two of liberal control. We’ll be just another global socialist state.

BwaHa
2 months ago
Reply to  BwaHa

MAGA2024! TRUMP2024!



Becky
2 months ago

Let’s hope and pray to God their agenda IS dead. Because it is the completion of their Communist st takeover of America.
As long as the states are allowed to keep imprisoning people over the covid lie, that Communist crawl continues.
Every demonRat Communist MUST be shoved aside to prevent the killing of America. Quickly.

Hal
2 months ago

Looks like Youngskin took an old skin out of the VA governance role! (you can hold your nose on this comment and I would understand).

BwaHa
2 months ago
Reply to  Hal

Well, it carried the message just fine. Though, the play with the words was interesting.

<B><I><U>LET’S GO BRANDON!     FJB!

TRUMP2024! MAGA2024! </B></I></U>

Andrew P
2 months ago

The prospect of losing in 2022 won’t stop the Democrats from enacting a Socialist agenda. If anything, it will make them double down harder and faster. They know they must put points on the board before they get turfed out. They have little time to waste. Time for the guy banging their drum to go to full ramming speed.

Becky
2 months ago
Reply to  Andrew P

Correct. That has been their modus operandi since the 80s. Get more aggressive, not less.

Rosalee Cavanaugh
2 months ago

In the meantime those “scared Democrats” are passing taxes, bills, laws that will hold the USA to Socialism. If you believe Nancy feels defeated you have your mask over your eyes.

Steve
2 months ago

DID WHITE WOMEN AND AFRICAN AMERICANS WIN IT FOR YOUNGKIN? “YES” – Virginia Election Result Maps
commoncts.blogspot.com/2021/11/did-white-women-and-african-americans.html

Nessie509
2 months ago

I’m just surprised that the WOKE within the Democratic Party isn’t reviled in the same way the Tea Party was by mainstream Republicans.

Hal
2 months ago
Reply to  Nessie509

I think the News Media has a LOT to do with that. The News Media (with a few exceptions, i.e. AMAC, Fox News, Talk Radio, etc.) seems to serve Democrap propaganda out of their gazoo.

Richard Hennessy
2 months ago

“Biden misunderstood his mandate.” A twelve-year old could understand that ANY mandate was a fantasy. Biden is clearly a hopeless career politician that can’t recognize or accept reality and is consumed by his massive ego.

Hal
2 months ago

Joe Hidin’ Biden is indeed the perfect example of a Democrap politician whose primary role is to serve his persona/familyl interests and next the secondary interests of the Commie leaning Democrap Party! He is the perfect example of why we need term limits on Senators and House Memebers. IMO, two-to-four terms should be sufficient. Without term limits is puts a spotlight on how people the citizenry had no approval say regarding their performance can get railroaded and have no control on eliminating the undesired politicos at the National level. Good citizens not living in the state where Pelosi, Schumer, et. al represent make decisions collectively that affect citizens not in their state. And you can bet your bottom dollar the present and likely future member of the lNational legislature will wade thru hell and high water to nip any such effort in the bud. The only reason we got term limits on the POTUS was the Commie Democrap Congressman got jealous that FDR was blocking their path to POTUS.

Becky
2 months ago
Reply to  Hal

Two terms or one for senators.
Or….just a law that says immediate ouster for violating their oath of office.

Hal
2 months ago

Hmmm. I thought Pelosi’s spine problems were due to the chest surgery enlargement to make her look more like a cow!!!!

Adios Abbie
2 months ago
Reply to  Hal

I regret I have but one upvote to give for that.

Hal
2 months ago
Reply to  Adios Abbie

Which one of the pair would not get your vote!!!?

Carmel Sanchez
2 months ago

This picture of the three of them brought a smile to my face, when usually I don’t even care to look at them much less listen to their un American agenda. Almost as good at seeing the tears from the Progressive Socialist that cal themselves Democrats. At one point in the recent past Democrats were really moderate but no longer. Hell I am not very impressed with the 15 Republican Congresspersons that caved to the left on demand. What a absolute set up for themselves once they retire to be come lobbyist earning $500,000 a year or more to help destroy our Country.

Adios Abbie
2 months ago
Reply to  Carmel Sanchez

Schumer always has that guilty look on his face.

Hal
2 months ago
Reply to  Adios Abbie

And in Schumer’s case, it is not true that looks are deceiving!!

BwaHa
2 months ago
Reply to  Adios Abbie

That look is fitting.

Rich
2 months ago
Reply to  BwaHa

I just hope that when Schumer goes to the rest home he gets glasses that FIT.

Skep41
2 months ago

‘…Elaine Luria and Abigail Spanberger, are likely reacting with terror…”
They werent so terrified that they voted against that giant boondoggle spending bill. When some of the anti-white, anti-middle class, inflation-stoking aspects of these bills start to be more widely known Democrats are going to be as popular as leprosy. Luria and Spanberger and a lot of their colleagues are not headed for re-election…

Harry Manson
2 months ago

Every time I see a Democrat, I think this is a person who loves Biden’s history. Anyone who saw Biden in the Clarence Thomas hearings should be ashamed of their selves.

D S mitch
2 months ago

I am not sure if Nancy is capable of anything but running her mouth…stealing Biden’s incoherent lines and distant stares.

Willy E
2 months ago

IMHO: These Socialist morons have been fed and housed extremely well by those of us who work and pay our taxes and sit on our butts, all comfortable with what we have accomplished. Many have become millionaires, some billionaires, and they feed their ever more dependent sheeple (the fat cats and dogs) subordinates. The old saying “The dog always bites the hand(s) that feed them” is about to be noticed. The fat cats and dogs are beginning to be bitten, and not only that, the gnawing is getting closer to the bone. These fat cats and dogs don’t yet realize that there is a ringmaster above them that is smiling down at them expecting that he/she will have everything in the world, soon. The gnawing will eventually reach the top toad. What the sheeple don’t yet realize is that soon they will be among the rest of us as their usefulness to this ringmaster diminishes and his elite staff gain complete control of the ignorant masses. Entertainment, Pharmaceutical and Food control will keep them content and just sick enough to require government drugs and just well enough to work (slave) for the ringmaster. Their goal is a 95% reduction in world population, bio-warfare will likely be their holocaust, and eventually, as their Socialist Utopia fantasy matures, it will fail, as socialism has done before and only the few will remain, for a while, and then to eat their young and expire. There will be a few hearty souls who survive of course, and they can start over. Maybe they will do better next time. There are times I’m glad I’m old.

Becky
2 months ago
Reply to  Willy E

There are times I wish I had another 15 yrs under my belt. But, I also like a good fight.

Kim
2 months ago

In case the link is not approved, check out the youtube video of Australia’s Sky News, with Andrew Bolt, Nov. 11. 2021. It’s only a few minutes long, but you have to check out Daisy Cousens and her take on Nancy Pelosi.

82
0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x