Opinion / Politics

Watch Iran Closely – History Suggests Big Change Is Coming

IranWatch Iran closely. Things are happening in Teheran that have not in 40 years. These events are big. They parallel historic predicates, which shook the world.

Some may recall – with eerie similarity – these exact days 40 years ago.   On January 16, 1979, a ruling monarch, known as the Shah of Iran, was forced from power.  Longtime US ally, the Shah faced mass protests.  He abdicated to a “regency council.”  The council was overtaken by the “Grand Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini” – who declared Iran an “Islamic Republic.”

From there, a radical Islamic theocracy took over.  They killed thousands overnight, initiated universal repression of civil liberties, fomented Islamic terror across the region.  Consolidating power, they took over the US embassy in November 1979.  Affiliated radical Islamist’s held US hostages for 444 days – until Ronald Reagan assumed power, January 20, 1981.  They knew Reagan meant business.

Globally, the Iranian Islamic government has funded Hezbollah, Hamas and myriad terrorists.  One goal is a Shite “crescent” – running from Iran, through Iraq, Syria and Lebanon.  They also underwrite regional violence, Saudi Arabia and Yemen to Afghanistan and Pakistan.

Nor have Iran’s surrogates stayed local.  Iranian-supported terror cells appear from Africa and Far East to South America.  In short, the “Islamic revolution” of 40 years ago has proved a source of continuing global violence, instability, repression and fear.

All this is instructive, as Iran goes through new convulsions.  Those who led the 1979 Islamic take-over are aging.  The country’s young feel no allegiance to their repression, or terror.   Accentuating anger, Iran’s radical leaders pushed nuclear and long-range ballistic missile development, triggering US sanctions.  Trump is giving the regime no “out.”  That is empowering Iranians who crave self-rule.

Two months ago, they began protesting.  Their objections were met by “live fire” from their own government.   Informed sources confirmed the Iranian government killed 1,500 innocent protestors, then charged the families money to get the bodies back.  Iranians are outraged.

Then Iran ramped-up terror, attacking British and Arab tankers, shooting down US drones over international waters, bombing a Saudi oil refinery, targeting Western allies in Yemen, Iraq, Syria and Israel.

In an act of profound audacity, they planned attacks on four US embassies, after staging a protest in Baghdad with Iranian-backed Shite Militias.  Events accelerated.  The US struck first, killing Quds Force leader and IRGC General Soleimani, in Baghdad.  Then Iran launched missiles at Iraqi bases with US forces.  In the process, they shot down a civilian airliner, killing all 176 innocent passengers.

The rage is now boiling over.  If history is an example, this is prelude.  While events of 40 years ago are illuminating, the most apt analogy is elsewhere.  President Ronald Reagan spoke to the people of the Soviet Union.  He emphasized that totalitarian government is not inevitable.  Such governments are morally bankrupt, so have no legitimacy.  He emphasized a better path – freedom and democracy.

In parallel, President Trump is speaking boldly – first in a press conference and then tweets, using Farsi and English – to the Iranian people.  Their government is devoid of moral authority, a danger to them and humanity.  It lacks legitimacy.

He is pointing to a better way, self-rule.  While he has invited reform, he has not missed the chance to broadcast the illegitimacy of radical totalitarian and Islamic rule.  He has distinguished between the immoral government and the beleaguered people.  That is a page from Reagan.

Now, Iran’s repressed population is speaking.  They are moving in a hundred cities, protesting a government strangling them, pushing nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles, exporting terror, mowing down 1,500 civilians, repulsively charging for bodies, then shooting down a passenger plane with 176 innocents, lying about doing so.  The Iranian government does not care about people.

Far from recent mock rallies, compelled at gun point, most Iranians are not interested in more death, repression, terror and destabilization.  They want rights – basic political, civic and economic freedoms.  They are done with radical Islam, repressive totalitarianism, and duplicitous, deceiving leaders.

Where will this upsurge end?  If the people of Iran and the world are fortunate, these events will compel real change.  That is a tall order, given the power of repression and a totalitarian state, but it is possible.

Short of that, reality is undeniable.  Iran’s government has zero legitimacy.  European allies must now join the US in saying so.  Americans should harmonize around this fact.   The people of Iran, like those of the erstwhile Soviet Union, deserve freedom.

Watch Iran closely.  Things are happening, that have not in 40 years.  The events are big.  Historic parallels are world-shaking.  Let us hope, as winds of change fill Iranian sails, courageous Iranians will not be caught in irons.  The next few days, weeks, months are consequential – for all of us.

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2 years ago

I am jaded to middle eastern turmoil. It seems that when a country in that region has a chance to remove one oppressive government, another, more
repressive, takes its place. A constant downward spiral. I want to be proven wrong. I want to see an enlightened regime replace an oppressive one.

2 years ago

In Iran are we seeing the 1789 days of a new French Revolution? In terms of recent events Turkey and Iran are expressing themselves as recreating empires as they have been in the past with new moves. While Turkey has sent mercenary Syrians to help the Libyans supported by the UN, the purpose is to gain access to Libyan claimed oil fields next to Israel-Cypriot and Greek gas and oil fields presently newly profitable. Iran outside its borders claims support for fellow Shiites against Saudi Arabia and Sunni leadership in the Middle East. Turkish moves into Syrian have as yet proven barren of success. The Iranian population has the ballot and will support the Shiite Revolutions in the Middle East while a green secular outcome seems a more possible result. Turkey is more likely due to its poor economic situation to outvote its governments military moves for questionable economic purposes. The religious leaders of Iran have more political room to accommodate the protesters, America’s CIA overthrow of Iran’s 1952 secular government is unlikely to be repeated as this monied effort with a mob left us with a black eye in the Middle East.

Leonard Friedman MD MIddleton MA

Diane Ross
2 years ago

Thank you.

2 years ago

All that is happening in the World is what is starting here in the USA.A complete division of beliefs that isolate us from each other.A common ground is not our future and we will continue to head the same way in our Countries future.Evil has found a way to corrupt us all and it is Money.

2 years ago

It’s definitely time for another Revolution in Iran

2 years ago

I pray for the Iranians that want change, but one must remember this has been going on for hundreds of years. I am afraid that the taking out of the General will create a lot of Iran people to stand against the USA just as the USA rallied against Bin Laden in 2001 when they took down the twin towers. I hope I am wrong on this.

2 years ago

I was able to get my family out of Iran Dec 7 1978, just before the hostages were taken. Iran is a beautiful Country and most of the people
are wonderful, but the Mullahs and the Supreme leading ding-dong is not. I would like to visit again when it has a real government.

Joanna Johnson-Smith
2 years ago

I find it interesting and frightening that Hong Kong and Iran are standing up against their tyranny and fighting for Freedom, while America is surrendering it’s treasured freedoms to tyrants.

2 years ago

For Iran this era is the fourth Persian empire. Standing alone, Iran was the colossus that faced Greece until the weather and Marathon stopped them for a decade. The empire built by Cyrus moved a second time against Greece and Athens was burned as was the Persian Navy in defeat outside Athens. A second Empire stopped the expansion of the Roman Empire in the third century under Zenobia, its queen. The Mogul empire built by the Persians in India are remembered for their art and intellectual performance in India post conquest around 1600. Now a proud and well educated population again seeks a new empire. The suggestion is that empire may have greater meaning for the Persians in contast to religion which is failing them. Bottom line may be more of the same under a new regime,

Paul W
2 years ago

Another excellent, insightful article, Mr. Charles. Thank you.

Susan Perry
2 years ago

When they throw off the curse of Islam, then I’ll believe they can change, until then nothing will. Islam enslaves it’s citizens, Christianity gives them freedom.

Dave K
2 years ago

Causing the death of innocents – and then lying about it. Sound familiar – Hillary? The People are remain tired of it!

Jim Shedd
2 years ago

It’s time the United States, with President Trump, stand with the people of Iran who yearn for freedom.

Raymond & Verna Lucas
2 years ago

We support the freedom of the Iranian people

Glenn Lego
2 years ago

On another website is a cartoon about how the islamists in the Middle East are without a leader and then it remarks that Trump is even creating new jobs in Iran!

Jeff Noncent
2 years ago

well, I believe we about to see what the Bible predicts a long time to come its time to wake up and get ready for something to come out of Iran.

Sandra Haddock
2 years ago

I remember the revolt in the early ’80s, and it was a blood bath in iran. I remember the tanks blowing up statues, sacred historic hieroglyphs, huge sand carvings that had withstood thousands of years all of a sudden being obliterated. I was intently watching/following and within just a few weeks Iran’s history was destroyed, more than 10,000 people died from objecting to the new islamic government. How awful being killed by one’s own government and claiming it was all for the better. Hitler did the same years before (Germany), but this coop in iran was televised It was horrific, and probably the most awakening time in my life where I became aware of what one’s own government (other than our Republic) would do to their own citizens. Taking away two of the most precious freedoms we enjoy in the U.S.A. – That of freedom of speech and the right to defend ourselves. It has been all downhill since the grand ayatollah ruhollah khomeini overthrew then Shah. I pray for those who revolt, the protestors and those who would build a new government, will build a better iran, WE, U.S.A. citizens need to be wary of our own government. Although less violent thus far, we are emerging from a coop attempt right now.

Wendell Fountain
2 years ago

It is my sincere prayer to God that the Iranian people will be lifted out of their oppression.

Alfonso Bedoya
2 years ago

It’s “SHIITE,” not “SHITE.” Pronounced: “SHE-ITE.”

Ivan Berry
2 years ago
Reply to  Alfonso Bedoya

No shiit?

2 years ago

Iran wants democracy and the lunatic leftist swine in this country want Socialism/ Communism. The lefties in America LOVE despot leaders and failed systems of government.

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