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Trump’s Tariffs Are Biting China

China Chinese espionage FBI investigating military tariffs TrumpThe latest data from China — both “official” (government) and unofficial (more reliable) — are confirming that the world’s second-largest economy is slowing, thanks in part to the first two rounds of tariffs President Trump has applied to the communist country.

It was already slowing because of increasing concern by China’s central bank about the country’s national debt. It is reported to be nearly three times the country’s total national output of goods and services, and the central bank has been taking measures to keep it from getting totally out of hand by raising capital requirements and short-term interest rates.

Two previous attempts to negotiate over President Trump’s biggest concerns — China’s theft of intellectual property, its subsidizing of critical industries in order to weaken American manufacturers of steel and aluminum, and its blackmailing of American companies into revealing their secret technologies in order to do business there — have gone nowhere. And when Trump applied tariffs last Monday to another $200 billion of Chinese goods entering the United States, a third meeting was canceled by Chinese officials.

Instead, the Chinese are taking a different tack: attempting to influence voters in key U.S. states to bring pressure to bear on the White House to back off. The New American reported last Wednesday on one of those blatant attempts to influence national policy: to propagandize Iowa soybean and sorghum producers by inserting a piece into the compliant Des Moines Register’s Sunday paper last week. The New American reported that, despite the piece looking like a regular news item, Iowans were wary of the attempt by the communist Chinese paper ChinaWatch to manipulate them in the tariff wars.

President Trump is, according to one top Chinese official, “in the driver’s seat” and the communist government running the country knows it. China exports more than $500 billion of goods to the United States every year while it imports just $130 billion from the United States. Simply put, Trump has a gun that’s four times larger than China’s in the tariff war.

So far he has delayed in firing all of his bullets. In fact the last round of tariffs starts at just 10 percent, giving the Chinese every opportunity to come to the table before the end of the year when they are scheduled to jump to 25 percent. And he has made the Chinese aware that he still has the option of putting tariffs on the remaining $250 billion-plus of Chinese goods entering the United States.

But those tariffs that are in place are already beginning to bite. Weakening foreign demand for Chinese goods, along with softening domestic demand thanks to the country’s central bank’s efforts to rein in its horrendous national debt, have shown up in both “official” and unofficial reports: For example, privately owned makers of cars and machinery stopped expanding in September, reflecting a drop in export demand that’s the lowest in more than two years. There is similar weakness being reported by state-owned manufacturing enterprises as well.

This is now being reflected in various economic indexes that attempt to track the performance of China’s economy, such as the Caixin China manufacturing purchasing managers’ index, which fell once again in September following a decline the month before. The data from Caixin “show that Chinese factories produced far fewer goods to foreign markets last month,” wrote the Wall Street Journal, and “new export orders slipped to the lowest point since February 2016.” Its key export index — an indicator of external demand for Chinese goods — dropped significantly in September from August.

The slowing of the Chinese economy was summarized by Rajiv Biswas, a chief economist at HIS Markit in Singapore: “The further slowdown in China’s official manufacturing PMI [Purchasing Managers’ Index] in September reflects the intensifying impact of the U.S.-China trade war on China’s manufacturing export sector. The near-term outlook for the Chinese manufacturing export sector remains weak.”

Additional data from Bloomberg Economics showed that business sentiment in China deteriorated in September following a slowdown in industrial profit growth. The official PMI report also indicates rising unemployment in that sector.

Contrast that with what’s happening on both Wall Street and Main Street in the United States where records are being set on almost a daily basis. As the American economy gets stronger (despite China’s nearly imperceptible retaliatory tariffs on American exports into the country), China’s is getting weaker.

All of which means that the time has never been better for the negotiator-in-chief to seize the day and make clear to his Chinese counterpart his non-negotiable demands. As Robert Carnell, chief Asia-Pacific economist at investment banking firm ING, put it: “This is probably the best time for the U.S. to go back to the table … [this time] with a ‘take it or leave it’ type of trade demand.”

Reprinted with permission from - The New American - by Bob Adelmann

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Wayne Peterkin

There is no question at all that China has taken advantage for decades of our foolish trade deals with them. They limit imports of many American products and manipulate their currency to give them a trade advantage which they can do in a controlled economy like theirs. The result has been they sell far more to us than they buy from us while stealing our jobs with lower wages and stealing technological secrets of all kinds. The playing field has been tilted in their favor for a long time, and we know that no nation can be trusted when their national interests are counter to ours. So the tariffs are very justified to force negotiations and if we stand our ground, regardless of any temporary pain in higher prices, they will be forced to blink first. They simply have more to lose than we do. President Trump is doing the… Read more »

Brian Egan

President Trump is the first President to finally address the China problem, for the longterm benefit of the USA.

Buddy Saunders

Wayne Peterkin is on target with his comments and I second Brian Egan when he says, “President Trump is the first President to finally address the China problem, for the longterm benefit of the USA.” We need to stand firm with our President. He is doing the right thing and is getting RESULTS!

Phil

Don’t you just love it that we now have a president that really knows how to fight for America and doesn’t backdown! This is what winning looks like.

Drue

TRUMP- THE BUSINESS MAN-IN-CHIEF!! Loving every minute of it. China has and will continue to be a foe of the U.S. They are going for world domination and the U.S. is the only country that stands in its way. Let Trump be Trump. Most liberals don’t understand the economics involved but many conservative capitalists do. We are very lucky to have this man as President. No, I don’t always agree with what he says or how he goes about things, but I am a results-oriented guy and what I see in America is that we are getting stronger every day after being the pantywaist country under Obama who never had a real job or managed a corporation. After 8 years under Obama, we were swirling, going down the drain. Trump put a “Stopper” in the drain and we are rebuilding our military, the economy and putting people back to work.… Read more »

Bud

Following WWll, America made the US markets available to countries that had been devastated by war. With that access, countries were able to manufacture and sell almost freely. This action generated a prosperous boom for Europe and Asia. Then when the Chinese decided to reenter the 20th century, again America came to their need and opened our markets. All of these decisions wound up devastating our manufacturing and industry. America should have curtailed this decades ago. Far too many Americans paid dearly in lost jobs and benefits. A disgrace for our political class.

TomB

China and other countries would act differently and listen better if we presented a united front, but in our Country’s current condition that’s difficult if not impossible. As it is, any order, plan, or idea from President Trump, including tariff levies as a means of reducing our trade deficit, is quickly disputed by the Democratic party’s bank of legislators and if necessary legally challenged by well placed judges during the last administration. Other countries see this disunity and attempt to take advantage. Why not? What have they got to lose? Canada just tried the tactic with NAFTA negotiations, but Trump stood strong and it didn’t work. Presenting a united front would go a long way to eliminate the problem, but our Democratic party (and “Establishment” GOP) look at all situations as … party first, then America. Obstruction is their platform, they have no ideas. One last thought. Some say that… Read more »

Kevin

I think we need to not only to continue to develop our our manufacturing but also to look for sources other than China to supplement. Let’s face it, they are the biggest threat to our way of life, more so than Russia.

michael failla

I have read all of the comments. I could not agree more. Nice to have a fighter who fights for us isnt it? Havent seen one of those in a very long time. I wonder when the vichy republicans will support t him as well?

Dolores Aams

As far as I’m concerned, we should bring all our companies back to America. You CAN NOT trust the Chinese.