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Liz Cheney Will Be the Political Gift Who Keeps on Giving for GOP

AMAC Exclusive – By Daniel Berman

Liz Cheney

It was an ominous sign for soon-to-be former U.S. Congresswoman Liz Cheney that the national press corps which traveled to Wyoming to cover her primary night chose to set up shop not in the state’s largest city, Laramie, or the capital Cheyenne, but rather in Jackson Hole. A world-famous golf and ski resort which, along with surrounding Teton County is Wyoming’s only Democratic stronghold, the press’s choice of location conveyed more of an interest in an August getaway than in what Wyoming as a whole thought of Liz Cheney. While Cheney carried Teton County by a margin of 80.9% to 18.4%, she lost the statewide vote by a margin of 66.3% to 28.9%.

The reasons for Liz Cheney’s defeat are quite simple really. Cheney aligned herself with Democrats and against her own party on a high-profile issue, and then proceeded to continue making herself the face of it, even as the January 6th process morphed into a primary Democratic line of attack against the GOP in the 2022 midterms (if it had ever been anything else).

The final numbers in the race look remarkably like the 2020 election in the state, which makes sense as the vast majority of Wyoming’s few Democrats seem to have crossed over to vote for Cheney in the GOP contest. Only a little over 7,000 votes were cast in the Democratic primary for Wyoming’s at-large House seat, whereas nearly 170,000 votes were cast in the GOP contest, an astronomical 96% of all votes cast.

The ultimate margin also reflected the 2020 result. That year, Donald Trump defeated Joe Biden by 69.94% to 26.55%, remarkably close to the 66.3% to 28.9% margin by which Cheney lost to Trump-endorsed Harriet Hageman. Nor can turnout be blamed. At 178,000, primary turnout was well over 80% of that of the 2018 general election. Cheney got her Democrats, or at least a decent portion of them. She just lost Republicans. In Wyoming, that means losing 68-27 or so.

The simplicity of the story will not stop Liz Cheney, or her allies in the media, from trying to build a greater narrative, apparently as preparation for a potential presidential campaign. They will portray Cheney as a martyr, crushed by overwhelming forces, ignoring that she massively outraised her rival and had the support of big donors and K Street. Her supporters include a “who’s who” of big finance, including Blackstone, Coinbase, Forbes, CVS, and even the National Mining Association.

Nor was Cheney crushed because she revolted on one vote. Lisa Murkowski – who voted in the Senate to convict Trump last year – also faced challengers this week, and currently leads her strongest by a margin of 44% to 41%. With a Democrat taking 6%, Murkowski will likely be a narrow favorite in November given Alaska’s complex top-four voting system. But Murkowski, after supporting impeachment, did not double and triple down by becoming a mouthpiece for Democrats in their effort to demonize every Trump voter and turn January 6th into the new 9/11.

Cheney is also not the only one who chose this path. So too did Democrats by embracing her. Consider once again her donors: Coinbase, Forbes, Blackstone, the National Mining Association. Consider even her last name, Cheney, and ask yourself why genuinely liberal voters, not “woke” ideologues, but voters who distrust the power of corporations, worry about pollution, not abstractions, and care about the elderly being scammed out of their savings would look at this list and say, “This is who our party should be identifying with?”

There are many causes for the collapse in support for the Biden administration and the Democratic party. They include policy failures across the board, the clear unfitness of the President for office, and a worsening economic and social situation the party seems indifferent to at best. At a deeper level, the Cheney drama shows that Democrats have made a strategic choice not to move to the left or right per se, but to define the breadth of their coalition by how many different elites they bring together. Democrats in D.C. and the media genuinely cannot understand why they are charged with being “far left” when they have come to embrace Dick Cheney, Bill Kristol, and other neoconservative luminaries. Does that not show how large their tent is?

The problem is that politics is not merely about how broad your invite list for parties is. If it was, then Democrats might have some claim to being inclusive of everyone willing to respect neopronouns, a major shift from the Bush-era of the mid-2000s. But as Democrats have become more inclusive of elites by simple virtue of being elites, they have become less representative of everyone else.

The major story of the 2020 election and every special election since has been Democrats losing support among previously core voter groups. Having lost working-class white voters between 2012 and 2016, they are now losing Hispanics, Asian Americans, and increasingly African American men. The unifying reason is that Democrats are making it clear they care more about Liz Cheney and her father showing up to their cocktail parties than about the thousands of Americans who died in Iraq, the tens of thousands crippled, or the trillions spent in the Middle East. Provided someone is willing to denounce Donald Trump, they are happy to embrace anyone.

It is hard to imagine one voter who was not already a Democrat who will be swung over to support the party by the endorsement of the Cheneys or their attack on Donald Trump. On the other side, it is possible to imagine countless left-leaning individuals who remember the Bush-Cheney years. Democrats may well have taken the black vote for granted when they recalled Kanye West saying, “George Bush does not care about black people,” but now those individuals who supposedly “did not care” are being feted as heroes by Democrats as black communities burn, and as their schools remain crippled post-COVID.

Liz Cheney did not bring over any new voters for Democrats from 2020 this week. But she and her father seem primed to cost them quite a few elsewhere going forward. Republicans can only hope that this is the start, not the end, of her national political career.

Daniel Berman is a frequent commentator and lecturer on foreign policy and political affairs, both nationally and internationally. He holds a Ph.D. in International Relations from the London School of Economics. He also writes as Daniel Roman.          


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Marc
2 months ago

Just a point of correction from a Wyomingite – Laramie is not the largest city in Wyoming. Cheyenne is 2x the size of Laramie.

Frank
3 months ago

Liz Chaney really puts the Liz in lizard.

Kim
3 months ago
Reply to  Frank

You really shouldn’t insult lizards like that.

Andrew P
3 months ago

I believe this is Cheney’s grand plan – First run as Republican in the 2024 primaries. She will crash and burn in the 4 early states, and drop out, but it will serve her purpose to make a name for herself. Next she has an “epiphany” on abortion and runs as an independent. She adopts positions that will attract some Democrat voters, so she will give the Dem nominee conniption fits, regardless of whether it is Harris or Clinton. After securing the nomination the Dem nominee offers her a bargain – drop your independent bid and be my VP – which was Cheney’s plan all along.

Nord_Ulv
3 months ago

To have any General Election impact, Liz Cheney would have to run as an Independent. And if she does so (& assuming Biden & Trump are their Parties’ respective nominees), it’s possible an unintended consequence may be she’ll garner at least as many disaffected Biden voters as she may disaffected Trump voters. (Both Parties see the 2024 Election as existential, but both are also desperately searching for alternatives.) Yet the bulk of her financing would come (I assume) from Dems, and this would represent significant resources that might’ve been spent on Biden’s behalf but weren’t — an additional unintended consequence.

Florida Liberal
3 months ago

If you oppose the MSM, why do you support the GOP which eliminated the laws preventing the consolidation of media?

Kim
3 months ago

Ever hear of The First Amendment?

Florida Liberal
3 months ago

Her father sent American soldiers to their deaths based on lies about wmd. Obama should’ve put him in prison.

HocasPocas
3 months ago

I look for the tyrants to some way some how shut down the election in November. Whether it be by force or some cockamamie pandemic. Maybe that’s why they are trying to get all the armed irs agents working for them

John Brown
3 months ago

Amen! Cheney is in Lock
step w Pelosi, Schumer, Schiff. She did all she could to elect Biden & support his agenda of left wing insanity. She is helping them destroy America under the mentally ill delusion of saving it from Trump. The
Truth is the only thing in danger from Trump is the power of the Democrat party & the treasonous Elites in both parties that control it via the Deep State.
They deserve each other. Let’s pray America can survive the evil & totalitarian quest for power over us all.

TheMule61
3 months ago

Yeah, Liz, you should definitely run for POTUS. I totally look forward to your humiliating “Please clap.” moment, because it will surely come if you run. Other than people who get rich off of war, Liz Cheney has zero constituency. The democrats are just using here. The GOP base hates her. She’ll do even worse than Kneepads Harris. But no one is giving her a VP spot. That’s for certain.

fritz baier
3 months ago

democrats will charge trump and since the trial will be in DC he will be convicted !
Trump will rant that the election was stolen from him again because democrats knew he would win , de santis will jump in the race , trump will endorse him and he will win then first act in office for desantis will be to pardon trump and liberals will be furious .
Desantis will win a second term handily as he will be regarded as a hero to trump world , once he leaves office in 2032 trump will run for a second term and win

charliehorse
3 months ago

She’s a one trick pony, and all her energy is hateful. Run for the Presidency? That is a joke. Liz has no economic policy, no foreign policy and no domestic policy. Pop Cheney is just a warmonger who had a “change of heart” or he be as cold as dirt, and he is her idol and mentor.

Liz might have a future with the idiots at the “Lincoln Project” and that is the only thing Lincoln about that self centered narcissistic that would fit.

fritz baier
3 months ago
Reply to  charliehorse

Lets say she is delusional enough to actually believe that she could win the nomination and the presidency and lets further say never trump republicans were to egg her on and actually donate to her campaign …… what would she run at ? as a republican ? i think that she alienated enough republicans that she will not get anywhere close to the nomination , primary polling has her around 2% and her approval rating amongst republicans hovers around 20% nationwide , no republican except the ones who already managed to draw trumps wrath were to support her so she is no real threat to denying trump the nomination not even by a longshot !
As a democrat ? good luck with this , while democrats welcomed her help as a useful idiot a big part of the party has not forgiven her past voting record and altough she could garner the votes of the few moderate democrats left in the party which given the overall left orientation of the base wont help her much !
So this leaves only one track – run as a independent ! the going theory here is that she could gobble together moderate democrats , independent voters and the never trump faction of the GOP and get enough EV to win or in a alternate scenario just gobble up enough EV to deny republicans a win .
its a nice theory and especially the second scenario might be tempting but there is a serious risk to this strategy as she could gobble up enough electoral votes from smaller states that traditionally vote blue and subsequently actually ends up boosting the republican nominee but of course she dont think that far !
But more than likely a independent run will end like all independent runs before ….. without any single EV to her name

RRDRRD
3 months ago
Reply to  fritz baier

Moreover, she would not siphon off any vote that would have ever voted for Trump.
Go Cheney Go!!!!

StatisticsJason
3 months ago

I very much appreciate how Wyoming handled Cheney but I have little faith in the rest of the country. Most will keep re-electing their RINOs over and over again.

Troy Savage
3 months ago

NeoCons were always Democrats who pretended to be Republicans because we support a strong military and they used that to their advantage because they were hyper interventionists. They were always progressive at home on domestic issues. Now that the dems have embraced endless wars and interventions overseas they are welcomed back with open arms.
Good riddance to bad rubbish.

Marie Langley
3 months ago

She is obsessed with taking Trump down and she needs to get a grip and move on. Go away LIZ!!!!!!!

Walter Graham
3 months ago

Liz Cheney should be declared as the winner Just as Biden was in 2020 after all votes aren’t important only the media’s chosen winner and she has just as much right to claim she won as Bide.

MJB
3 months ago

I used to refer to Dick Cheney as a slithering snake and now we have a slithering LIZard Cheney. Like Father like daughter. Talk about a perfect example of Washington Elitists. You can add the Bush family to that group as well. These Rinos are really something. It’s pretty bad when you can name the Rinos who vote with Demonrats almost all the time. I’d really like to see all of them be replaced by real Republicans and Conservatives. Because the Senate is pretty much split, these Rinos try to cause problems by threatening to vote with Demonrats. It’s like they’re holding their constituents for ransom. Lizard Cheney is cut from that cloth. Some of these fools in the Senate better watch what they’re doing. The McConnells, Collins, Murkowski, Cornyn, Cassidy, Romney, etc. may be looking for other work. I’ve never voted or not voted based on the candidates personality. There’s Presidents that I liked and some not. What I looked at was their ability to help ALL of American Citizens. These Rinos might want to take a look at that. PresidentTrump took his responsibilities more seriously than his predecessors and that’s the rub for Demonrats and Rinos. Some of these people have been in DC way too long and here’s a businessman that accomplished amazing things for all Americans in a very short time. It’s obvious that Demonrats hate Trump and anyone who supported him. Then you see some of these politicians trying to protect their own power and control. They come first, along with special interest groups, big tech, Hollywood and most of the so called media. The House of Reps is showing some promise but it’s time for America to do surgery on the Senate. If they don’t want to do what the people want, it’s time for them to leave and we’ll replace them with patriots that remember that this country is a democratic republic run by THE PEOPLE!

Jeanette
3 months ago
Reply to  MJB

As my late Grandmother used to say…”you said a mouthful” I totally agree with you on every point. Thanks fir putting your thoughts out there.

Chris
3 months ago

The GOP needs more house cleaning. Mitt Romney, Susan Collins, Mitch McConnell & hopefully Lisa Murkowski…GOP needs fighters

Joe
3 months ago
Reply to  Chris

Amen

Troy Savage
3 months ago
Reply to  Chris

Yes on all but Collins. Why do so many on our side not understand she represents a deep blue state and if she did not occasionally vote against her party we would instead have a far left nut as a senator in her place.
Please listen, Red states should elect truly red senators. But if we get a chance to win a senate seat in a blue state, any moderate Republican is far far more preferable than a far left nut. We need to go after the correct rinos, not all of them.
Collins has saved us from horrible votes on many occasions.

StatisticsJason
3 months ago
Reply to  Troy Savage

I would rather Maine elect a real Democrat than a Democrat like Collins who calls herself a Republican.

Cameron
3 months ago

Murkowski was a crucial vote for most of Trump’s justices. Yes, she’s not going to be a straight conservative vote all the time, but it beats a Democrat in her place.

Matthew Tsien
3 months ago
Reply to  Troy Savage

Collins does vote 80+% with conservatives. Most so called RINOs vote 85-95% with the America First Agenda.

We wouldn’t have a conservative majority USSC and 60 percent of the federal judiciary without McConnell. It was his strategy, no one else’s.

Romney votes 80 percent with the GOP.

Grassroots conservatives have always been self loathing. Much better at destroying their own than defeating Marxists.

After all, why is it Marxists hijacked 95 percent of our institutions 20 years ago?

We don’t work.

StatisticsJason
3 months ago
Reply to  Chris

As long as those type of Republicans exist I can not get excited about a red wave this November.

Matthew Tsien
3 months ago
Reply to  Chris

Problem is grassroots conservatives are not fighters.

We have a very poor, very weak and very inferior work ethic during legislative and elective campaigns — for decades now compared to the grassroots Left.

But we call ourselves warriors. Conservatives are inherently passive spectators who only preach to the unproductive inarticulate choir.

That’s cowardly.

JD
3 months ago

Cheney is a trader to the Republicans party and her country. Run for president HAHA

David Millikan
3 months ago

Goodbye RINO Cheney. And Goodbye to ALL the other RINO’s.
And GOODBYE to ALL those that don’t FIGHT for AMERICANS, U.S. CONSTITUTION , and the UNITED STATES of AMERICA.
GOD BLESS the UNITED STATES of AMERICA.

Rich
3 months ago

Another turn coat tyrant (RINO) from the republican party. She doesn’t have the guts to make the switch to the socialist/marxist/democrat party. She thinks she can destroy the republicans from the inside by being one of them. Despicable hypocrite!

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