Politics

Impeachment Fallouts

Trump impeachment falloutImpeachment is shaping up as unpredictably explosive, but not in the way imagined.

There are lots of things that we do know about the present impeachment of Donald Trump — and we know that there are even more areas that remain unknown.

Quietly, the approval ratings of Trump have been rising to pre-impeachment levels and are nearing a RealClearPolitics average of 45. Support for impeaching Trump and/or removing him is not increasing as the House Democrats expected. It is essentially static, or slowly eroding, depending on how polls phrase such questions.

Apparently, an exhausted public did not see “Ukrainian” impeachment as a one-off national crisis akin to the Nixon inquiry and the Clinton impeachment and trial that merited national attention. The impeachment vote instead is being confirmed in the public mind as part of a now boring three-year impeachment psychodrama (from impeachment 1.0, the Logan Act, the emoluments clause, the 25th Amendment, and Michael Avenatti/Stormy Daniels comedies to Robert Mueller’s “dream team” and “all-stars”). The progressive logic of the current jump-the-shark monotony is to become even more monotonous, the way that a driller leans ever harder on his dull and chipping bit as his bore becomes static.

The Democrats believed that all of these efforts would be like small cuts, each one perhaps minor but all combining to bleed Trump out. But now we know, given polling data and the strong Trump economy, that the long odyssey to impeachment has had almost no effect on Trump’s popularity, other than losing him 3–4 points for a few weeks as periodic media “bombshells” went off.

The reality may be the very opposite of what Democrats planned. The more the Left tries to abort the Trump presidency before the election, the more it bleeds from each of its own inflicted nicks. As an example, Rachel Maddow’s reputation has not been enhanced by her neurotic assertions that Trump’s tax returns would soon appear, or that the Steele dossier was steadily gaining credibility, or that yet another tell-tale Russian colluder had emerged from under another American bed.

The past three years of Trump mania did not induce a recession, despite last summer’s sudden hysteria that “recession” was on the horizon. It is hard to envision a looming recession when real wages of workers continue to rise, unemployment is at historic lows, U.S. energy production is at record highs, inflation is low, interest rates are manageable, and growth is moderate but steady. We collectively have an appointment with the staggering national debt and stock-market exuberance, but probably not until after 2020. And the Left has completely nullified that issue by proposing trillions of dollars in new spending.

For now, the Democrats in extremis have redefined impeachment for the first time in American history as a Sword of Damocles, now permanently hanging by a horse’s hair over Trump’s head. Impeachment is being reinvented as way of presidential life that will supposedly impale Trump one day or at least constrain him, as occasional additional writs are added on, as the polls, media, and Democratic fancy dictate. Nancy Pelosi has rewritten the U.S. Constitution after reading a few op-eds by Trump-hating academics. Most Americans accept that if the Republican Congress had tried the same with Barack Obama (at a time when just wearing an Obama mask got a rodeo clown fired for life from a state fair), we would have had a revolution.

Most presidents need 50 percent approval ratings in the lead-up to a reelection bid to win another four years. But Trump, who won the election without 50 percent approval, may not. He is polling now not far from where Obama was while on his trajectory to reelection in 2012, and his approval is about what it was at the time of his own election victory in 2016.

The Left remains scared that the polls, which seemed accurate in the midterm elections when Trump was not on the ballot, may not be accurate in 2020. The flawed analytics on election eve 2016 remain a terrifying specter. Democrats fear that few who voted for Trump in 2020 will defect and that some who did not vote for Trump will approve of the economy and change their minds this November. All irony is lost on the Left that their four-year-long climate of MAGA intolerance and contempt for the deplorables, irredeemables, clingers, crazies, the so-called toothless, and Joe Biden’s dregs may well have polluted their own polls.

It is not just anger at the Left or a wish to avoid confrontations that camouflages Trump support. The existential hatred of Donald Trump is such that average Americans may not wish to accurately express their support even anonymously to pollsters either by phone or on computers. There are recent widespread (and increasingly legitimate) fears of electronic data mining and the compilation of information that might later be used against respondents (what was once considered quite paranoid is no longer so, given revelations about the ethos of Silicon Valley). Plenty of Americans don’t think it’s wise to honestly answer, whether in a phone conversation or by text, an anonymous pollster asking about opinions on Trump.

In addition, the odium among the Left is so pernicious and so ubiquitous that the surveyors themselves may pollute the very taking of polls. Pollsters know that massaging polls creates momentum for media stories about Trump’s “unpopularity” and the “erosion” in his support. Thus in theory a few true believers could warp, within limits, their own data, in service to a noble cause. When the Hill/Harris and the USA/Suffolk polls have a two-point gap between Trump’s approval and disapproval, while Politico has him down 15 points, something seems to the public haywire somewhere.

No one knows the effect that the Horowitz report, following the Mueller-investigation dud, is having on the credibility of the mainstream media — so far, the great force multiplier of the abort-Trump Left. It may be that we are nearing the point at which “bombshells” and “walls are closing in” are little more than soap bubbles. Certainly, the public was lied to about the “Steele dossier” and the “Schiff memo,” to the point that the media may soon be not a catalyst but a retardant of the Left, a smelly albatross around its collective neck. The Durham investigations are not yet in, and the fate of Brennan, Clapper, Comey, and McCabe may make Horowitz’s damning report seem tame. What would happen if paid TV analysts got indicted after predicting that everyone who was innocent would go to jail?

We are living in bizarre times — the rhetoric of Trump hatred is nearing its logical end, and scant further popular animus can be expressed beyond smashing his face, shooting him, burning him up, or blowing up the White House, and no further political venom voiced than urging progressives to surround Trump officials and harass them at restaurants and stores.

Many who voted for Trump were quite aware that Trump’s rhetoric often bothered them. They now weigh that discomfort against his achievements and the shrill Democratic alternative — and find the latter far scarier. Few on the left ever contemplate the effect on the general public of the 24/7, 360-degree pure hatred of Trump on network and cable news, public TV and radio, and late-night TV talk shows, as well as print media. The silent disdain many people have for the progressive media nexus is especially potent when the haters so often fit a stereotypical profile in the public mind: counterfeit elite as defined by education, zip codes, careers, or supposed cultural influence; smug in their parrot-like group-speak and accustomed to deference.

This paradox was brought home to me not long ago when I asked an unlikely Trump minority supporter why in the world he would vote against his family’s and community’s political heritage. He answered at once, with simply, “I hate the people who hate him.”

Translated, I think that means we often are missing a cultural element to Trump Agonistes, exacerbated by the latest toxic impeachment episode.

Again, millions of Americans actually leave Trump per se out of their voting equations. They do not give him full credit for a remarkable economy and an unorthodox foreign policy that is addressing China, Iran, and the Middle East in a way many once advocated but few seriously believed would ever be enacted.

Instead, voters are exhausted by his haters and their crazy agendas. They grow enraged over how the Mueller and Horowitz investigatory reports have disproved all the daily media, celebrity, and political assertions. And they are upset about the larger culture of the anti-Trump Left, from the fundamentals of open borders and identity politics to the trivia of transgendered athletes, Colin Kaepernickism, and the open-border, Green New Deal socialism. An auto worker who votes as a true-blue union Democrat but likes Trump’s trade policies, a no-nonsense farmer who worries about farm exports but likes deregulation, and a teacher who votes a liberal slate but has no way to control his classroom may not seem like Trump voters, but some such voters are terrified by the cultural trajectory of what the Trump-hating Left has in store for them all.

For a majority, refined and arrogant progressive mendaciousness voiced in condescending nasal tones has become far more repugnant than all-American hype in a Queens accent.

Reprinted with permission from - National Review - by Victor Davis Hanson

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PaulE

As usual, Mr. Victor David Hanson perfectly articulated the clear distinction between those that value commitment to promises made and results delivered in behalf of the American people versus those that are blindly fixated on a desire to return to the good, old days of professional, smooth-talking, lying politicians, who would and did promise virtually anything and everything to get elected and then sell out the American people every which way possible at the first opportunity they got. On the one hand, you have people making an intelligent, rational choice, based on the measurable outcomes delivered to date. You’re hiring a person to lead the country and keep his commitments to the American people as best as possible based on the myriad of obstructions being constantly put before him by those that want the country to become another socialist democracy failure. On the other side we unfortunately have lots of… Read more »

Steve

Excellent comments by PauE. We are basically a nation that believes that our “leaders” will take care of us. They have proven that they will not. You either get involved, become informed, or we will lose the country. We have four key groups: 1. Those who assume that everything is going to be fine and they can remain lazy. The ignorant. These scare me the most. 2. Those who think that they are undervalued and will accept any change. They are dangerous and we must help them. 3. Those who are so well off that they think nothing will seriously affect their position. These are fools. 4. Those, like me, who are desparate to stop the liberalization, socialization of the nation. The only thing I know is acquire a skill and work every day. There is no “free”.

Steven Bailey

I’m 66 and a Viet Nam COMBAT veteran, what I have seen over the last several decades sickens my heart that I didn’t listen to what my Grandparents were trying to warn me about, but I fear that we are at a tipping point, if RULE OF LAW, ADHERENCE TO OATH OF OFFICE, OBEANCE TO THE CONSTITUTION, HONOR & HONESTY are not re-established to our elected offices we are done as a free people in a free nation. When 90% of the media is owned by just 6 corp. you don’t have a ” free press ” you have propaganda and indoctrination machine. Personally I believe that an active coup attempt is ongoing and I FULLY support that each and every one of the people involved needs to be publicly executed! I am so sick and tired of the polished life long politicians and their ilk. I will be voting… Read more »

emb

Brilliant! The “Do Nothing Democrats” have sickened me. Their venom and arrogance, coupled with their duplicity and unnatural agenda for intersectionality and critical race theory, are nauseating and infuriating. Fueled by their hatred of Trump, it has led them even deeper into socialist Marxism, and we know where that eventuated. The more I hear of impeachment, the more I am certain that I will vote for Trump, again.

ronyvo

Well, I lived with Muslims for the first 25 years of my life. Those were the worst years. I was forced to study the satanic Koran & hadiths. I was harassed by teachers and collages because I am Christian. I saw and lived extreme hate first hand.
This been said, my no 1 at my list to vote is those leaders who REALLY understand Islam and vouch to cleanse our country of it. ISLAM IS NOT A RELIGION it is a political system disguised under ‘religion’. Islam is way more dangerous than Nazism, communism & fascism combined.

mary k brady

GOD bless Trump and Pence and anybody standing with them and Israel. This is biblical.

T Anderson

My husband, a legal resident alien from Canada, tells me about his grandparents who fled the Ukraine during WWII telling him all about what it was like and what to look for in leaders who, like Hitler, can make you think something that is not true and then before you know it, the worst happens…..he says he sees this in the Democratic party and finds it unreal how so many young people fall for what they are spewing. He says if the democrats don’t change their ways, he will leave the US, but not to return to Canada. I say, where in world can you go where there are not the same crazy ideas spreading through the youth of the world? The young are being brainwashed and it scares me.

Kathy Clark

Wow. Many points made totally fit me and my family. The crazies make me fear wearing a MAGA hat like wearing a fur coat used to be prevalent around the “petas”.

Dulcelina Abano Stahl, Ph.D.

Excellent articulation of the truth about what the media, the anti-trumpers, and the very sick and mentally deranged people in the DNC, liberals, Holywood, and leftists have been telling us 24/7 for more than 3 years! I feel sorry for President Trump and his family. He has been crucified 24/7, 365 days since he became President of the U.S.A. He did not have to go through being called all kinds of names such as Nazi, racist, anti-semite, etc. He could have continued to live a life of comfort and happiness without attacks from the media and liberals. However, he chose and continue to choose to rectify decades of wrong doings and lack of vision for this country in terms of trade, illegal immigration, respect for the dignity of life and our rights under the US Constitution. I believe no human being could have had the resolve and resiliency of character… Read more »

RAM

The question is: How would we Americans feel about others doing these things to us to get us to move from a neighborhood or get fired from our jobs because a few didn’t like us and were willing to make up or create all types of lies about us?

I believe 90% of all Americans would fight against the false accusations against them!

Chuck B

Don’t underestimate the number of people who feel compelled to come to the aid of someone they feel is being unjustly attacked.

Rational

I now do not speak to Leftists that were formerly in my life. I have disinherited any Leftists (children/relatives) that might have benefited from my passing. This is a Civil War, just this side of an armed one.

Harold

More truth in this article than the Democrats realize.

Shawn

Excellent article. I feel that some of the Democratic house and senate members have and are committing treason by deliberately undermining this country and the presidency. Their blatant hypocrisy is nauseating. They have been trying to impeach him from day 1. Their behavior is reprehensible. Imagine if Obama had been treated this way. The media is nothing but a liberal propaganda machine. I pray that Trump is re-elected and that we take back the House so we can ram our agenda down the DIMocRATS throats like they did to us during Obama’s 2 failed terms.

Jay Fontenot

Nothing is worth writing or talking about if we can’t open our eyes and see the coup that’s taking place. Nothing!

Dr Dave

I demand REPARATIONS from the Demonrats for all the taxpayer money they have wasted on the impeachment sham! Every one of the House Dimwits should have their salaries and bank accounts docked to pay back the wasted money to all the taxpayers. Now that would be Accountability!

Mary Truitt

WE THINK THE PRESIDENT IS GREAT AND SUPORT HIM!!!

Faye Sarren

I’m encouraged when I read the truth. So sick ad tired of lies and hate.

Faye Sarren

Thanks for this article. It just proves to me that Trump is President and will continue to be President. All the blatant lies and circus show did no good for the left. I never once, believed they would, the left that is would win. And, finally, someone, our President as a matter of fact, had the nerve to stand up to the nation’s that were using us. And even got rid of Iran’s super power killer. Thanks.

Gloria P. Sterling

I have never put much belief in polls. I can’t help but remember when Truman was running for president (I did not vote for him, but learned to admire him for taking responsibility for his own actions), anyway, he was way behind in the “polls” but won the presidency, anyway. How was that for the “polls” which are “maneuvered” by whomever is taking them?