In politics, history is oftentimes a good predictor of the future. We all know that the party that wins the White House is poised to lose seats in Congress in the following midterm elections. The swing of the political pendulum is also more extreme when Members of Congress opt for retirement rather than lose re-election or be downgraded to the minority party.
In 2008, 12 of the 21 seats Republicans lost were held by incumbents who chose not to seek re-election. In the 2010 red-wave election, Republicans won 14 seats in which incumbent Democrats were not on the ballot. In 2018, 37 Republicans did not seek re-election, resulting in a Democratic pick-up of 13 seats. So with President Biden dragging along a 37.8% job approval rating according to the latest USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll (11/3-5) – Vice President Harris scored an abysmal 27.8% job approval rating in the same poll! – how many Congressional Democrats are heading for the exits? Let’s take a look.
Democrats are currently clinging to 50 seats in the Senate with Chuck Schumer at the helm. In the House, Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) holds a 3-seat majority with a 221-213 breakdown. About a month before the 2021 elections, which saw a Republican Red Wave wash through New Jersey and Virginia, three senior House Democrats announced retirement.
Rep. John Yarmuth (D-KY), chairman of the powerful House Budget Committee, announced his retirement, followed one week later by veteran legislators Rep. Mike Doyle (D-PA) and Rep. David Price (D-NC), a senior member of the House Appropriations Committee. To date, 13 House Democrats have announced that they will not be returning to Capitol Hill, five of which are seeking another office.
How many members opt to call it quits in the coming retirement holiday season is yet to be seen, but given Democrats’ poll numbers across the country, it could be huge leading into next year’s midterm elections which already favor Republicans. Add to that the redistricting process, which is presently underway, and you can see even more Democrats heading for the exits as blue states like California and New York lose two seats each.
“If vulnerable Democrats were smart, they’d retire now and save themselves the embarrassment of having to defend their toxic socialist agenda,” National Republican Campaign Committee (NRCC) spokesman Michael McAdams told The Hill. Democrat infighting, a stalled Biden agenda, and a recent red wave that saw a Republican retake the Governor’s mansion in Virginia for the first time in over a decade gives Republicans a likely chance to take back the House. Following Democrats’ stinging loss in the Old Dominion state and a narrower then an expected win for New Jersey’s Democrat Governor Phil Murphy, NRCC Chairman Rep. Tom Emmer (R-MN) had this warning for vulnerable Democrats: “Retire or lose.”
“Those remarks came as the NRCC expanded its list of targets on Wednesday, adding 13 new Democratic incumbents in solidly blue, suburban districts, sending a signal that the GOP is prepared to go on offense in parts of the country that they previously appeared unlikely to win,” The Hill reported.
With 13 seats by House Democrats now open and more retirements expected to come after the holidays, Republicans have the wind at their backs heading into 2022, and the Biden administration continues to give voters more reasons to ditch the Democrats.
Bob Carlstrom is President of AMAC Action
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Funny thing about mail-in voting. Washington state has had 100% vote by mail for years. A Republican has never won a statewide office since it was implemented. Not saying there’s a connection because WA is populated by complete idiots west of the Cascades. They might never figure it out.
That is the same with Oregon. Pattern there?-yes, I thought so. So glad I finally got out of there. 2 years in a state that has same beliefs is SO wonderful!!
Virginia is a Commonwealth, not a state.
How do we get rid of the “squad?”
The Democrats will be as shocked as the “news media” the day after election day in 2022. Couldn’t happen to a nicer crowd. Can’t wait!
Murphy just barely tweaked out a win in NJ… Would anyone expect anything less in NJ?
NJ politics is as crooked as a winding road, always has been…Murphy’s reelection win in NJ by just enough last minute votes, equates to Biden’s poll numbers in the wee morning hours of Nov. 4, 2020. Oh yes, the democrats know how to win alright, simply ask America’s senile potus on that score.
My small state of VT is every bit as bad in the department of electioneering. The vast majority of people writing the laws in VT come from somewhere else, i.e. CT, MA, RI, NJ, NY, CA, etc…All college educated, law degrees & hell bent liberals, each & every one of them…
The state of Vermont, months ago now has already sent out letters to all citizens informing us they will be sending out ” Mail-In Ballots ” for the next election cycle…
There is a reason why Vermont makes it onto the annual political ” Cheat Sheet ” each & every year for years now…I for one plan on throwing the mail-in ballot in the trash can & I will drive over to the town hall & vote in person, as I did last Nov. 2020…Was my vote switched from Trump to Biden? I haven’t the faintest idea…
I will simply say this, looking at the past election histories of states such as VT & NJ that have consistently gone democrat for decades, I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised my votes have been either switched or simply thrown out…
This story, sadly enough, using ( 2 ) relatively small states as an example serve as a stark reminder what a total lack of ” election integrity ” looks like as We The People of the Republic of The United States are still reeling from a nationwide fraudulent 2020 Presidential Election, not forgetting the Georgia Senate runoff election that effectively drove the final nail in the coffin for America…
Bill on the Hill… :~)
So Bill, do you vote in person or by mail? I vote in person because of the lack of trust in mail balloting as you have commented on now and in the past. Whether or not that personal voting ballots get changed when processed is another question yet to be answered. Right now for my state, OH, voting seems to be protected.
The 3rd paragraph down answers your question Max…I never trusted mail-in ballots, period…
Sorry, my eyes missed it, my humble apologies.
DOES NOT MATTER. THE CANCERPOUS, ANTI-AMERICAN, LYING, CHEATING libs WILL JUST CHEAT IN ALL OF THE ELECTIONS ASSISTED BY THE KGB (FORMERLY, THE fbi).
Follow the money for Cheating starting with Soros and 2 year old that owns FASCISTBOOK (Facebook).
Lmao….running for the hills after they screwed over America. I hope they trip and get hit by a bus, while they slither away like the snakes that they are. Please take the RINOs with you. We deserve better than all of you scumbags. FJB