Strange political trends are afoot in early 2020.The Democratic Party – based on state-by-state polling – is evenly split between socialist-leaning candidates Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, and establishment liberals Joe Biden and Michael Bloomberg. Sanders notched wins in Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada, as Biden won South Carolina. With Super Tuesday’s 14 state contests before us, much could change – or nothing could change.
On the surface, the Democratic Party is engaged in a rousing “civil war,” socialists pushing federal takeover of “means of production and distribution,” while liberals fight the rearguard for a high-tax, high-regulation “mixed economy.” Under the surface – from social issues to national security – there is more cohesion internally, but more misalignment with most of America.
On social issues, Democrats consistently fail to defend historic freedoms of speech and religion, eschew individual liberty, fail to oppose violence on campuses and fail to acknowledge the moral compass and historic achievements flowing from America’s market economy. They seem preoccupied with stirring class warfare, casting the Administration as anti-minority, anti-middle class, anti-upward mobility, anti-Muslim, and anti-Semitic, which they plainly are not.
Speaking honestly, socialist orthodoxy – whether Marxist-Leninism as in Soviet Russia, Cuba, and Venezuela or Maoist as in China, Laos, and North Korea – is expressly atheist. Socialism – by reference to Marx and Engels – is a waystation on the way to Communism.
By complicity, the entire Democratic field is on a collision course with values held dear by most Americans – and textually enshrined in our Bill of Rights. Strangely, not one Democratic candidate has dared confront that issue head-on. This may change after Super Tuesday – but for now, the Democratic Party is fast drifting out of the mainstream. They are out of sync with America.
Democrats have fallen into lockstep on other issues. They defend late-term abortions, in some cases, infanticide – i.e., the law in New York State. Late-term abortion is quietly accepted by Democratic presidential candidates. Likewise, all Democrat contenders support public funding for abortion – and none openly oppose Planned Parenthood’s reported sale of fetus body pieces.
Candidly, Americans do not line up behind these Democratic positions. A 2016 Politico/Harvard University poll found “just 36 percent of likely voters supported taxpayer funding for abortions, while 58 percent opposed it.” Likewise, the national Marist University poll reported 75 percent of Americans oppose late-term abortions, including 92 percent of Republicans, 78 percent of Independents, and 60 percent of Democrats. That compass seems lost on leading Democrats.
Behind their “civil war,” national Democrats are all shifting left – against the grain of America. Many issues make the point, and several punctuate it. Economically, most Americans favor less regulation, lower taxes, and more individual liberty. Countless polls – and high support for the Trump economy – reinforce that point.
A January 24th ABC/Washington Post poll reported: “Approval of Trump’s Handling of Economy Hits All-Time High.” That number jumped to 56 percent from 46 percent months earlier. Other issues reflect a similar grudging acknowledgment of Trump’s leadership.
Democrats’ shift left is also illustrated by how self-described “moderates” act. Vice President Biden is heavy on federal spending, new taxes, new regulations, and boldly opposed Trump’s tax cuts. He is an inveterate critic of Trump’s emphasis on securing our southern border, holding Iran and China accountable, and elevating the US Defense budget. Historically, even Democratic “moderates” would not have taken such views.
Again, on social issues, numbers tell a chilling story. Michael Bloomberg, when the mayor of New York City, oversaw 83,000 abortions in 2010 – in a total population of 8,175,133. Put differently, 40 percent of New York City pregnancies ended in abortion. At one abortion per 98 citizens go national, abortions will more than triple. In a nation of 329,671,200, we may expect 3,363,991 abortions annually. That is not a turn most Americans would counsel.
Nor would those numbers bother Sanders, Warren, or Biden – defenders of late-term abortion, the first two socialist, third a bold defender of China’s prerogatives on population control. Note: Last year, China aborted 23 million children – mostly girls. In 1.3 billion, China annually administers one abortion for every 56 citizens. Americans should ask: Is China a role model for America? Are Sanders, Warren, Biden, or Bloomberg in sync with America? Hard to see that.
Democrats are misaligned in other ways – and data shows it. From economic and security policy to harboring criminals in “sanctuary cities,” preoccupation with impeachment to “open borders,” legalizing drugs to ripping up a State of the Union speech, many Americans do not recognize the modern Democratic Party.
Many traditional Democrats no longer see their worldview reflected in the New Left, perpetually angry and meanspirited leaders like Nancy Pelosi, Adam Schiff, Jerry Nadler, Tlaib Rashida, Ilhan Omar, Alex Acasio-Cortez, and innumerable others, many of whom just go along.
Many traditional Democrats now spin their political searchlights, seeking someone competent who might share the worldview of Harry Truman, John F. Kennedy, Henry “Scoop” Jackson, or Sam Nunn. Such level-headed patriots are in short supply, leaving traditional Democrats lost.
Beyond the issue polls, basic turnout is low. That tells you something. Turnout in Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada suggests an undermotivated, badly divided party. Exit polls in New Hampshire showed “young and new voters” down, the latter by 16 percent from 2016.
Other trends are afoot. NBC reported only 11 percent of New Hampshire’s Democrat voters were 18 to 29, suggesting low young turnout. These numbers contrast sharply with older voters, who historically tip more conservative – and more often vote.
Nationally, a January 30, 2020, Pew poll reported: “nearly a quarter of the electorate” over 65 and 35 percent over 50. These numbers represent “the highest such share since 1970.” Pew notes: “Since older adults are more likely to turn out to vote, it is possible that older generations will form a larger share of actual voters in 2020 than their share in the electorate.”
A Gallop poll in 2015 observed: “Older generations of Americans are much more likely” to be “conservative than liberal,” especially the “baby boom generation.” Of this cohort, “44 percent” self-describe as “conservative,” while “21 percent” identity as “liberal.”
Each year, the number of Americans over 50 grows – which means the cohort empirically more conservative and more likely to vote grows. All this would argue for retooling the wildly out-of-step New Democrats. But leftist ideology is binding and blinding; another reason Americans oppose it—the individual counts for little or nothing, the collective everything.
What does all this tell us about what to expect on Super Tuesday? Only this: The Democratic primary race is a mess, confused, and likely to stay so for some time. No clear victor is emerging, unless the socialist wing triumphs this week, pulling the whole party further left.
These are testing days for Democrats – and our two-party system. The Republic needs two level-headed, liberty-loving parties, but seems now only to have one. The best we can do is stay informed, love our liberties, respect our history, and participate.
One can only hope the People – We, The People – will restore ballast to the Republic. America has never been a socialist country; God-willing never will be. That said, strange political trends are afoot – and the Democratic Party is objectively lost.